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Napril 2025 Obs/Discussion!


Torch Tiger
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got to love it!  perfect day for a hike, I'm probably going to do something relatively easy

Saturday:

Saturday is shaping up to be one of the warmest days thus far
in the year 2025, as the warm front passing to our north will
leave behind anomalously warm low-level temperatures by mid-
April standards. 925 mb temps tomorrow will be warming to around
+16-18C, with temps at 850 mb around +12-14C. Even though we`ll
still have a canopy of at least high clouds that may lead to
more of a filtered-sun look, temps should soar well into the 70s
to low 80s away from the South Coast/Cape and Islands (60s).
Quite a bit different than last Saturday when we were mired in
gray overcast and in the mid 30s to low 40s! The warm
temperatures will be met by continued SWly breezes, around 25-30
mph.
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21 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said:

Peepers peeping for the first time.  Extremely late this year.  Even the white throated sparrows started singing before them.

Weird, they have been out here for at least a week, maybe even 10 days

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42 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

got to love it!  perfect day for a hike, I'm probably going to do something relatively easy

Saturday:

Saturday is shaping up to be one of the warmest days thus far
in the year 2025, as the warm front passing to our north will
leave behind anomalously warm low-level temperatures by mid-
April standards. 925 mb temps tomorrow will be warming to around
+16-18C, with temps at 850 mb around +12-14C. Even though we`ll
still have a canopy of at least high clouds that may lead to
more of a filtered-sun look, temps should soar well into the 70s
to low 80s away from the South Coast/Cape and Islands (60s).
Quite a bit different than last Saturday when we were mired in
gray overcast and in the mid 30s to low 40s! The warm
temperatures will be met by continued SWly breezes, around 25-30
mph.

Perfect weather to deliver packages!

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15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Deep summer 5 mile run this morning. Felt great out there. 

Special day on tap.

850 mb temps have trended a degree or so slightly warmer than 24 hrs ago. With WSW flow and mixing towards 850mb away from southern and eastern coasts, and l unseasonably warm temps aloft (+1-2 STD 850mb temps), have continued to lean to NBM 50-75th percentile and HRRR. With temps already starting near seasonable highs this morning, widespread high temps in the upper 70s to mid 80s are expected away from southern and eastern coastal
areas (greater maritime influence). This will result in temps approaching records for the date for a few spots. NBM deterministic is still generally running in the lower 25th
quartile of guidance for max temps today, which appears to be low based on the anomalously warm airmass.
 

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And yeah, I pulled out cloud clowns. lol

But upstream looks fairly putrid early. I suppose we don’t need many breaks with a warm airmass to get enough mixing for 75-85, but I’d rather have yesterday than this on the weekend.

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32 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Hope so. Tough way to run 80s in mid April. I’m primed and ready to blow a gasket midday over failed heat.

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yeah ...not impressed with this at all.   i was afraid of this.   we'll see how it plays out.  sometimes these morning contamination looks erode back as the sun works, but seeing the guidance with waves of 700, 400, 300 mb > 60% doesn't looks like a scenario that exactly over achieves relative to what it could be.

  but we've suffered bottom dweller saturday's back to back recently so this is panacea by comparison. no complaints.

 

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On 4/7/2025 at 9:04 AM, CoastalWx said:

Nice trough here and ridging to the north. Ass potential.

On 4/7/2025 at 9:00 AM, Torch Tiger said:

Bloody marys this am?  Eps looks fine

we knew

On 4/7/2025 at 9:48 AM, Torch Tiger said:

Eh, looks zonal

Tuesday Night through Friday:

A cold front moves through Tuesday night into early Wednesday
morning. This will bring a slightly cooler airmass in for
Wednesday, but still slightly above normal with highs in the 60s
in most places. Similar pattern stays in place through the end
of the week with zonal flow and 850mb temperature anomalies
signaling slightly above normal temperatures. Ensemble guidance
shows a signal for a more unsettled pattern Friday into the
weekend with potential for periodic chances for precipitation.
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