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On 4/14/2025 at 7:39 AM, donsutherland1 said:

Since 4/13 18z, Caribou picked up 2.6" of snow. The next event  of the two systems will bring very little snow and mainly rain/mixed precipitation. In contrast, the 4/13 18z GFS had shown the following amounts for snowfall during the period during which 2.6" fell: 10:1 ratio: 10.9"; Kuchera: 8.4"; and Snow Depth Change: 3.1".

The second system brought a trace of snow to Caribou. The total snowfall for the two systems was 2.6".

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Periodic AI update:

Through April 12th:

image.png.311a2cae0270b155d69fe94f21b86ea5.png

Through April 19th (preliminary):

image.png.8bd3341af9cc8a5aeb490ae31c7fea95.png

The one area where the AI idea appears to be at the highest risk of being off is April precipitation. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, the April mean temperature should finish within 1° of the AI estimate. With today's high temperature, the AI estimate for the monthly high temperature is very close to what has occurred.

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