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Napril 2025 Obs/Discussion!


Torch Tiger
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8 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

These rainy weekends have completely thrown me off by two weeks for yard work. 

I look at it a mixed blessing. Gives my back an extra week or two to recover (if at all) and mentally I’ll be more energized when the sun and warmth we expect this time of year fully comes out of hibernation! For now we eat, rest and reminise over the days when the patriots were still relevant. 

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2 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

wow.

gfs_z500a_namer_59.png

Yeah.. too far out to be dependable - as we well know ... But damn delicious eye candy as a spring/warm enthusiasts. 

Kind of like seeing a D10, 959 histrionic bomb on the eastern tip of LI, with Kuchera layin down no shame 50s.  It's like "Gone With The Wind" in one hand, "Tropical Titty charts" in the other - no clue what is the best cinema in history. 

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yeah, Scott, you can really sense the changes in the pattern foot ... right around 90 hours.  The behavior in the loops in all sources appears to change seasons - 

Euro is alternating between fronts to mild, if not warmth, with limited or no BN on the scour sides right out to the end of the run.  

The GFS as usual is trying to sell winter until July - it fights seasonal change as a model bias every spring since the rapid new version era started around 2015.  Not sure why so but it's clearly always the colder solution at this time of year, ever since.   Despite this, even it has 540 dm thickness now safely N of the CAN/U.S. border latitudes.  

Just this one annoying cold shot here Wed ..but Friday may late high and than it's "soar Saturday"

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55 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Sunny and already 51°. 
 

We take!

It's funny Brian because at like 7:30 I was looking at the vis loop and thought, shit ... cloudy by 11.   Fuck if April doesn't steal another - the only way we would end up being more sun than clouds is if NY and NE PA were to somehow evaporate magically.

I just looked and "magically"  those regions are just mare's tails now - or appear to be so.  Buys us an extra 3 or so hours of at least partial sun.

56 ... 25 recovery since 7am ...not bad.  Today is a contender for biggest diurnal of the year I suspect.  We have a hUUUge solar loading now that we are late summer sun intensity, with just the right amount minoring mixing down slope, with 850s to +6 or so...  etc etc...  we were 31 here in the Nashoba Valley.  It's going to be interesting to see this take off.

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2 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

We know how this will go. We may get like a week of Spring but we'll probably jump right into upper 70's and 80's and start increasing the dewpoints. 

I don’t know this year…the cooler temps are hanging on.  I know many years we snap to big heat at some point, but I doubt it this year, this early…I think that will take its time to come…but eventually it will of course. But I’m fine with mid to upper 60’s to near 70, and sun for a few weeks too, then slowly ramp it up. 

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5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I don’t know this year…the cooler temps are hanging on.  I know many years we snap to big heat at some point, but I doubt it this year, this early…I think that will take its time to come…but eventually it will of course. But I’m fine with mid to upper 60’s to near 70, and sun for a few weeks too, then slowly ramp it up. 

Same here...I was just outside with the dog and thinking how great it would be to get a few dry weeks with sun and temps pushing into the 70's. Today is fantastic but its going to make tomorrow and especially Wednesday feel even worse lol. Wednesday is going to feel miserable with that WNW/NW wind gusting. 

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