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Winter 2024-25. Lets grade it.


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It was yet another winter that was compressed into January… but what a month it was! The 1/3 squall was awesome and the 1/6 MECS was one of my favorite storms ever. The arctic air plus the snowpack refreshers gave me snowcover for the entire month. It was the first time since January 2022 that it felt like deep winter IMBY.

But… December was a shutout. March will be a shutout. February felt like a shutout too; I got one 9” storm that was completely gone within 36 hours, while the rest of the month torched. Then the big storm that missed us all. 

But I did finish above climo. A final grade is tough, but I’ll go with A- just because the January was so good it outweighs everything else.

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C+/B-

ended up with 17”, just a few inches short of climo but more days with snowcover during a cold january. Got lucky with the feb storm reaching warning criteria with a sharp cutoff just to the NW of me. Biggest storm of the season 7.5”

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B. Ended up with about average snowfall but more than any winter since 2018-2019.

Never got a direct hit from any storm - either slightly too far north (Jan 6, Feb 13, two warning level ice events) or too far south (Jan 11, Feb 19-20) but in return, there were 4 or 5 notable snow events and snow cover for most of January. 

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D+? One decent storm and not much else. I missed out on the epic squall day, which might have been the coolest part of winter for some. That said, there were a bunch of days with snow showers or flurries, and the decent storm timed up well with cold air behind it for almost the entire month of January, so there was snow over for almost an entire month. February was just such a disappointment, and our third snowiest month has been just really windy and now warm and there is nothing to track. The season basically ended in late February in terms of tracking anything. It was probably a B- considering expectations heading in and given recent years, but it seemed like we missed some opportunities once it actually got going.

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B+ overall in the lowlands. Being at this elevation and breaking climo near 19” with a 10+” storm puts this in a solid category. Add in the prolonged winter feel and it gets a very solid grade. 

A’s are reserved for years with a very memorable storm or two. This one just missed that mark. Can’t complain, but I know others were not so fortunate. 

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B- in Frederick. Had several systems of 2-4”, some healthy squalls, and a couple of cosmetic events sprinkled in with a bit of freezing rain. We’ve had worse, but it’s time for a 6-10” snowfall.

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For mby, I'd give it a solid B. Right at climo for snow and temperatures were cold for solid stretches at a time. But, out here, that's what it should be. That's why we have ski resorts. Not that long ago, snowfall totals were double what we experienced.  Certainly better than the previous few, but that's akin to saying I'm pumped for the firing squad vs the electric chair.

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Nearby stations @dailylurkerand @MillvilleWx have correctly summarized our swamps-of-Anne-Arundel winter with scores of A and B+ respectively. But, I am going to agree with the B+, based on the lack of, (or maybe near miss), of a KU style MECS. An A grade winter requires the KU and maybe a white Christmas. 18.4" snowfall is a bit above average here.

Also, in our back yard, we had plenty of frozen waterways for most of Jan/Feb. Good indicator of true winter.

Also, not IMBY, but worthy of note, is the widespread snow deep into the Gulf states.

Image

 

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A for south and east of DC aka my back yard.  2 verified winter storm warnings, a 9.5 storm and 8.5 storm, plus that Thunder snow squall on January 3, which thinking back on was the best 30 minutes of winter in a looong time, maybe since 2016 here!  I recorded 31 lightening strikes in that 30 minutes, during a crazy snow squall that dropped 1.5”.  

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The overall h5 pattern could have been a lot worse than this, particularly in a weak Nina, which are among the crappiest winters historically for the MA. Luck plays a role. Good sensible weather outcomes for some and not so good for others in our sub forum this winter. Short and longer term trends wrt the indices play a role, among other things. 

Composite Plot

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^We were a -NAO away from having a good Winter pattern, it would have pushed the mean trough SW. Instead we had +NAO (SLP difference in the N. Atlantic between the Azores and south of Iceland), and it kept everything progressive. It's a shame we had -60dm 50/50 low, favorable Pacific, and really so little snow.. although places down south had average. 

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B+ for me. The Jan 3 squall was amazing to be out and about in, and was about bulls-eyed for the two big regional events. Need 10”+er for an “A” grade, and would prefer the entire forum get in on the good vibes. Given the expectations going in however, Im pretty pleased.  

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