mnchaserguy Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Winter storm watch one county south. This one is starting to have the same feel as the March 5th storm with models trending northwest and a sharp snowfall gradient setting up over the metro. March has been rocking this year.Snow total maps are almost a carbon copy IMO. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 1 hour ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: Winter storm watch one county south. This one is starting to have the same feel as the March 5th storm with models trending northwest and a sharp snowfall gradient setting up over the metro. March has been rocking this year. That's kind of how 2022-23 was here. A rockin' march made what had been a shitty snow season finish just a bit below avg. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaserguy Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 That's kind of how 2022-23 was here. A rockin' march made what had been a shitty snow season finish just a bit below avg.That’s how last year was for us in MSP. Almost no snow all winter but we had a good amount at the very end of winter/early spring they made it look like an almost average year. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 50 minutes ago, mnchaserguy said: That’s how last year was for us in MSP. Almost no snow all winter but we had a good amount at the very end of winter/early spring they made it look like an almost average year. . Looks like it was still a solidly below avg year in MSP, but a late rally with 15.2" in March brought 2023-24 to 29.5". MSP only had 1.7" this Jan and 2.0" last Jan, but has already had 9.5" in Mar and 15.2" last Mar. In 2022-23, Detroit saw 15.8" of its 37.1" total come in March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 00z NAM was weaker SE and underwhelming for MSP. Snow-wise this winter has played out very similar to 23/24. The sustained seasonal cold made this winter significantly better though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Winds have been unrelenting, almost daily, for awhile now. Another special weather statement today mentioning high winds and low humidity. Starting to feel very standard the last couple years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Some models show the tiniest deformation zone known to man streaking 2-3" of snow through this area tomorrow night, effectively ending the futility chase. How sad would that be? Either way will easily be the worst winter possible in anyone's lifetime, but it would have been nice to have the futility record to show for it lol. 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 On 3/1/2025 at 10:42 AM, Maxim said: the CPC outlook for March doesn't make much sense considering the 3-4 week outlook they released yesterday, but it's whatever. They haven't done too well so far. The week 3-4 outlook you shared in late February has been much closer to the truth. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 10 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: They haven't done too well so far. The week 3-4 outlook you shared in late February has been much closer to the truth. The comical thing is this only overlaps with 2 days from that Week 3-4 outlook that was showing a massive torch, and now they are saying the second half of March is going to be cooler. I can only surmise that CPC was expecting a cool start to March, followed by a much warmer second half? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 2 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Some models show the tiniest deformation zone known to man streaking 2-3" of snow through this area tomorrow night, effectively ending the futility chase. How sad would that be? Either way will easily be the worst winter possible in anyone's lifetime, but it would have been nice to have the futility record to show for it lol. Ive never really dug into MLI data before, but now my curiosity is there, so ill play around later with some of their data and let you know if i find anything interesting. I always cringe when people discuss futility at northern locations in January...now, however, is a very legit time to discuss all-time snow futility for MLI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 There was a nw trend with the snow band a day or two ago. Over the last few model runs, it has reversed and is trending back southeast, away from MSP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaserguy Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 It’s been pretty funny to watch the trend the last couple model runs. Even southern MN is at risk of missing the worst of it if this trend continues. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Wow, rough one across New Mexico and west Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 this storm is creating some pretty funning looking advisory maps 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 7 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Ive never really dug into MLI data before, but now my curiosity is there, so ill play around later with some of their data and let you know if i find anything interesting. I always cringe when people discuss futility at northern locations in January...now, however, is a very legit time to discuss all-time snow futility for MLI. The latest guidance has bumped the best secondary deform a bit east/southeast, so hoping to escape with no more than an inch. Should be an entertaining day. 70s with a chance for severe, including a non-zero tornado risk. Then several hours later it will be snowing and sticking. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 this thing keeps trending SE, almost enough to be interesting here on the winter side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 Kind of cool to see parts of Western Iowa seeing thunderstorms right now and then are going to get over 10 inches of snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 With this current storrm, Omaha has seen the most Blizzard Warnings ever to start a year (3). And there's only been 1 other year (2018) where they saw 4. It's wild too considering Omaha was well on track for futility through the first 2/3rds of winter... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 https://x.com/efino87/status/1902335951336013932?t=Q5hj7rPmaNouZXvWJcrnUQ&s=19 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 14 minutes ago, Powerball said: https://x.com/efino87/status/1902335951336013932?t=Q5hj7rPmaNouZXvWJcrnUQ&s=19 That's definitely going to be me when we finally get that big dog around here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 Miss south. Oh well on to spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 Another round of dust this morning/afternoon... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 hour ago, Powerball said: With this current storrm, Omaha has seen the most Blizzard Warnings ever to start a year (3). And there's only been 1 other year (2018) where they saw 4. It's wild too considering Omaha was well on track for futility through the first 2/3rds of winter... Quite a turn around in Omaha. No big amounts, but multiple storms. They were sitting at an incredible 1.0" season to date thru February 10th, and they are now at 13.4" before whatever they get today. Although, I cant figure out what the other 2 blizzard warnings were besides today and March 4th. Since they are prone to crazy windstorms and blizzards in the plains, seems like the NWS's out there sometimes overdue blizzard warnings (in terms of how often they verify vs when they are issued). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 On 3/3/2025 at 6:43 PM, Chicago Storm said: Big dust storm... we gonna do this again? sw seems p fucked huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 52 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: That's definitely going to be me when we finally get that big dog around here... You dont need a big dog to enjoy those conditions. Thats me whenever we get snowstorms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 Nice hailer and a quick 0.45" from noisy elevated cell just now. Looks like the warm front will stall near or just south of here now, so 70s are out. 1-3" of snow tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1930s about to repeat? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 I'm tasked to get my first 20C/70F temp high later which is surprising, even sunny during that! . That would really make this March shine. One of the fastest melts I've seen there are huge/complete patches of grass now but just weeks ago 35" snow depth smother. Early spring here also not surprising. Crazy to see blizz warnings for southern KS!!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 nebraska defov looks p hot, jealous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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