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Napril 2025 Obs/Discussion!


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15 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

Looks like it could get interesting a little west of you on Wednesday?

Tuesday but could be interesting across far western NY. Some big timing differences amongst guidance. Regardless though think it will be tough to get much say east of Albany. Would figure everything weakens rapidly given not much instability. A little surprised to see a D3 enhanced though across far western/southwestern NY this early in the game given differences. 

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Just now, weatherwiz said:

Tuesday but could be interesting across far western NY. Some big timing differences amongst guidance. Regardless though think it will be tough to get much say east of Albany. Would figure everything weakens rapidly given not much instability. A little surprised to see a D3 enhanced though across far western/southwestern NY this early in the game given differences. 

And not even a sprinkle for New England from the front 

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18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

And not even a sprinkle for New England from the front 

I mean that is possible but there are too many timing differences to set that in stone right now. If we get any precipitation, it won't be much but I could see some showers and isolated thunder moving across much of the region Tuesday night. Thursday - Saturday should offer multiple rounds of shower and isolated thunder. 

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11 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I mean that is possible but there are too many timing differences to set that in stone right now. If we get any precipitation, it won't be much but I could see some showers and isolated thunder moving across much of the region Tuesday night. Thursday - Saturday should offer multiple rounds of shower and isolated thunder. 

Seems Steiny overall 

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3 hours ago, mreaves said:

Still snowing. 

It's pretty crazy how the wet-bulbing works this time of year.

At 12:30 we were ripping 1 mile visibility in snow at MVL.

METAR KMVL 271630Z AUTO 34007KT 1SM -SN BR VV014 02/M01 A2990 RMK P0002

Now at 6:30pm it's 48F and the sun is out.

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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Seems Steiny overall 

I mean I guess it depends on how that is being defined. We're getting precipitation but it just seems like its not enough to be beneficial to the region as a whole. Central New England is above average over the past several weeks while a good chunk of northern and southern New England are below. 

We are going to have precipitation opportunities upcoming...plenty of fronts moving across the country but our issue seems to be...and this has been the theme the last few years is we are struggling to get widespread synoptic driven rains. It's happened but just not enough. 

The other challenge with us when it comes to warm season precipitation is it becomes heavily convectively driven versus synoptic, especially late spring through late summer. Some areas will cash in and others will not. When talking about precipitation departures I think it can be very difficult to make a characterization for an entire region because of this (unless of course the departures are uniform). 

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