Spring 2025 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[A-L-E-K]

EPS looks warm in fantasy range

 

[A-L-E-K]

13 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

EPS looks warm in fantasy 

Winter looks p done

[A-L-E-K]

[Stebo]

Yeah outside of a surprise storm at some point, I don't think we will see much more wintry weather this spring.

[Powerball]

With the PV stretching out before it dissipates, there should still be a couple opportunities in the 2nd half of March for transient cold blasts and even light snowfall amounts in this subforum.

But yeah, the prospects of a significant snowfall and lost-lasting cold look increasingly unlikely at this point between the Teleconnections and MJO forecast.

One thing to watch though, as we transition into Summer, will be the worsening drought in the SW USA. It is giving shades of 2011 (although obviously the ENSO state isn't quite the same).

[WestMichigan]

13 minutes ago, Powerball said:

With the PV stretching out before it dissipates, there should still be a couple opportunities in the 2nd half of March for transient cold blasts and even light snowfall amounts in this subforum.

But yeah, the prospects of a significant snowfall and lost-lasting cold look increasingly unlikely at this point between the Teleconnections and MJO forecast.

One thing to watch though, as we transition into Summer, will be the worsening drought in the SW USA. It is giving shades of 2011 (although obviously the ENSO state isn't quite the same).

It isn't just the SW.  Draw a diagonal line from there to Minnesota then go 500 miles either side of that.  Many parts of this sub forum are pretty dry also.

[SchaumburgStormer]

What a shit hole of a winter, ended up under 12" IMBY season total. Bring on the torch. 

[King James]

I’m sure the spreadsheets say otherwise, but regarding drought, there have been so many brush fires out by me to start this spring

Locally this past fall, winter, and now spring have been extremely dry. Couple that with some very high winds, there have been sirens quite often from neighboring towns heading off to the plume of smoke off in the distance.

Burning leaves, even when things have been damp, is no problem at all. It’s almost scary to fire up the Smokey Joe right now for some brats.

Just a very dry period locally and looking forward to a wet and humid spring to bring everything back to life out my way