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April Medium/ Long Range


Weather Will
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22 minutes ago, winter_warlock said:

Not gonna happen lol   if anything it will be rain

Maybe a thunderstorm tomorrow evening or overnight 

From Mount Holly this morning :

skies are expected to be mostly cloudy Monday but temperatures
are still forecast to warm into the low to mid 70s. The cloudy
skies will also helping limit daytime heating and overall
instability with MUCAPE values largely less than 1000 J/kg.
However, there will be very strong dynamics and shear in place,
so much of the area remains in a SLIGHT risk of severe weather
from the Storm Prediction Center, mainly for damaging wind gusts
within severe thunderstorms. It is also worth noting, however,
that the 0-1 km shear and helicity look to be quite high so a
tornado or two will be possible. Confidence on this is lower
though. The best chance for some severe weather will come during
the afternoon and early evening while the heavy rain threat
will be highest through the mid to late evening into the early
overnight hours as storms tend to grow upscale and instability
becomes more elevated.

 

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1 hour ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z GFS....if this were a month earlier, I think people would be watching the following week...seems to be trending in the right direction with a deeper trough in the east, and the other teleconnections are also lining  up...

IMG_5581.png

April showers

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1 hour ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z GFS....if this were a month earlier, I think people would be watching the following week...seems to be trending in the right direction with a deeper trough in the east, and the other teleconnections are also lining  up...

IMG_5581.png

JB celebrates the cold rain.  

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https://x.com/RyanMaue/status/1907793713801077104

Damn that SE ridge !

 

Several days of deep layer moisture feed out of the Caribbean and Gulf into the lower/mid-Mississippi River Valley leading to extreme rainfall totals. Blame the "high pressure/ridge" off Southeast U.S. coast for blocking traffic and directing the massive atmospheric river.

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24 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

I think those of us to the NW might see a snow shower next weekend. It is kinda the way we end winter out here. And looks pretty classic. 

Higher elevation snows on Tuesday possible, also snow showers to the far NW.

 

 

A secondary cold front Monday night may end up moving through
our area with little in the way of precipitation with it as the
deeper moisture is shoved offshore with the earlier front. Given
the strength of the incoming upper-level trough however, cannot
ruled out some lingering light rain showers (snow showers
across the far northwest) Monday night and early Tuesday
morning. Low temperatures by Tuesday morning will be mainly in
the 30s. While temperatures in the mid 30s are forecast all the
way south into Delmarva, it will be too windy and dry for any
frost formation.
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