frd Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 22 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: Not gonna happen lol if anything it will be rain Maybe a thunderstorm tomorrow evening or overnight From Mount Holly this morning : skies are expected to be mostly cloudy Monday but temperatures are still forecast to warm into the low to mid 70s. The cloudy skies will also helping limit daytime heating and overall instability with MUCAPE values largely less than 1000 J/kg. However, there will be very strong dynamics and shear in place, so much of the area remains in a SLIGHT risk of severe weather from the Storm Prediction Center, mainly for damaging wind gusts within severe thunderstorms. It is also worth noting, however, that the 0-1 km shear and helicity look to be quite high so a tornado or two will be possible. Confidence on this is lower though. The best chance for some severe weather will come during the afternoon and early evening while the heavy rain threat will be highest through the mid to late evening into the early overnight hours as storms tend to grow upscale and instability becomes more elevated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 30 Author Share Posted March 30 WB 12Z GFS....if this were a month earlier, I think people would be watching the following week...seems to be trending in the right direction with a deeper trough in the east, and the other teleconnections are also lining up... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GFS....if this were a month earlier, I think people would be watching the following week...seems to be trending in the right direction with a deeper trough in the east, and the other teleconnections are also lining up... April showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GFS....if this were a month earlier, I think people would be watching the following week...seems to be trending in the right direction with a deeper trough in the east, and the other teleconnections are also lining up... JB celebrates the cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 30 Author Share Posted March 30 12Z Euro suite says forget about any snow storm in another week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 Yuck 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 30 Author Share Posted March 30 WB 18Z GFS.... I am Not giving up yet.... 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 2 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GFS.... I am Not giving up yet.... How can you still want snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 31 Author Share Posted March 31 Well, at least it looks like welcome rain is still coming in this evening/ late this afternoon/ 12Z HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Thursday at 06:29 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 06:29 PM WB 12Z EURO is wet next 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Thursday at 09:30 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:30 PM 2 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO is wet next 5 days. Mostly NW of us. But, better than nothing, just wish it would not be cloudy every day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted Thursday at 11:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:02 PM If only we got half of what those two precip maps showed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Friday at 12:56 AM Share Posted Friday at 12:56 AM Classic mid range Euro wet bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Friday at 02:49 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 02:49 PM WB 12Z 3K NAM: rainy weekend on tap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Friday at 06:32 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:32 PM Euro says drought’s over in the next 2 weeks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted Friday at 06:43 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:43 PM 8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Euro says drought’s over in the next 2 weeks! Wow!!!! Nice, but believe it when you see it in the gauge. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Friday at 09:45 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:45 PM 6 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z 3K NAM: rainy weekend on tap. Not here, but I don't want it. Hope its correct. I wanna keep my seasonal wetland dry. That would be quite the feat this time of year. Maybe I can save 100 bucks on larvicide. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted Saturday at 11:44 AM Share Posted Saturday at 11:44 AM Sorry but LOL at that map with 1.35 over me. More like 0.135 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Saturday at 03:46 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:46 PM Looking like a wet weekend pattern going forward. Also, no way to be able to mow or do early crops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Saturday at 03:53 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:53 PM https://x.com/RyanMaue/status/1907793713801077104 Damn that SE ridge ! Several days of deep layer moisture feed out of the Caribbean and Gulf into the lower/mid-Mississippi River Valley leading to extreme rainfall totals. Blame the "high pressure/ridge" off Southeast U.S. coast for blocking traffic and directing the massive atmospheric river. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Saturday at 10:44 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:44 PM I think those of us to the NW might see a snow shower next weekend. It is kinda the way we end winter out here. And looks pretty classic. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Saturday at 11:11 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:11 PM 24 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I think those of us to the NW might see a snow shower next weekend. It is kinda the way we end winter out here. And looks pretty classic. Higher elevation snows on Tuesday possible, also snow showers to the far NW. A secondary cold front Monday night may end up moving through our area with little in the way of precipitation with it as the deeper moisture is shoved offshore with the earlier front. Given the strength of the incoming upper-level trough however, cannot ruled out some lingering light rain showers (snow showers across the far northwest) Monday night and early Tuesday morning. Low temperatures by Tuesday morning will be mainly in the 30s. While temperatures in the mid 30s are forecast all the way south into Delmarva, it will be too windy and dry for any frost formation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Sunday at 01:15 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 01:15 PM WB 6Z 3K NAM; freezing temps for much of the area on Tuesday am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Sunday at 01:18 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:18 PM Significant rainfall chance next Friday and Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted yesterday at 06:15 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:15 PM 4” 48hr bullseye on 495 late this week per 12z euro 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 8 hours ago, WxUSAF said: 4” 48hr bullseye on 495 late this week per 12z euro Lock it up. We just need a cold source and the models to be off on temps by 35 degrees. We’ve got one more left in us. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DraydenWX Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago 3 hours ago, stormtracker said: Lock it up. We just need a cold source and the models to be off on temps by 35 degrees. We’ve got one more left in us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 7 hours ago, DraydenWX said: Er’ry day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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