Great Snow 1717 Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 6:33 PM, SJonesWX said: nah, just some showers Expand Honestly I've never known someone to be as concerned with rainfall as that guy lol.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Not me in VT Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 Gravity wave and two Lenticular clouds?? What are my seeing here, Instability? Connecticut River valley 14:00, Vernon Vermont. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 kinda want the rain tbh. sucks it's on Saturday though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 6:31 PM, ineedsnow said: 12z CMC joins the GFS with a soaker now Expand Yeah you can sell both. EPS nothing like that . Steined 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 7:22 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah you can sell both. EPS nothing like that . Steined Expand 12z EURO is a soaker now 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 @Damage In Tolland 12z EPS is a soaker 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 7:39 PM, ineedsnow said: 12z EURO is a soaker now Expand 6 days out that’s all a toss . Just like a winter storm . Well likely end up south and less 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 The dynamics are there for some heavy rain Friday night into early Saturday morning but this would likely be progressive. Also, may be enough shortwave subsidence during the day to where we could get enough sun and quickly boost temperatures. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 7:47 PM, weatherwiz said: The dynamics are there for some heavy rain Friday night into early Saturday morning but this would likely be progressive. Also, may be enough shortwave subsidence during the day to where we could get enough sun and quickly boost temperatures. Expand Exactly ..It’s a warm frontal passage not a train or coastal . Lean light 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 6:42 PM, Not me in VT said: Gravity wave and two Lenticular clouds?? What are my seeing here, Instability? Connecticut River valley 14:00, Vernon Vermont. Expand Same here pretty neat 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 7:49 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Exactly ..It’s a warm frontal passage not a train or coastal . Lean light Expand I would say something in the 0.50-0.75" range seems plausible right now but I don't think we're looking at a scenario which will yield more than this on a widespread scale, especially because it doesn't look favorable for any convection to be involved. But those amounts too may be more concentrated to a smaller area. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 In worcester.. they leaf out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 12:38 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Post pics of ice in water Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 7:45 PM, Damage In Tolland said: 6 days out that’s all a toss . Just like a winter storm . Well likely end up south and less Expand Are you back on the summer program of tossing all modeling that shows rain at all times? 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 To be fair it does look pretty dry on the models over the next week (ECM/GFS/GGEM). I can see the concern for Stein if you are looking to play devil’s advocate. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 6:42 PM, Not me in VT said: Gravity wave and two Lenticular clouds?? What are my seeing here, Instability? Connecticut River valley 14:00, Vernon Vermont. Expand Asperatis. Still an active area of research, as it's a relatively new cloud classification. The prevailing theory is something along the lines of a stable base layer, with instability just above it leading to the turbulent look but wavy nature of the base. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 Got cold. Had windows open all day and heat came on. Had to close the windows and am making hot chocolate 3 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 6:42 PM, Not me in VT said: Gravity wave and two Lenticular clouds?? What are my seeing here, Instability? Connecticut River valley 14:00, Vernon Vermont. Expand Something similar here this afternoon. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 7:39 PM, ineedsnow said: 12z EURO is a soaker now Expand I hopes so ... need the rain. Sunday looks really nice. It has to rain sometimes - tough shit, it's on the Saturday. But y'all just had an 11 on scale of 1-10 so deal. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 Those are wave clouds/undulatus ... they are typical along 40 N in the spring and early summer due to warm air riding over an antecedent cooler/denser air mass. It's going to 75 tomorrow in a warm sector diffusing into a dying cold frontal wash ... then WNW d-slope compression adds... hell, it may even be a warm bust 80. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 8:41 PM, OceanStWx said: Asperatis. Still Was an active area of research, as it's a relatively new cloud classification. The prevailing theory is something along the lines of a stable base layer, with instability just above it leading to the turbulent look but wavy nature of the base. Expand FYP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 9:43 PM, mreaves said: FYP Expand I almost did the same tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 9:00 PM, weatherwiz said: Got cold. Had windows open all day and heat came on. Had to close the windows and am making hot chocolate Expand The heat came on???....you need to lower the setting from the Phoenix setting... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 9:00 PM, weatherwiz said: Got cold. Had windows open all day and heat came on. Had to close the windows and am making hot chocolate Expand Meh heat has been off for days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted April 21 Share Posted April 21 On 4/21/2025 at 10:32 PM, ineedsnow said: Meh heat has been off for days Expand Just wait wait till some of these people begin to age...their homes will be like The Towering Inferno...lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 22 Share Posted April 22 Nice day at the marathon today. Unfortunately the same can't be said for our friend to the north. Truly a shame... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 22 Share Posted April 22 On 4/21/2025 at 10:29 PM, Great Snow 1717 said: The heat came on???....you need to lower the setting from the Phoenix setting... Expand It’s set to 69 or 70 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 22 Author Share Posted April 22 Nice early summer njght! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted April 22 Share Posted April 22 On 4/21/2025 at 8:37 PM, powderfreak said: To be fair it does look pretty dry on the models over the next week (ECM/GFS/GGEM). I can see the concern for Stein if you are looking to play devil’s advocate. Expand In all fairness the operational runs at 12z were all much juicier than their ensembles. Ensembles show around 1" of rain through Monday morning. Neither Stein nor Noah on the way... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 22 Share Posted April 22 It’s less likely Saturday will produce like that Late spring/early summer temp tomorrow and Wednesday on this NAM run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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