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Central PA Spring 2025


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Looking at mesoanalysis, dynamics are definitely the big factor in the severe threat from this line. Effective helicity is pretty notable in a narrow corridor of west central PA just ahead of the line. 

image.thumb.png.8e8ca01cb9d88530c800251d09107c42.png

Same goes for effective bulk shear as well. Limiting factor is CAPE, which is only of the few hundred J/kg variety in western PA. Thus, QLCS spinups are quite possible directly associated with the line given significant helicity/shear. Eastern PA still pretty stable, so we shall see how the atmosphere evolves as the line traverses PA.

We’re def in the warm sector here. Quite warm/humid considering the date (66/58ºF on the station here). Winds are really ripping. KAOO wind is SSE 33mph gust to 45 with a high gust of 55mph. 

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64/60 here, so just one off on each. It feels sticky and summerish, even with the wind. I just wonder how far east the really severe weather can get.
It might depend on if any sun can raise cape some ahead of lineScreenshot_20250316_140659.jpg

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24 minutes ago, str8liner said:

A couple claps of thunder, wind and some heavy rain here.....See, even the severe spring events are meh for me.

I have always said if you like boring weather, Bedford Co. is the place to be. :lol:

Less than that in Three Springs. 

 

Ridge and Valley from Bedford through maybe Sunbury is probably the most boring weather region in this state. 

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12 minutes ago, canderson said:

It’s 72 but the humidity is down to 57.  It was 67 about an hour ago. 
 

Big, big winds in what seems like a gravity wave here. 

I think I had a gust about 30 minutes ago that was stronger than anything since Isabel here. My trashcan is gone. Don't want to exaggerate but it had to be 60+.

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7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I think I had a gust about 30 minutes ago that was stronger than anything since Isabel here. My trashcan is gone. Don't want to exaggerate but it had to be 60+.

You had some sun before us and that can upset stable stuff and the 70-80kn winds are at 2-3k so doesn’t take much to mix them down. I don’t doubt that guesstimate at all. 

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