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Central PA Spring 2025


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3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I've been in my home for 25 years (and paid off for 5 years!) and have never had any damage from prevailing N/NW/W oriented winds. But when southerly winds start howling, all bets are off. There was a period of time yesterday afternoon when I was feeling a lot of anxiety. Never felt that way in any of the windiest "cold direction" wind events. 

S/SE winds don't really impact me here much at all, whereas the W/NW ones have caused a lot of damage. 

My next house will be made of concrete and facing E with a giant berm to block W winds. I'm not even joking! 

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An under-performer yesterday here in Lebanon. The line had a hard time making to the east of the river and we didnt even measure our first precip until about 9PM! Even the short range meso-models were well overdone for eastern counties as I ended with only 0.56” in the bucket


.

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32 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Maybe I wasn't paying attention, but I didn't think today would be so cloudy, chilly, and raw outside. Temp keeps dropping and is now down to 44 degrees.

I knew it'd be windy but thought we'd have more sun. It was nice and bright for an hour or two (say 11 to 1) but clouded back up. 

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23 hours ago, WmsptWx said:

Less than that in Three Springs. 

 

Ridge and Valley from Bedford through maybe Sunbury is probably the most boring weather region in this state. 

When the internet came of age and we all became weather forecasters, :lol: I figured that out pretty quickly.

Yesterday the neighbor calls and tells wife about the Tornado watch and the warnings.....She's is fretting over it. I said don't worry hun, it will be light showers till it gets here.....

She is slowly starting to come around to my way if thinking. 

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When the internet came of age and we all became weather forecasters,  I figured that out pretty quickly.
Yesterday the neighbor calls and tells wife about the Tornado watch and the warnings.....She's is fretting over it. I said don't worry hun, it will be light showers till it gets here.....
She is slowly starting to come around to my way if thinking. 
Until we get another june1998 with f3/f4 around seven springs south or a 5/31/85 outbreak with a long track f3/f4 going for 100 miles east but this time further south

Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

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58 minutes ago, 2001kx said:

Still no power here from the storm yesterday.

Any confirmed reports of a tornado around here (clearfield)?

NOUS41 KCTP 172245
PNSCTP
PAZ010>012-017>019-045-180245-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
645 PM EDT Mon Mar 17 2025

...Storm Survey updates for portions of Clearfield, Centre, and
Clinton Counties...

The National Weather Service office in State College in
coordination with emergency management partners has conducted
damage surveys in portions of Clearfield, Centre, and Clinton
Counties.

It has been determined that peak estimated wind speeds reached
90-100 mph east of Bellefonte along Jacksonville Road to north of
Beech Creek in Clinton County. Estimated peak wind speeds were
also determined to be 90-100 mph in Clearfield County between
Olanta and Glen Richey along Haag Hill Road.

Additionally, the Civil Air Patrol in coordination with the
Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency (PEMA) will conduct
flyovers of damage swaths/rotation tracks in Elk and Cameron
Counties on Tuesday, March 18.

The surveys are in relation to the severe thunderstorms that
moved through the area on March 16, 2025.

Additional survey results will be provided as they become
available. Final assessments are expected to be completed by
midweek.
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5 hours ago, CASH_COOP said:
NOUS41 KCTP 172245
PNSCTP
PAZ010>012-017>019-045-180245-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
645 PM EDT Mon Mar 17 2025

...Storm Survey updates for portions of Clearfield, Centre, and
Clinton Counties...

The National Weather Service office in State College in
coordination with emergency management partners has conducted
damage surveys in portions of Clearfield, Centre, and Clinton
Counties.

It has been determined that peak estimated wind speeds reached
90-100 mph east of Bellefonte along Jacksonville Road to north of
Beech Creek in Clinton County. Estimated peak wind speeds were
also determined to be 90-100 mph in Clearfield County between
Olanta and Glen Richey along Haag Hill Road.

Additionally, the Civil Air Patrol in coordination with the
Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency (PEMA) will conduct
flyovers of damage swaths/rotation tracks in Elk and Cameron
Counties on Tuesday, March 18.

The surveys are in relation to the severe thunderstorms that
moved through the area on March 16, 2025.

Additional survey results will be provided as they become
available. Final assessments are expected to be completed by
midweek.

Thanks for the info..Power just came back on.

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1 minute ago, AccuChris said:


Sadly, the GFS has been awful this winter with rumored storms that never happened. Probably printed out close to 100” of virtual snow for me but my season is at around 22” in reality


.

Agreed, but might as well track to the end & maybe we get lucky before time truly runs out in a couple of weeks.

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On 3/17/2025 at 5:48 AM, Yardstickgozinya said:

 Could this be another system we maybe need to monitor as it heads east Monday or Tuesday ? There is nothing highlighted for day 8 yet but the spc discussion peeked my interest. 

 On Monday, the trough is forecast to move eastward across the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, as a cold front advances quickly toward the Atlantic Seaboard. Thunderstorms with an isolated severe threat willbe possible along and near the front during the afternoon, but predictability is low concerning the timing of the front, and its associated trough.

  Nope

 On Monday and Tuesday, the mid-level trough is forecast to move into the eastern U.S., as a cold front advances southward to near the Gulf Coast. Although isolated storms could develop in the southern Gulf Coast states, limited large-scale ascent is expected to be problematic concerning an organized severe threat.

 

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1 hour ago, AccuChris said:


Sadly, the GFS has been awful this winter with rumored storms that never happened. Probably printed out close to 100” of virtual snow for me but my season is at around 22” in reality


.

This.

And it's not just the GFS and it's not limited to this winter. I had said back in September that I was going to keep a tally of digital snow vs ground truth this winter. Waiting patiently to post the final numbers, but I'll just say now that the 100" number you threw out there is actually too low.

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