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Napril 2025 Obs/Discussion!


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32 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

74 with partly cloudy skies, we take.....Sunday looks horrible. Of course they decided to move my kid's baseball game from tomorrow afternoon to Sunday night, I think I would prefer to dodge some showers over what we will have Sunday night

Hammer had 50+ mph gusts last night for Sunday . Not sure where that came from but nothing showing that . Just one cool windy day interspersed between summer .

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4 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

Still seems like a widespread 0.50"-0.75" tonight into tomorrow...don't think that has changed much over the last 2-3 days in that regard. Could see some storms though late afternoon from southern VT through western MA into northwest CT. 

every model is atleast double that at 12z

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3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

every model is atleast double that at 12z

The key I think is going to be what develops behind the initial slug of precip. A few days ago I didn't think there was going to be convection involved, however, this has evolved to where we may get enough of a break behind the initial batch for some weak instability to develop, prompting showers and thunderstorms to develop during the afternoon. 

I still think the initial slug of precip is too progressive to drop widespread 1"+ totals but if something like the NAM occurs then it is very possible from the Pike southwards into CT. 

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who the heck would install for this looks great! :thumbsup:

 

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Rain likely, mainly after 5am. Cloudy, with a low around 54. South wind 6 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Saturday
Rain before 4pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 4pm. High near 63. Southwest wind 10 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Saturday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a slight chance of showers between 1am and 4am. Low around 40. West wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
A chance of showers, mainly after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50. Breezy, with a west wind 15 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
A slight chance of showers before 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. Breezy, with a northwest wind 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 67. Northwest wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 43. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Southwest wind 5 to 13 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Southwest wind around 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. West wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. Northwest wind 7 to 9 mph.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. Northwest wind around 8 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Southeast wind 6 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
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On 4/24/2025 at 1:59 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Pretty damn good agreement that the first third of May will be well below normal with cutoffs nearby... 

But that is not related because it’s beyond the time I was talking about.  Week of 5/5 looks at least to start chilly and maybe somewhat wet.  Hopefully wrong.

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15 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

Still looking like an inch of rain Sat/Sun.  Globals (a bit less) vs Mesos (a bit more).

 

I think that's a good guess. Some place is a little more , some places a little less. But nobody really knows do they? It's all crap shoot. Especially those stupid off-hour runs. Where is Wolfie by the way?

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