Albedoman Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 these rains will not help the drought. Its wam bam thank you mam type of rain event. consisting of a 5-10 minute moderate to heavy rain squall and then 8-12 hours of drizzle and light showers. No more than an inch if we are lucky. This rain event will only help keep the spring bulbs flowering and take some of the yellow out of the lawns. We really need moderate all day rains with these cloudy shitty days we are having. We have so many of these type of cloudy days with no precip in the past 6-8 months, I stopped counting. Todays blown forecasted temps also do not get the spirits up too. The models keep puking 1 in snows for the end of the month and next Friday will be only in the low 40's for highs. It will only rain one day after Sunday--- next Thursday before the cold front which come through dry. The drought lives on. I see more brush fires and red flag warnings by the end of the week too if we get less than a half of inch of rain tomorrow. I did see one budding maple tree today whoopee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 Severe storm bustorama out west plenty of bust for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Temps now creeping up, we're at 52, woo hoo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 9 hours ago, Albedoman said: these rains will not help the drought. Its wam bam thank you mam type of rain event. consisting of a 5-10 minute moderate to heavy rain squall and then 8-12 hours of drizzle and light showers. No more than an inch if we are lucky. This rain event will only help keep the spring bulbs flowering and take some of the yellow out of the lawns. We really need moderate all day rains with these cloudy shitty days we are having. We have so many of these type of cloudy days with no precip in the past 6-8 months, I stopped counting. Todays blown forecasted temps also do not get the spirits up too. The models keep puking 1 in snows for the end of the month and next Friday will be only in the low 40's for highs. It will only rain one day after Sunday--- next Thursday before the cold front which come through dry. The drought lives on. I see more brush fires and red flag warnings by the end of the week too if we get less than a half of inch of rain tomorrow. I did see one budding maple tree today whoopee. From this mornings 4am discussion: hope this happens MT Holly lets cross our fingers. This will help green the lawns bigtime and get water in the soil profile However, cannot rule out some stronger gusts if a low-topped convective line can actually organize. While heavy rain is possible and rainfall rates for a brief period could approach an inch per hour, not really expecting any flooding concerns given how dry it has been. Rainfall amounts when all is said and done will be around an 1-1.5" with amounts up to 2" possible near the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 17 hours ago, RedSky said: Severe storm bustorama out west plenty of bust for everyone 32 dead cancel that bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Monster squall line out near Pittsburgh with tornadoes and stuff later today looks interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Listening to the wind you’d think it was trash night. 68F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted March 16 Author Share Posted March 16 2 hours ago, JTA66 said: Listening to the wind you’d think it was trash night. 68F It's recycle night here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVLion77 Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 The nowcast is trending negative for getting much rain in eastern PA. Hope we see some development. We desperately need a solid 1”-2” rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Still waiting so far only fog dampness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 5 hours ago, JTA66 said: Listening to the wind you’d think it was trash night. 68F Oh it's trash night here so wind on!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 Not one drop of rain here today to this point here windy cloudy and temps 63f to 70f High today here 70f Currently 63f winds South 26 mph gusting to 37 mph. Rain today: 0.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 2 hours ago, LVLion77 said: The nowcast is trending negative for getting much rain in eastern PA. Hope we see some development. We desperately need a solid 1”-2” rainfall. I feel like nowcasting is the only way to see how things pan out these days. Forecasts have been utter rubbish for (checks notes...) years now? Yeesh. No disrespect to our prof mets, but yeah. Rain all afternoon today? Nope. Ten degrees lower than forecasted yesterday. Countless model-predicted snows this winter and nothing. Something is deeply amiss in our ability to forecast weather with any kind of accuracy these days. I feel like all we can do at this point is watch the radar and try to see what's going to happen in the next couple of hours. Forget being able to see anything long-term, other than painting really, really broad strokes. That said... I am somewhat concerned with the radar at the moment: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 oh its coming like i said earlier wam bam thank you mam. 2 inches - no way 1 inch remote possibility likely .60 in of rain. keep the spring flowers budding and green up some grass areas. No drought buster for sure. I am waiting for the comments of a 3-6+ in snow event in less than 10 days on both the GFS and CMC evening runs ---what a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 6 minutes ago, Albedoman said: oh its coming like i said earlier wam bam thank you mam. 2 inches - no way 1 inch remote possibility likely .60 in of rain. keep the spring flowers budding and green up some grass areas. No drought buster for sure. I am waiting for the comments of a 3-6+ in snow event in less than 10 days on both the GFS and CMC evening runs ---what a joke man I stopped checking for digital snow on the GFS like a month ago. It's all fake news. Pretty to look at, and ponder at, but never real. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVLion77 Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 I feel like nowcasting is the only way to see how things pan out these days. Forecasts have been utter rubbish for (checks notes...) years now? Yeesh. No disrespect to our prof mets, but yeah. Rain all afternoon today? Nope. Ten degrees lower than forecasted yesterday. Countless model-predicted snows this winter and nothing. Something is deeply amiss in our ability to forecast weather with any kind of accuracy these days. I feel like all we can do at this point is watch the radar and try to see what's going to happen in the next couple of hours. Forget being able to see anything long-term, other than painting really, really broad strokes. That said... I am somewhat concerned with the radar at the moment:I have been a weather weenie for decades, and I feel the forecast accuracy has decreased. The weather patterns over the last several years are producing a lot less 1/4” - 3/4” steady rainfalls, which are now just becoming cloudy days like today. The models need to evolve to catch up with the evolving patterns of more extreme dry and wet pattens in which you’re relying on less events to get the same amount of rainfall. I also find it interesting that warm fronts produce a lot less rainfall than they did in our past. Hopefully we can catch a break tonight and get some real precipitation from the approaching line after the bust during the day. The waterways are really low for March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 First rumble of thunder this year. Raining steadily for about 10 so far minutes. Finally hear rain on the roof. The spring bulbs and grass are going to love this nitrogen infused rain. Convective rainfall infuses tons of natures free nitrogen fertilizer into the ground for the lawns to quickly green up. Just what the doctor ordered. Goodbye yellow grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 .30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 30 minutes ago, RedSky said: .30" one more round of showers in the next hour, should reach .60 like I first thought. Accurately predicting 1-2 in rains are not in the cards for another few weeks. It's like predicting a 6" snow event ---NADA. The drought lives on. At least things will green up now better late than never. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 3 minutes ago, Albedoman said: one more round of showers in the next hour, should reach .60 like I first thought. Accurately predicting 1-2 in rains are not in the cards for another few weeks. It's like predicting a 6" snow event ---NADA. The drought lives on. At least things will green up now better late than never. It's trying to back build Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 Doh it missed Drought wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 Kind of a junk and stuff going on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 I know nobody gives a crap but eh kinda heavy snow on the euro at 198hrs and the CMC keeps showing it Might have to kick Ralph's cryo sleep pod and wake him in a day or two 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 Hit my first 70 for the year yesterday just before 3 pm (after a low of 40). Had expected to get some kind of measurable before midnight but nada - my rain was all registered for today. No convection/lightning detected here. The plot of the temp/dp shows when that cold front came through just after midnight! Currently have 1.08" in the bucket at post time and it's currently 54 with dp 54 and light rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 3 hours ago, RedSky said: I know nobody gives a crap but eh kinda heavy snow on the euro at 198hrs and the CMC keeps showing it Might have to kick Ralph's cryo sleep pod and wake him in a day or two With the MJO phase in the circle of death, yeah no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 1.13" of rain on the day, makes 2.19" on the month. 54F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVLion77 Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 0.68” total here in sw lehigh county. It’s certainly better than nothing, but definitely a bit disappointing. We definitely needed a lot more than that. Hopefully we can add at least 1/4” or so and do well next Monday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 I'm buckled up...are you? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 We picked up 0.44” of rain since yesterday…unfortunately quite a bit less than hoped. Today’s temperatures will be close to normal for mid-March with highs in the lower 50’s. A freeze is possible especially for lower elevations across the area by dawn tomorrow. We then warm up again into the 60’s through Thursday. Our next rain chances arrive on Thursday. It’s much cooler by Friday as we close out the work week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 2 hours ago, LVLion77 said: 0.68” total here in sw lehigh county. It’s certainly better than nothing, but definitely a bit disappointing. We definitely needed a lot more than that. Hopefully we can add at least 1/4” or so and do well next Monday. . you verified my forecast of .60 yesterday. Thanks Still thinking snow for the weekend. LMAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now