Chicago Storm Posted Tuesday at 07:45 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:45 AM Let’s get the ball rolling… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted Wednesday at 04:09 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:09 PM 6z gfs (and 00z euro) both want to run back another sub-980 low late next week, with more svr possible in the south 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Wednesday at 05:44 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:44 PM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted Wednesday at 07:51 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:51 PM Hoping the one later next week has less moisture issues and can at least pull off a respectable cold-core potential somewhere in the region. So much funny stuff has happened in that department in this region absurdly early in the season in recent years (from two consecutive years with a March Iowa EF4 to a 26-mile EF2 in Wisconsin on February 8th) it's almost become an expectation. This week's system was a bit of a reality check. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Wednesday at 07:59 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:59 PM euro looks active/wet 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted Wednesday at 08:44 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 08:44 PM Just going to leave this here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted Wednesday at 08:47 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 08:47 PM And this too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted Wednesday at 09:04 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:04 PM 19 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Just going to leave this here... Can you please translate for us weather dummies!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted Wednesday at 10:24 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:24 PM Would expect some eastern troughing for the last week of March through the beginning of April 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luckyweather Posted Thursday at 12:42 AM Share Posted Thursday at 12:42 AM Can you please translate for us weather dummies!!!mjo moving phases and ssw incoming. potentially more active, cold, and stormier around here (chicago) later into March. (am a weather dummy also, hopefully the professor is proud but prepared for my lashes) 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted Thursday at 01:40 AM Share Posted Thursday at 01:40 AM 4 hours ago, ILSNOW said: Can you please translate for us weather dummies!!! Don't put your winter coats and snow shovels away just yet... 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted Thursday at 04:32 AM Share Posted Thursday at 04:32 AM Ensemble support as well for a *potential* severe outbreak in the SE and S Ohio River Valley. Will obviously have to watch how this evolves, but seeing SCP values this high 200+ hours out on the gefs is surprising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted Thursday at 05:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:31 PM 20 hours ago, ILSNOW said: Can you please translate for us weather dummies!!! The climate changer will be posting on a limited basis. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted Thursday at 08:07 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:07 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted Thursday at 08:31 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 08:31 PM 23 hours ago, ILSNOW said: Can you please translate for us weather dummies!!! The GEFS have been superb in handling the MJO over the past 1-2 months, whereas the EPS have struggled quite a bit. So, talking on a pure MJO based view of things... If we can round the bend through phases 4-5-6, it would bode well for those looking for a relatively active pattern and consistent spring conditions. Phase 6 still runs a high above average temp correlation for this time of year, for example. Phases 5-6 are supportive of an active/wetter pattern as well. Now the one thing to watch will be what happens with the SPV up north. There is full on support of sudden and significant warming set to occur soon, with also quite a bit of support at this being an early seasonal demise of the SPV. So, we will have to watch and see what sort of high latitude blocking tries to develop as a result of the initial impact on things, and how it may affect things and work with/against the MJO progression. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted Thursday at 08:32 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 08:32 PM 19 hours ago, luckyweather said: mjo moving phases and ssw incoming. potentially more active, cold, and stormier around here (chicago) later into March. (am a weather dummy also, hopefully the professor is proud but prepared for my lashes) It looks to stay continued up and down. I wouldn't say any lasting/consistent or noteworthy cold is on the horizon. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted Thursday at 08:33 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 08:33 PM 3 hours ago, Baum said: The climate changer will be posting on a limited basis. Na, he'll have his chances...unfortunately (for us). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Friday at 01:22 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:22 PM looks seasonal/active 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted Friday at 02:24 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:24 PM In the CSU d8 ML forecast we trust 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted yesterday at 01:04 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:04 AM 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted yesterday at 01:59 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:59 AM ^^^Looks nasty for Dixie Alley... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 00z GFS... holy friggin crap for next Friday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago https://x.com/ItzRoch11/status/1898430186380484745?t=k9tcfmbrBPZkv892UlEblg&s=19 Someone ran a WRF model on GFS initial conditions for Friday. Take with (many) grains of salt, but still interesting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Extended looks good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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