Central PA Spring 2025

[Jns2183]

0.05" of rain is not doing anything for this drought.

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[Yardstickgozinya]

Lol ,  @RuinWhat in God's geen earth makes you think I want ,or think it's going to fucking snow in the first place?   I posted it because you're literally delusional and possibly the most annoying person to ever post here. It's pretty fucking  obvious from my posts and others that most of us have moved on and have been in gardening and severe weather mode  for over a month  I personally haven't posted about winter in over 5 weeks . I have told you post after post that I agree with you and that I too don't buy into winter storm forcast either, but here you are again lectureing Flatheadsicknes about the insufficiency of the modles. The fact that you think I'm a modle guy  just proves how lost  you are.  There's only one guy in this thread that's  still on the snow train and that's his God given right. If it's bothering you that much than I do advise you change,  or seek help all jokes aside. 

[Yardstickgozinya]

No worries. I won't be reading or responding to the tool bag an further. 

[Jns2183]

The printing press was a mistake

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[Voyager]

Must have been a bunch of deleted posts. Someone give this second shift truck driver some cliff notes, please.

[Voyager]

2 hours ago, Jns2183 said:

0.05" of rain is not doing anything for this drought.

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You did better than me. My backyard only got 0.03"

[Yardstickgozinya]

17 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Must have been a bunch of deleted posts. Someone give this second shift truck driver some cliff notes, please.

If you're referring to my post I just forgot to address it. Its just a scwobble among two guy know one likes. Apparently we are both somewhat mentaly handicapped . Probably nothing the nerotypical want to get involved with. 

[mahantango#1]

.01 rain yesterday.

[Yardstickgozinya]

 

Wow.  !!! Although not highlighted, both the spc and noaa forcast discussion mention another possible round of severe weather that could affect central PA.  Thursday. 

 

[Yardstickgozinya]

The latest forecast discussion has new details on both potential systems. 

Strong mid level wind/shear profiles also support the potential
of severe weather Monday PM. A Slight Risk has been issued for
all of Central Pa with the main threat being damaging wind
gusts. Cloud cover is likely to hold temps down somewhat
Monday, but many EPS members still generate CAPE values in the
200-800J/kg range, which could be sufficient for severe weather
given the expected wind fields. Latest ensemble plumes indicate
most likely rainfall Monday of around a half inch, which would
be beneficial given recent dryness across Eastern Pennsylvania.

After the cold frontal passage, a low PWAT airmass and high
pressure will begin building into the region, resulting in fair
and relatively cool weather Tuesday into early Wednesday.

Medium range guidance all tracks another surface low west of PA
through the Grt Lks next Thursday. Rain along the attendant
warm front could spread into Central PA by Wed PM, with a chance
of showers accompanying the trailing cold front Thursday. A
cold air damming scenario ahead of the approaching warm front
with surface high east of New England supports undercutting NBM
maxtemps slightly Wed. However, much milder conditions are
likely Thursday, with the region potentially breaking into the
warm sector south of the surface low. A trailing cold front is
currently progged to stall out just south of PA next Friday. A
potential wave on the front could result in lingering rain,
especially over Southern PA.

[Yardstickgozinya]

 Day 5 sounds extremely volatile, but I may be misunderstanding the explanation and evolution of Day 6 from the spc and noaa. Maybe someone with more experience and  access could weigh in ? I'm assuming breaking into the warm sector   on a system that could potentially cause a severe weather outbreak the day before is usually a good indicator, but maybe that's not always the case ?

[mahantango#1]

54 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

Maybe someone with more experience and  access could weigh in ? I'm assuming breaking into the warm sector   on a system that could potentially cause a severe weather outbreak the day before is usually a good indicator, but maybe that's not always the case ?

I think some of those people with more experience have now left the forum, never to return. And that is a shame imo.

[Blizzard of 93]

1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said:

I think some of those people with more experience have now left the forum, never to return. And that is a shame imo.

I’m still tracking late season snow chances. 

[canderson]

I think MDT get to 81 today. 

[mahantango#1]

8 minutes ago, canderson said:

I think MDT get to 81 today. 

Bring on the heat!

[Blizzard of 93]

8 minutes ago, canderson said:

I think MDT get to 81 today. 

Lol, what happened to your 82 call?

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Low of 47 and .03” of rain. A nice warm weekend ahead. Should feel nice though with the mix of clouds and breezes. 

[canderson]

41 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Lol, what happened to your 82 call?

Early clouds 

[Blizzard of 93]

1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I’m still tracking late season snow chances. 

The last 2 runs of the Euro AI have brought back the late season snow look for us around April 8th.

 

[Blizzard of 93]

3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The last 2 runs of the Euro AI have brought back the late season snow look for us around April 8th.

 

 

[Mount Joy Snowman]

22 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

 

Keep fighting Blizz! 

[Voyager]

3 hours ago, mahantango#1 said:

I think some of those people with more experience have now left the forum, never to return. And that is a shame imo.

Who drove them out? I hope it wasn't me with my warmanista posting tendencies. Most of the time, even though I am a warm, summer lover, I'm just joking.

[Voyager]

Wow!!!

10:25AM and I'm already up to 70 in the backyard.

[ChescoWx]

Our warmest day since early November is on tap today across the area. Here in East Nantmeal we are already up to 73 degrees here at 1030am. Some valley locations across the area could reach or exceed 80 degrees today! This is nowhere near the County record of 88 degrees back in 1945. A backdoor cold front moving from NE to SW will try to cross the area toward midnight tonight. How far SW this front makes will make a huge difference across our area tomorrow. Currently the National Weather Service has highs tomorrow in the lower 70's here in East Nantmeal. This assumes the front remains NE of our area. However, some of the latest models suggest the front may almost make it to the Mason Dixon line. If this occurs we may see high temperatures, especially across Northern Chester County being at least 10 to 15 degrees lower than the current forecast. A 20-degree difference is possible from the upper 40's to the north to the 70's to the south. Rain chances to increase by Monday morning with some models showing as much as an inch of rain by late Monday night.

[Jns2183]

I'm already over heating
It's going to be a long 6 months

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[canderson]

76 at noon.  It’s kinda uncomfortable out. 

[Itstrainingtime]

80 at noon here. 81 at MU. 

[mahantango#1]

2 hours ago, Voyager said:

Who drove them out? I hope it wasn't me with my warmanista posting tendencies. Most of the time, even though I am a warm, summer lover, I'm just joking.

Idk who drove them out. I just wish they would return. But I think they won't be back.

[mahantango#1]

25 minutes ago, canderson said:

76 at noon.  It’s kinda uncomfortable out. 

Don't complain about this warmth. We had a long cold winter. Any warmth is welcomed after this winter.

[canderson]

2 hours ago, Voyager said:

Who drove them out? I hope it wasn't me with my warmanista posting tendencies. Most of the time, even though I am a warm, summer lover, I'm just joking.

It wasn’t anyone in particular from what I understand.