powderfreak Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 Flashes everyone in CT over to 32F in heavy precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 Might come out of hibernation just for tonight. Was texting with some folks, but powerfreak posted above....there's a pretty big difference betweeen different sets of guidance on the precip shield and it makes a huge difference. NAM is kind of flaccid with rates over central areas for much of the overnight period while HRRR/RAP/RGEM just hammer Kevin's hood and especially crush ORH county. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 8:55 PM, ORH_wxman said: Might come out of hibernation just for tonight. Was texting with some folks, but powerfreak posted above....there's a pretty big difference betweeen different sets of guidance on the precip shield and it makes a huge difference. NAM is kind of flaccid with rates over central areas for much of the overnight period while HRRR/RAP/RGEM just hammer Kevin's hood and especially crush ORH county. Expand I haven’t looked at anything… worth me looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 9:07 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: I haven’t looked at anything… worth me looking at? Expand Marginal there...but very real chance of advisory snows. I'd still prob lean conservative (1-2" of slushy snow) but if we can go to poundtown for about 5-6 hours, then all bets are off. Lot of short term model disagreement on precip intensity and how long the good stuff lasts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 8:55 PM, ORH_wxman said: Might come out of hibernation just for tonight. Was texting with some folks, but powerfreak posted above....there's a pretty big difference betweeen different sets of guidance on the precip shield and it makes a huge difference. NAM is kind of flaccid with rates over central areas for much of the overnight period while HRRR/RAP/RGEM just hammer Kevin's hood and especially crush ORH county. Expand Know Kevin is already asleep, but his area seems like it could be prone to a WTF in the morning at his elevation. So marginal but it’s the time of year where you can either get nothing or wake up to plowing if dynamic cooling and rates are there. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 8:40 PM, powderfreak said: I mean even the positive snow depth maps are like huh? Expand things that make you go hmmm should be an interesting nowcast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 9:22 PM, powderfreak said: Know Kevin is already asleep, but his area seems like it could be prone to a WTF in the morning at his elevation. So marginal but it’s the time of year where you can either get nothing or wake up to plowing if dynamic cooling and rates are there. Expand Yeah kind of has the vibe. I‘M hoping an oak goes through his roof. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 Has anyone considered damage and power outages? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 9:22 PM, powderfreak said: Know Kevin is already asleep, but his area seems like it could be prone to a WTF in the morning at his elevation. So marginal but it’s the time of year where you can either get nothing or wake up to plowing if dynamic cooling and rates are there. Expand I think 1-3” seems likely .. but it’s not out realm to double if the colder solutions happen . I just don’t buy in 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 9:29 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah kind of has the vibe. I‘M hoping an oak goes through his roof. Expand On 4/11/2025 at 9:58 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Has anyone considered damage and power outages? Expand Indeed, scooter has… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 9:58 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Has anyone considered damage and power outages? Expand I thought you were only getting rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 9:59 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I think 1-3” seems likely .. but it’s not out realm to double if the colder solutions happen . I just don’t buy in Expand Yeah I think keeping expectations to minimal or nothing is the way to go. Small chance but can see the upside. I agree with you for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 By 9am and under 32 for most of it even half this would be awesome 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 10:29 PM, ineedsnow said: By 9am and under 32 for most of it even half this would be awesome Expand Can't use 10:1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 10:33 PM, H2Otown_WX said: Can't use 10:1 Expand That's why i said even half this.. probably 7 or 8 to 1 being around 31. 32 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 Crappy pic of them but some funky looking clouds in leominster earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 10:24 PM, ineedsnow said: I thought you were only getting rain Expand 4-8” tonight? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 11:01 PM, Damage In Tolland said: 4-8” tonight? Expand maybe 1 to 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 11 Author Share Posted April 11 We had a slushy trace earlier today. Hoping for 2-4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 11 Author Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 10:33 PM, H2Otown_WX said: Can't use 10:1 Expand higher? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 My guess is up to 3" above 1000 feet in ORH CO and N CT and perhaps several inches well above that in the Berks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 9:59 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I think 1-3” seems likely .. but it’s not out realm to double if the colder solutions happen . I just don’t buy in Expand Reasonable IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 9:13 PM, ORH_wxman said: Marginal there...but very real chance of advisory snows. I'd still prob lean conservative (1-2" of slushy snow) but if we can go to poundtown for about 5-6 hours, then all bets are off. Lot of short term model disagreement on precip intensity and how long the good stuff lasts. Expand Appreciate it. I see now that the best is to my southwest. A slushy coating similar to this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 9:58 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Has anyone considered damage and power outages? Expand Had a power outage this morning for a few hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 11:26 PM, DavisStraight said: Had a power outage this morning for a few hours. Expand Nice ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 11:26 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Nice ! Expand It was great, I'm still working to catch up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 Man what a disaster I am coming home to....one last night in paradise, I can feel the depression kicking in after sunset 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 On 4/11/2025 at 11:34 PM, Spanks45 said: Man what a disaster I am coming home to....one last night in paradise, I can feel the depression kicking in after sunset Expand Have a few more of those and then I'll send you a very fair trade proposal... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 HRRR hits W MA pretty hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 12 Share Posted April 12 On 4/11/2025 at 11:53 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: HRRR hits W MA pretty hard. Expand Strongest lift getting focused to the NW on latest runs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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