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Napril 2025 Obs/Discussion!


Torch Tiger
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1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

thinking a inch or so for @Damage In Tolland tonight and 1 to 2 here.. valley looks to get some slush with minimal accumulation.. tomorrow night 2 to 3 here  1 to 2 for Kev and maybe a inch in valley locations 

I'll take the under here... under 1" for each event here 

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26 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I'll take the under here... under 1" for each event here 

Box for tonight and then Friday night we'll see

However...we may see 1-2" of
wet snow on grassy surfaces mainly across the interior high terrain.
Some very minor accumulations are possible on grassy surfaces in the
lower elevations if there is enough intensity...but not an impact to
travel
Ptype will mainly be rain in the
lower elevations, but high pressure over Quebec will result in
marginally cold enough air for a bit of wet snow/ice across parts of
the interior high terrain. It is possible that some locations across
the high terrain see minor snow accumulations along with a bit of
ice. Later shifts may have to consider a Winter Weather Advisory
depending on model trends. 
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14 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Box for tonight and then Friday night we'll see

However...we may see 1-2" of
wet snow on grassy surfaces mainly across the interior high terrain.
Some very minor accumulations are possible on grassy surfaces in the
lower elevations if there is enough intensity...but not an impact to
travel
Ptype will mainly be rain in the
lower elevations, but high pressure over Quebec will result in
marginally cold enough air for a bit of wet snow/ice across parts of
the interior high terrain. It is possible that some locations across
the high terrain see minor snow accumulations along with a bit of
ice. Later shifts may have to consider a Winter Weather Advisory
depending on model trends. 

Basically just cat paws for most based on that description. 

we snowed back to cat paws ...back to snow... back to cat paws...spanning some 7 hours with zip accum, even on car tops, nothing the other morning and ended up approaching 50 F by the end of the day. 

The 12z Euro proffered some hope for Sunday, with improving by mid day considerably over the previous run.  It's a weak bag aloft/closing system with weak gradients beneath it, so it's not like a system in the winter that "anchors" in the models...  they can error on how close and inundating the low will be even at short ranges within those synoptic circumstance.

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15 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Basically just cat paws for most based on that description. 

we snowed back to cat paws ...back to snow... back to cat paws...spanning some 7 hours with zip accum, even on car tops, nothing the other morning and ended up approaching 50 F by the end of the day. 

The 12z Euro proffered some hope for Sunday, with improving by mid day considerably over the previous run.  It's a weak bag aloft/closing system with weak gradients beneath it, so it's not like a system in the winter that "anchors" in the models...  they can error on how close and inundating the low will be even at short ranges within those synoptic circumstance.

Ya but with most of the snow happening at night both nights will help..

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On 3/19/2025 at 3:46 PM, Torch Tiger said:

Looks mostly seasonable at this point, that's all we know.

 

On 3/26/2025 at 4:02 PM, Torch Tiger said:

pretty decent pattern shift on the gfs post 4/3ish, not sure we Napril but not a cold look at all.

 

On 3/28/2025 at 2:43 PM, Torch Tiger said:

doesn't look that bad

 

On 3/28/2025 at 10:40 PM, Torch Tiger said:

Euro ens looks slightly below to near normal, at least Apr 6-13.  Hardly "brutal" lol.  Also looks Steined, and with cold UL we'd see cool/colder nights but mild sunny/ very very dry days.

 

On 3/28/2025 at 11:11 PM, Torch Tiger said:

Since we are switching model rips as the EPS looks rather normie for early-mid April :lol:  here is the latest gfs.

gfs_T2m_neus_61.png

 

On 3/29/2025 at 12:30 PM, Torch Tiger said:

 

ec-aifs_T2m_neus_59.png

 

On 3/29/2025 at 12:31 PM, Torch Tiger said:

takes many a bong rips to make those temps look miserable.

 

 

………………………

6 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

Meanwhile, another doom and gloom day out there. :lol:

 

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