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March 14-15 Severe Weather Outbreak


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Mesoscale Discussion 0184
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1020 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025

   Areas affected...Northeast Arkansas into the Missouri Bootheel

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 32...36...

   Valid 150320Z - 150515Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 32, 36 continues.

   SUMMARY...Supercells with a history of producing tornadoes will
   continue to pose a tornado threat (including significant tornadoes)
   for the next couple of hours as they move into northeast Arkansas
   and southeast Missouri.

   DISCUSSION...Two long-lived supercells moving across north-central
   AR and south-central MO have had a history of producing tornadoes
   per dual-pol data and spotter reports. Based on rotational velocity
   estimates and the magnitude of the convective environment
   (characterized by STP values up to 10), one or more of these
   tornadoes were likely significant (EF-2+). These cells will continue
   to reside in this exceptionally rare STP environment for the next
   1-2 hours as they move into far northeast AR and southeast MO.
   Consequently, the potential for additional long-track and
   significant (possibly intense) tornadoes will continue across this
   region.

   ..Moore.. 03/15/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...
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The National Weather Service in Chicago has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Southeastern De Kalb County in north central Illinois...
  Southwestern Kane County in northeastern Illinois...

* Until midnight CDT.

* At 1124 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms capable of producing a tornado
  were located along a line extending from Waterman to near Somonauk
  to Lake Holiday, moving northeast at 60 mph.

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2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Pretty much impossible to keep up with - across such a vast area too. Wonder if we get more than a couple hours off over the next 30 hours or so 

Lot of less than ideal radar coverage, too. Not saying anything anyone doesn’t know, but would be huge to fill some of these gaps in one day…

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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1136 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025

MOC023-150500-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-250315T0500Z/
Butler MO-
1136 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR
NORTHERN BUTLER COUNTY...

At 1135 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado
was approaching Poplar Bluff, moving northeast at 40 mph. Poplar
Bluff needs to take cover immediately!

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
         is possible.

The tornado will be near...
  Poplar Bluff around 1140 PM CDT.
  Fisk around 1145 PM CDT.
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