Napril 2025 Obs/Discussion!

[CoastalWx]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Hopefully not

Winter in NYC is 1/1-1/15. 

[dendrite]

Still 28°

[CoastalWx]

Just now, dendrite said:

Still 28°

63 in Dover.  

[dendrite]

10am with sun.

[CoastalWx]

Man that day 6 setup really does have potential, but as usual timing sucks and that trough sticks around too long over the 4 corners.

[Typhoon Tip]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

10am with sun.

heh ... I was just taking note of these winter rectum readings in full sun, myself.    35/13 here at 10:15 in 90%+ sun on April 2nd.    But, you know... hmm.  I saw flurries in May at least 8 times since 2000 here in this seasonally retard geography, and also, ... 28 years ago at this moment we were buried under 24 - 32" of blue glory so fuggit.  

it's not that big of a deal.  it's just typically useless New England spring

[SouthCoastMA]

45 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Man that day 6 setup really does have potential, but as usual timing sucks and that trough sticks around too long over the 4 corners.

Glad this potential is now and not in February. Will save many a lot of angst after it fails to materialize. 

[tamarack]

Wind finally dropped off after midnight, allowing the temp to reach 17, which is also the median for April's lowest.  Pure blue now with a light breeze.  GYX has us with 2-4" overnight before going to IP then RA tomorrow.

[Prismshine Productions]

Had flurries yesterday and under a Winter Weather Advisory for the second time this week (ice back on Sunday night)

Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Winter in NYC is 1/1-1/15. 

Best post I have seen in years, literally just started laughing. For midtown Manhattan, right on the money.

[MJO812]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Man that day 6 setup really does have potential, but as usual timing sucks and that trough sticks around too long over the 4 corners.

Gfs and cmc have a snowstorm for New England for next week

[HoarfrostHubb]

Eff that.  Bring on forsythias and daffy-dills

[ma blizzard]

40 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs and cmc have a snowstorm for New England for next week

eh it would be a lot more interesting if the northern stream would dig another 100+ mi 

[dendrite]

7 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

eh it would be a lot more interesting if the northern stream would dig another 1000 mi west

fixed

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Best post I have seen in years, literally just started laughing. For midtown Manhattan, right on the money.

Too bad the southern mid Atlantic and the Florida gulf coast beat out NYC.  

[WinterWolf]

38 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

eh it would be a lot more interesting if the northern stream would dig another 100+ mi 

Well, a 100 mile shift is nothing at day 6…that’s nothing at day 2.  For the record, I hope the fantasy snow doesn’t happen, nobody needs or wants that now in April.  

[Torch Tiger]

One forecast concern is temperatures, and the corresponding
impact on winds. Should more sunshine develop than currently
forecast, we likely get deeper boundary layer mixing. With a
40-50 kt low level jet at 925 mb, that could lead to stronger
winds than currently forecast, which is closer to the 90th
percentile of the NationalBlend guidance but still below Wind
Advisory thresholds. Forecast high temperatures in the 60s away
from the immediate coasts could reach the 70s in a few spots.

ACATT stomped out 

[Typhoon Tip]

It's getting more difficult to ignore the possibility that this drilling -NAO might have been over-sold by guidance, ...as so many have before regarding that particular index handling.

It looks like there's a coherence emerging to race through a cool anomaly related, and in fact ...the NAO is being repositioned at this point too far E to really be > 50% correlation on our circulation mode here.   

It's still formulating ... but this could be a shorter stay before a seasonal bust out - 

[Typhoon Tip]

actually I just saw the operational GGEM and GFS and at least as far as the 500mb height synoptic evolution, the ^ above appears on point.  

God I hope so...I've never been so psycho-babble prepared and in want of a warm season like I am this year.   

[CoastalWx]

EPS still looks iffy to me until mid month or so. They'll be some nice days thrown in like what we have coming up, but kind of meh. 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

58 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Well, a 100 mile shift is nothing at day 6…that’s nothing at day 2.  For the record, I hope the fantasy snow doesn’t happen, nobody needs or wants that now in April.  

Not surprised. The micro climate in midtown is pretty nuts. There are London Plane trees in Rockefeller center that do not lose all of there leaves some winters…

[Boston Bulldog]

5 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Winter in NYC is 1/1-1/15. 

Spent two winters in Manhattan now, and this seems generous. Not once did streets even get coated decently down here. I work in midtown, have never seen snow accumulate on the sidewalk when I leave the building. Fortunately back to snowier places next year 

[ineedsnow]

18z HRRR lost the sleet storm for tonight and the 18z NAM found it 

[Cold Miser]

6 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

Probably gone at 12z but fun to look at

At least you're persistent. 

Can't blame a brother for trying. 

[ineedsnow]

radar looks really good to the west

[wxeyeNH]

38.5/10F      How much snow, sleet or freezing rain?

[Damage In Tolland]

10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

radar looks really good to the west

For what? Much of it will dry up 

[ineedsnow]

lots of discrete storms forming near that high risk zone.. going to be wild soon

[kdxken]

24 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

lots of discrete storms forming near that high risk zone.. going to be wild soon

Yeah watching live stuff's popping.

[Damage In Tolland]

This will be one of those legit “ Night of the killer tornadoes “ that happen periodically in that area