HillsdaleMIWeather Posted Monday at 06:18 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:18 PM Lets get the ball rolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted Monday at 06:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:28 PM At this point, looks like a swing and a miss for anything overly interesting for this sub-forum. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted Monday at 07:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:26 PM 1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said: At this point, looks like a swing and a miss for anything overly interesting for this sub-forum. Yeah, was pretty set on a chase Friday until about the 00Z suite last night. Verbatim, LCLs aren't terrible if temps remain in the 60s even with low 50s dews (Winterset day blew my mind that was even possible with those kind of surface thermos), but GFS forecast soundings suggest things might stay capped at those temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted Monday at 08:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:26 PM 59 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Yeah, was pretty set on a chase Friday until about the 00Z suite last night. Verbatim, LCLs aren't terrible if temps remain in the 60s even with low 50s dews (Winterset day blew my mind that was even possible with those kind of surface thermos), but GFS forecast soundings suggest things might stay capped at those temperatures. Yep, this will be another Dixie Alley special... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted Monday at 10:44 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:44 PM Could be quite a few severe wind reports over here in the DVN cwa with this. Lots of wind right off the deck so wouldn't take much to get severe gusts. With so much shear and vorticity with this system wouldn't be surprised to see a few DVN one scan wonder spinups along the advancing squall line. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted yesterday at 12:51 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:51 AM 5 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said: Yeah, was pretty set on a chase Friday until about the 00Z suite last night. Verbatim, LCLs aren't terrible if temps remain in the 60s even with low 50s dews (Winterset day blew my mind that was even possible with those kind of surface thermos), but GFS forecast soundings suggest things might stay capped at those temperatures. Yeah I was originally thinking Illinois would get in on the action. It really deflated the last 24 hours. Still potential down south though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted yesterday at 01:02 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:02 AM Not directly "severe thunderstorm" related but several local mets are already hitting on the wind potential for this storm. My former coworker saying 55 to 60+ gusts possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted yesterday at 01:46 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:46 AM 3 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Could be quite a few severe wind reports over here in the DVN cwa with this. Lots of wind right off the deck so wouldn't take much to get severe gusts. With so much shear and vorticity with this system wouldn't be surprised to see a few DVN one scan wonder spinups along the advancing squall line. On the 18Z GFS it appears the moisture surges north a bit by around 03Z Saturday. After dark QLCS threats are always fun... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNiño Posted yesterday at 03:15 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:15 AM I’ll happen to be in the STL area for this. I’m keeping an eye on what could be an interesting day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted yesterday at 02:05 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:05 PM Saturday looking bigger than Friday for both the northern and southern modes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted yesterday at 02:25 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:25 PM Looks windy and meh for MBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted yesterday at 02:45 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:45 PM It's only now at the tail end of its range, but the 12Z NAM at least keeps hope alive for something in possibly western Illinois on Friday. Moisture depth and low-level CAPE improve dramatically from 21-00Z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fluoronium Posted yesterday at 04:22 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:22 PM It's too bad a low of this strength has such meager moisture to work with. It'll probably still manage to spam QLCS tornadoes though. I'll be chasing regardless because I am so storm deprived. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted yesterday at 05:02 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:02 PM i'll take the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago On 3/9/2025 at 6:07 PM, sbnwx85 said: Way too early call of a 2 am thin squall line passage with scattered very isolated local wind damage reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago Pretty large ENH and hatched areaon new Day 3 (Friday) 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago This line is going to race northeastward across eastern Iowa, will be in and out in a flash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago selling severe imby but models do seem p insistent on maintaining decent line strength as it races east despite obv timing issues curious how it plays out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 38 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: selling severe imby but models do seem p insistent on maintaining decent line strength as it races east despite obv timing issues curious how it plays out Not a ton of optimism for anything of note, but do assume we will get some solid boomers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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