Central PA Spring 2025

[Jns2183]

Not sold on much severe in the LSV Sunday - clouds might not let anything destabilize. But the winds will still be fierce and a squall line can still occur even if not officially severe. 
I don't know the true definition of a derecho, but this evening in Missouri/Iowa/Illinois seems like a derecho event is going to occur. 

Today might be worse than tomorrow since prime storm mode seems to be late night. Nws St Louis put out a stark afd this morning mentioning possible ways this threat might fail becoming less and less likely as new data comes in.

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[WmsptWx]

I hope they are preparing body bags in the south for tonight and tomorrow. 

[Jns2183]

I don't have a weather station but I am going to buy the approved gauge for $42. If anyone knows a cheaper approved gauge please post. I think it would be great if we could get 2-4 new approved locations for this.

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[Mount Joy Snowman]

42 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

I don't have a weather station but I am going to buy the approved gauge for $42. If anyone knows a cheaper approved gauge please post. I think it would be great if we could get 2-4 new approved locations for this.

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I’ve been using this gauge for a decade, still going strong! Nothing else comes close. 

[CASH_COOP]

30 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

I’ve been using this gauge for a decade, still going strong! Nothing else comes close. 

Agreed.  I have cocorahs sites at all 3 of my courses.   I also have one next to my official 8” gauge at the house and they’re usually within a few hundreds of each other.   Weather your way website has a 5 dollar discount on that rain gauge for the month of march.   

[canderson]

3 hours ago, Jns2183 said:

Today might be worse than tomorrow since prime storm mode seems to be late night. Nws St Louis put out a stark afd this morning mentioning possible ways this threat might fail becoming less and less likely as new data comes in.

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SPC with a day 2 high risk - third time in history they’ve done that. The others:

4/14/2012
4/7/2006

 

[Ruin]

forecast is 61 still at 46 

[Yardstickgozinya]

I don't think I have ever seen a vort max so evident on traditional radar before the fetch.

[Itstrainingtime]

3 hours ago, canderson said:

SPC with a day 2 high risk - third time in history they’ve done that. The others:

4/14/2012
4/7/2006

 

Slight risk removed from all of PA.

[canderson]

16 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Slight risk removed from all of PA.

Makes sense. May get some thunder E of you but that’s about it - I’ll that the rain though. 

[Voyager]

Part of the tornado warning verbage for Rolla, MO right now...

At 730 PM CDT, a tornado producing storm was located near Fort
  Leonard Wood, moving northeast at 60 mph.

  HAZARD...Damaging tornado and tennis ball size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

[Voyager]

Check out this satellite view of the dust being sucked into the Midwest storm...

[canderson]

Crazy! 

[pawatch]

44 degrees this morning. 8mph wind gust.

Looks like a rough weekend is in store. Heard 1-1.5” of much needed rain is on the way for Sunday.

We hit 61 yesterday, the record was 82 degrees 1990.

[Jns2183]

I do love this backdoor cold front

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[Itstrainingtime]

37 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

I do love this backdoor cold front

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Best part is it stabilizes the atmosphere.

[canderson]

56 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Best part is it stabilizes the atmosphere.

Absolutely. 
 

Today is my fav kind of day. I’m weird.  

[Yardstickgozinya]

 

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

 

 

 

[mahantango#1]

Almost seems like a summer morning.

[CASH_COOP]

5 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

 

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

 

 

 

Here’s a snipit from ctp disco this morning:

We will certainly increase our messaging on the severe
threats. Thinking locally is that there also may be an equal
tor risk all across our srn tier than what is presented in the
SPC guidance early this morning.

[Yardstickgozinya]

15 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

Almost seems like a summer morning.

I was thinking classic spring with the fog and mist. That may not be the case where your at. It's still a awesome morning either way . Many birds are back and the peepers are in full chorus.  

[Voyager]

19 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

Almost seems like a summer morning.

Yes. 58 degrees here 

[Yardstickgozinya]

The fog and mist dissipated just before sunrise but it's still slightly damp and cloudy here. 

[mahantango#1]

temp is 62 with a dewpoint of 59. Clouds are really moving fast.

[Yardstickgozinya]

 Take it with a grain of salt, but the Hrrr has the idea of bringing a line of storms into wcpa around 4:00pm and what looks to be a more discreet cellular storm into southern York Lancaster co.

[mahantango#1]

[canderson]

Won’t take much to tap into the jet overhead. It is screaming. 
 

Wind advisories up too for Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon and York counties. 15-25 mph with gusts to 50. 

[mahantango#1]

4 minutes ago, canderson said:

Won’t take much to tap into the jet overhead. It is screaming. 
 

Wind advisories up too for Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon and York counties. 15-25 mph with gusts to 50. 

And with that dp of 59 which is what I have at the present time.

[Yardstickgozinya]

38 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

temp is 62 with a dewpoint of 59. Clouds are really moving fast.

I tried to pull up the soundings for BWI because I believe that's the closest available to both of us, but unfortunately, the only soundings that were available  atm  where  Norman Ok. No matter what station I selected.

[Jns2183]

I tried to pull up the soundings for BWI because I believe that's the closest available to both of us, but unfortunately, the only soundings that were available  atm  where  Norman Ok. No matter what station I selected.

Model skew-t 4pm

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