A-L-E-K Posted March 11 Share Posted March 11 EPS looks warm in fantasy range 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 11 Share Posted March 11 13 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: EPS looks warm in fantasy Winter looks p done 3 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 Yeah outside of a surprise storm at some point, I don't think we will see much more wintry weather this spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 With the PV stretching out before it dissipates, there should still be a couple opportunities in the 2nd half of March for transient cold blasts and even light snowfall amounts in this subforum. But yeah, the prospects of a significant snowfall and lost-lasting cold look increasingly unlikely at this point between the Teleconnections and MJO forecast. One thing to watch though, as we transition into Summer, will be the worsening drought in the SW USA. It is giving shades of 2011 (although obviously the ENSO state isn't quite the same). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 13 minutes ago, Powerball said: With the PV stretching out before it dissipates, there should still be a couple opportunities in the 2nd half of March for transient cold blasts and even light snowfall amounts in this subforum. But yeah, the prospects of a significant snowfall and lost-lasting cold look increasingly unlikely at this point between the Teleconnections and MJO forecast. One thing to watch though, as we transition into Summer, will be the worsening drought in the SW USA. It is giving shades of 2011 (although obviously the ENSO state isn't quite the same). It isn't just the SW. Draw a diagonal line from there to Minnesota then go 500 miles either side of that. Many parts of this sub forum are pretty dry also. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 What a shit hole of a winter, ended up under 12" IMBY season total. Bring on the torch. 1 1 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 I’m sure the spreadsheets say otherwise, but regarding drought, there have been so many brush fires out by me to start this spring Locally this past fall, winter, and now spring have been extremely dry. Couple that with some very high winds, there have been sirens quite often from neighboring towns heading off to the plume of smoke off in the distance.Burning leaves, even when things have been damp, is no problem at all. It’s almost scary to fire up the Smokey Joe right now for some brats. Just a very dry period locally and looking forward to a wet and humid spring to bring everything back to life out my way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 riding it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 22 hours ago, King James said: I’m sure the spreadsheets say otherwise, but regarding drought, there have been so many brush fires out by me to start this spring Locally this past fall, winter, and now spring have been extremely dry. Couple that with some very high winds, there have been sirens quite often from neighboring towns heading off to the plume of smoke off in the distance. Burning leaves, even when things have been damp, is no problem at all. It’s almost scary to fire up the Smokey Joe right now for some brats. Just a very dry period locally and looking forward to a wet and humid spring to bring everything back to life out my way We had 6 brush/field fires in our county from 4PM Tuesday-4PM yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 Models continue to tease some snow across Iowa mid next week, right after we hit 70º again early in the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 1 hour ago, hawkeye_wx said: Models continue to tease some snow across Iowa mid next week, right after we hit 70º again early in the week. depressing. But it is March. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 Models are getting a bit frisky with the midweek storm. The new Euro is stronger and farther south. Other models are farther north. This Euro run has 70º here Tuesday and then heavy snow and wind Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 7 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said: Models are getting a bit frisky with the midweek storm. The new Euro is stronger and farther south. Other models are farther north. This Euro run has 70º here Tuesday and then heavy snow and wind Wednesday. Classic spring stuff. Late march and April snowstorms are lots of fun and for the Debbie downers it should be a given that they do not last long. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 The GFS looks nearly identical to the Euro, with this morning's run being a bit farther south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 nice active extended, perfect spring stuff 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 14 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said: Models are getting a bit frisky with the midweek storm. The new Euro is stronger and farther south. Other models are farther north. This Euro run has 70º here Tuesday and then heavy snow and wind Wednesday. Pending any moisture issues that has the look of another potentially significant threat in the warm sector of that system, and we haven't even begun today/tomorrow's. Verbatim that would be much more favorably placed for a workday chase for me. Today's is just a tad too far to go for storms that will be after dark, after being up since 3:30 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 Pattern definitely looks favorble for more unusually strong/dynamic systems for the remainder of March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 15 Share Posted March 15 Opportunities abound on the euro Have we shook the doldrums? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 looks wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 21 Share Posted March 21 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 21 Share Posted March 21 ^^^How lovely... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 21 Share Posted March 21 euro rolling in wet/active 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 Interesting, I keep hearing a lot of talk about how we just had a big SSWE. I used to think those inevitably led to prolonged cold springs in the East/Midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 24 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Interesting, I keep hearing a lot of talk about how we just had a big SSWE. I used to think those inevitably led to prolonged cold springs in the East/Midwest. I'm pretty sure it was just another PV stretch (the final one for the season as the PV dissipates) which don't always translate to severe / lasting cold spells. SSWE, like Polar Vortex in the context of winter storms, is grossly overused terminology in weather discussions (but especilly by one Met in particular). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 1 hour ago, TheClimateChanger said: That's definitely what all signs point to. But not before parts of TX get a bit of drought relief. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Sunday at 09:50 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:50 PM Euro v wet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted Sunday at 11:05 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:05 PM 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: Euro v wet Really nice to see after a dry winter. Should help kick off the growing season nicely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted Monday at 01:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:32 PM Something to watch for next weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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