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Napril 2025 Obs/Discussion!


Torch Tiger
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51 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Where do you go to see ptypes off that product?
I mean, I’m not even sure if that model’s very good to be honest - I don’t frankly see how it crossing the quantum uncertain principal/chaos threshold of limiting returns just because it’s so-called AI … unless somebody can explain that, it’s just another gadget.  Still I mean, it’s another products maybe worth looking at.

Snowmap

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"crap" pattern 

Thursday and Friday...

High pressure moves off the coast by Thu as low pressure tracks
across Quebec. This will allow a southwest flow of much milder air
to work into southern New England. Highs will probably into the 60s
for many locations.  We may have to contend with some showers
associated from a warm front and eventually an approaching cold
front sometime Thu into Thu night...but not expecting a washout.

Thinking right now is that the cold front will have cleared the
southern New England coast by early Fri. So perhaps a few lingering
showers early Fri...but thinking mainly dry weather. Despite some
cooling temps aloft behind the front...given the mild start and
northwest flow think we see highs in the 60s again.
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2 hours ago, moneypitmike said:

Any chance of salvaging the weekend?  I have a work event.....good weather makes it a much more successful day.

May sneak in a fair Saturday out ahead of a fast moving low pressure... Could be mild sun depending.  

Sunday - for now - looks dicey at best.   Typical spring-time warm front retardation smears cold rain and even ptype mixing in CNE... 

From a larger perspective ..there is a chance Sunday may improve in the outlook - it's day 6. There's time.   There is an impressive ridge signaled; the models have been shirking the warm potential, then plunging the cold in when breaking the ridge down.  Seems a bit biased but ...we've sort of been finding colder solutions since last October, so -

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This is the latest I've seen foliage green up indicators ( buds and stem greening... etc) in 10 years or more.

I realize that some along the southern/SE zones are observing this now, but I'm speaking to interior up here along Rt 2.  Usually by now, the random forest floor species have early opportunity buds and even tiny leaves by April 1.     May as well be January 1 by the look of the environmental setting out there.   

 

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14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

First yellow blooms on forsythia popped this weekend here 

Is that late for Tolland standards?      thing is, it's tough to know what that standard is, because Forsythias and some of these other low shrubs are more variable year to year based on whether they get goosed by early warmth

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1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Is that late for Tolland standards?      thing is, it's tough to know what that standard is, because Forsythias and some of these other low shrubs are more variable year to year based on whether they get goosed by early warmth

In sunny areas they started but ones in shade have not 

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