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Pittsburgh Spring 2025


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44 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Wow, this looks brutal. It has been above normal 19 of the last 20 months at Pittsburgh, and this would make it 25 of 26. JB seems skeptical but smart money is probably on this happening.

 

Lmao two things, one Bastardi can't get shit right half of the time. Two that's a ridiculous forecast to even look at. We can't even predict a snowstorm 4 days out let alone what the temps will be like for the next 6 months. Odds are they will most likely be above normal since we seem to be in a cycle of above normal temps. 

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uzGlDHT.png


   Mesoscale Discussion 0151
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0119 PM CST Wed Mar 05 2025

   Areas affected...Northeastern West Virginia...northern
   Virginia...western Pennsylvania

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 051919Z - 052115Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Damaging wind and hail threat may increase with
   thunderstorm development this afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...Diurnal heating along a secondary cold frontal boundary
   located across West Virginia into western Pennsylvania has allowed
   for convective development over the last 30-60 minutes. Temperatures
   have warmed into the 60s ahead of this boundary, yielding around 500
   J/kg of SBCAPE to develop. Looking at the mid-levels, a 500 mb
   90-100 kt jet continues to move northward across the area,
   supporting 0-6 km shear around 90-100 kts. CAM guidance suggests
   further development is possible along the boundary through the
   afternoon. Given strong shear profiles, some loosely organized cells
   may pose a risk for damaging wind and hail. Convective trends will
   be monitored over the next couple of hours for potential watch
   issuance.

   ..Thornton/Mosier.. 03/05/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...CLE...

   LAT...LON   39938027 40838032 41578055 41928038 42037992 41967936
               41587829 41187804 40667792 40227778 39567774 39047784
               38577812 38147854 37937878 38127951 38578025 39368046
               39938027 

 

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Still three days away...

 

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
KEY MESSAGES:

- Weekend severe weather potential and flooding potential.
- A brief cooldown Monday, with a warmup into mid-week.
-------------------------------------------------------------------

There is increasing confidence in the next disturbance passing 
through this weekend. The most likely timing remains, Saturday 
for the warm front, with a strong pressure gradient Saturday 
afternoon with enhanced low level flow in the warm sector. This 
will need to continue to be monitored for severe development, 
with ensemble plumes fairly confident on buoyancy, but unsure on
just how much. This might suggest a primary threat of damaging 
winds. The main cold front is most likely to pass late Saturday 
into early Sunday. Rainfall amounts are quite variable, between 
0.5 and 1.5 inches between the 25th and 75th percentile. 
Marginal flooding conditions are also possible as the cold front
slowly moves through. Synoptic winds are also forecast at 20 to
30 mph (25th to 75th percentile).

Behind the cold front, a brief cool down to near-normal is
expected with moderate confidence, followed by a warm-up back
above normal by mid-week.
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11 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Records met or exceeded at all climate sites today, except DuBois. Low 80s common in the south and west parts of the CWA.

PIT: 79F

HLG: 81F

MGW: 80F

ZZV: 80F

PHD: 78F

The only days that have been at or above 79 this early in the season are 3/8/2000 (80), 3/11/1876 (80), and 3/14/1990 (79). Was hoping we could squeeze out a couple more degrees and follow up our latest 81 ever recorded last November with our earliest 81 ever recorded, but it wasn’t to be.

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37 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

Odd cloud movement with these storms. In-between two bands, getting some light rain now. May be enough to take some of the bite out of the main line, but time will tell.

Thats a negative.. about 60 seconds of insane wind and hail, complete white out. That was intense. I thought the windows were going to get blown out. We don't typically get hit straight on like that.

PXL_20250316_165857289.thumb.jpg.e782709af274494039fa1720610d3512.jpg

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That cell that just went through here just got warned for tornado... Not suprised. My son and I were watching the cloud deck approach and I swear it looked like we could see the clouds rotating, or almost moving perpendicular to the storm morion, then all hell broke lose. May have just dodged a bullet.

1027635220_KPBZ_0(3).gif.5c23b980f5ece0af1190a3ca4a0cde6b.gif

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28 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

That cell that just went through here just got warned for tornado... Not suprised. My son and I were watching the cloud deck approach and I swear it looked like we could see the clouds rotating, or almost moving perpendicular to the storm morion, then all hell broke lose. May have just dodged a bullet.

1027635220_KPBZ_0(3).gif.5c23b980f5ece0af1190a3ca4a0cde6b.gif

Looks like we just dodged a bullet. Id rather not deal with tornados. Although would like to safely see one, one day. 

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2 minutes ago, Rd9108 said:

Looks like we just dodged a bullet. Id rather not deal with tornados. Although would like to safely see one, one day. 

Not going to complain about missing a tornado. Lol

Still not sure what we saw. The clouds were moving so fast on approach so maybe it was an illusion of perspective or something, but it sure looked like a very broad area of rotation high up in the approaching cloud deck.

Won't forget this one for awhile!

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1 minute ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

Not going to complain about missing a tornado. Lol

Still not sure what we saw. The clouds were moving so fast on approach so maybe it was an illusion of perspective or something, but it sure looked like a very broad area of rotation high up in the approaching cloud deck.

Won't forget this one for awhile!

Idk on the NWS people showed some ominous looking clouds so I wouldnt be surprised if what you saw was actually some rotation especially since the line became tornado warned just east.

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