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Napril 2025 Obs/Discussion!


Torch Tiger
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10 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah Sunday could be 65-70 SOP

I'm screwed....again. Funny how I am never grouped with those to the north during the winter, when they are frolicking in the snow with stakes up their asses, but I never fail to fit right in with them in April, when they are mired in ass mist for weeks on end.

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The back door makes it to NC/Virginia border on Friday; much further south than this past weekend. Friday looks beautiful as a result.

I’m hoping we can get it to stick south on Saturday…Will need confluence to strengthen and dampen the incoming weak disturbance to a fizzle but bigger changes still needed on guidance. 
 

That would then leave the worst weather to Sunday with the much deeper wave…BN and wet.

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8 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

The back door makes it to NC/Virginia border on Friday; much further south than this past weekend. Friday looks beautiful as a result.

I’m hoping we can get it to stick south on Saturday…Will need confluence to strengthen and dampen the incoming weak disturbance to a fizzle but bigger changes still needed on guidance. 
 

That would then leave the worst weather to Sunday with the much deeper wave…BN and wet.

Yea, even with the BD through us....if the boundary gets far enough away, we can still manage decent weather with early September equivalent solar irradiance.

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10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, even with the BD through us....if the boundary gets far enough away, we can still manage decent weather with early September equivalent solar irradiance.

Sunday could still be nice there. Just have higher confidence south. Saturday is dung but at least dry in the morning. Friday is a DSD.

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