largetornado Posted Monday at 01:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:42 PM 4 hours ago, nvck said: Something to watch for next weekend Honestly not sure why they issued this. Screenshot is EURO 500 MB for sunday night. GFS has a more pronounced trough but thermos need work. Given that the models are so different at 500 mb, i think this outlook is a bad call. Maybe Little Rock to evansville to bowling green to nashville. There is veering in GFS soundings. I agree there is a risk on sunday, but this large area...i dont see anything that supports it, especially as far north as michigan. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted Monday at 02:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:59 PM 1 hour ago, largetornado said: Honestly not sure why they issued this. Screenshot is EURO 500 MB for sunday night. GFS has a more pronounced trough but thermos need work. Given that the models are so different at 500 mb, i think this outlook is a bad call. Maybe Little Rock to evansville to bowling green to nashville. There is veering in GFS soundings. I agree there is a risk on sunday, but this large area...i dont see anything that supports it, especially as far north as michigan. I've seen a lot of social media posts already about the giant day 7 outlook. I agree that it seems premature to include such a large area at this point. The CSU forecast agrees with you, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted Monday at 06:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:26 PM 4 hours ago, largetornado said: Honestly not sure why they issued this. Screenshot is EURO 500 MB for sunday night. GFS has a more pronounced trough but thermos need work. Given that the models are so different at 500 mb, i think this outlook is a bad call. Maybe Little Rock to evansville to bowling green to nashville. There is veering in GFS soundings. I agree there is a risk on sunday, but this large area...i dont see anything that supports it, especially as far north as michigan. Perhaps Broyles hacked onto Goss' profile last night. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Tuesday at 12:49 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:49 PM another transient spring defo band being hinted at in the mid range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted Tuesday at 01:44 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:44 PM https://x.com/webberweather/status/1904243702932918584 https://x.com/webberweather/status/1904245132657934438 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted Tuesday at 06:51 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:51 PM Outlook this Spring....warms up, and turns into Summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Wednesday at 06:54 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:54 AM extended continues to look generally active/wet in the region 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted Wednesday at 02:30 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:30 PM 7 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: extended continues to look generally active/wet in the region Garbage pattern over the next 1-2 weeks. Looking so bad into April, we might as well get a blocking pattern by then. BAM brings up Aprils 2001, 2011, and 2012 as his analogs, but April 2011 looks to be the most fitting one since that April was one of the wettest ever. Looks like it'll be active/wet through at least a good portion of the upcoming summer, as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted Thursday at 01:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:06 PM With the latest 12Z GFS/NAM outputs, Sunday is getting rather interesting for severe potential especially in the eastern Illinois/western Indiana area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted Thursday at 01:40 PM Share Posted Thursday at 01:40 PM 41 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: With the latest 12Z GFS/NAM outputs, Sunday is getting rather interesting for severe potential especially in the eastern Illinois/western Indiana area. https://x.com/indywx/status/1905231109006188598 We are REALLY REALLY pushing for a 2011 redux this Spring...and perhaps 2025 this year altogether. Heading into April, not good if you're looking for sustained Spring warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted Thursday at 03:27 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:27 PM Volatile, potential widespread severe setup on the 12z Euro/EPS/AIFS next week around 4/2 @RCNYILWX. Have seen that synoptic pattern before and it's consistent with significant GL/Midwest/OV severe events. This has been showing up for several runs now while the GFS is off in la-la land. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/60046-2024-2025-la-nina/page/254/#comments From the 2024-2025 La Nina thread: This April's expected to have a very wet start to the month, but supposed to start feeling the effects of the recent Stratospheric warming by the 1st full week of April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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