Napril 2025 Obs/Discussion!

[Great Snow 1717]

4 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

nah, just some showers

Honestly I've never known someone to be as concerned with rainfall as that guy lol....

[Not me in VT]

Gravity wave and two Lenticular clouds?? What are my seeing here, Instability? Connecticut River valley 14:00, Vernon Vermont. 

[SouthCoastMA]

kinda want the rain tbh. sucks it's on Saturday though 

[Damage In Tolland]

49 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

12z CMC joins the GFS with a soaker now 

Yeah you can sell both. EPS nothing like that . Steined 

[ineedsnow]

15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Yeah you can sell both. EPS nothing like that . Steined 

12z EURO is a soaker now

[ineedsnow]

@Damage In Tolland 12z EPS is a soaker

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

12z EURO is a soaker now

6 days out that’s all a toss . Just like a winter storm . Well likely end up south and less 

[weatherwiz]

The dynamics are there for some heavy rain Friday night into early Saturday morning but this would likely be progressive. Also, may be enough shortwave subsidence during the day to where we could get enough sun and quickly boost temperatures. 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

The dynamics are there for some heavy rain Friday night into early Saturday morning but this would likely be progressive. Also, may be enough shortwave subsidence during the day to where we could get enough sun and quickly boost temperatures. 

Exactly ..It’s a warm frontal passage not a train or coastal . Lean light 

[ineedsnow]

1 hour ago, Not me in VT said:

Gravity wave and two Lenticular clouds?? What are my seeing here, Instability? Connecticut River valley 14:00, Vernon Vermont. 

Same here pretty neat

[weatherwiz]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Exactly ..It’s a warm frontal passage not a train or coastal . Lean light 

I would say something in the 0.50-0.75" range seems plausible right now but I don't think we're looking at a scenario which will yield more than this on a widespread scale, especially because it doesn't look favorable for any convection to be involved. But those amounts too may be more concentrated to a smaller area.

[ineedsnow]

In worcester.. they leaf out

[klw]

7 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Post pics of ice in water 

 

 

[powderfreak]

46 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

6 days out that’s all a toss . Just like a winter storm . Well likely end up south and less 

Are you back on the summer program of tossing all modeling that shows rain at all times?

[powderfreak]

To be fair it does look pretty dry on the models over the next week (ECM/GFS/GGEM).

I can see the concern for Stein if you are looking to play devil’s advocate.

 

[OceanStWx]

1 hour ago, Not me in VT said:

Gravity wave and two Lenticular clouds?? What are my seeing here, Instability? Connecticut River valley 14:00, Vernon Vermont. 

Asperatis.

Still an active area of research, as it's a relatively new cloud classification. The prevailing theory is something along the lines of a stable base layer, with instability just above it leading to the turbulent look but wavy nature of the base.

[weatherwiz]

Got cold. Had windows open all day and heat came on. Had to close the windows and am making hot chocolate 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 hours ago, Not me in VT said:

Gravity wave and two Lenticular clouds?? What are my seeing here, Instability? Connecticut River valley 14:00, Vernon Vermont. 

Something similar here this afternoon.
 

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

12z EURO is a soaker now

I hopes so ... need the rain.   

Sunday looks really nice.    It has to rain sometimes - tough shit, it's on the Saturday.  But y'all just had an 11 on scale of 1-10 so deal.

[Typhoon Tip]

Those are wave clouds/undulatus ... they are typical along 40 N in the spring and early summer due to warm air riding over an antecedent cooler/denser air mass.

It's going to 75 tomorrow in a warm sector diffusing into a dying cold frontal wash ... then WNW d-slope compression adds... hell, it may even be a warm bust 80. 

[mreaves]

1 hour ago, OceanStWx said:

Asperatis.

Still Was an active area of research, as it's a relatively new cloud classification. The prevailing theory is something along the lines of a stable base layer, with instability just above it leading to the turbulent look but wavy nature of the base.

FYP

[OceanStWx]

10 minutes ago, mreaves said:

FYP

I almost did the same tbh. 

[Great Snow 1717]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

Got cold. Had windows open all day and heat came on. Had to close the windows and am making hot chocolate 

The heat came on???....you need to lower the setting from the Phoenix setting...

[ineedsnow]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

Got cold. Had windows open all day and heat came on. Had to close the windows and am making hot chocolate 

Meh heat has been off for days 

[Great Snow 1717]

19 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Meh heat has been off for days 

Just wait wait till some of these people begin to age...their homes will be like The Towering Inferno...lol

[kdxken]

Nice day at the marathon today.  Unfortunately the same can't be said for our friend to the north. Truly a shame...

 

 

[weatherwiz]

2 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

The heat came on???....you need to lower the setting from the Phoenix setting...

It’s set to 69 or 70

[Torch Tiger]

Nice early summer njght!

[bristolri_wx]

5 hours ago, powderfreak said:

To be fair it does look pretty dry on the models over the next week (ECM/GFS/GGEM).

I can see the concern for Stein if you are looking to play devil’s advocate.

 

In all fairness the operational runs at 12z were all much juicier than their ensembles.  Ensembles show around 1" of rain through Monday morning.  Neither Stein nor Noah on the way...

[Typhoon Tip]

It’s less likely Saturday will produce like that 

Late spring/early summer temp tomorrow and Wednesday on this NAM run