Spring 2025 Med/Long Range Discussion

[Matthew70]

On 3/24/2025 at 8:44 AM, nrgjeff said:

Mercifully the 5-day average forecast 500 mb heights into April doesn't look much like 2011. That year a persistent trough sat in the Rockies. If you are storm anxious, try not to worry about 2011.

April 2025 I believe the Mid-South will be more active than Average, but that's still far short of historic 2011.

 

I am one that believes tornadoes follow a pattern or a rotation (no pun intended) of going thru certain area/landscapes.  
Examples here in the midstate state. 
Hendersonville/Gallatin is the north path.       
Dickson/Nashville/Lebanon (I40 path)            
Lobeville/Columbia/Springhill path.            
Lewisburg/Murfreesboro/Manchester path                                                             
Waynesboro/Lawrenburg/Ethridge path

I believe it’s only a matter of time during this rotation that Murfreesboro & the south paths see a tornado of significance come through.  
 

I know sounds crazy & ridiculous.  

 

[nrgjeff]

Things like that happen in central Oklahoma too. Why do people keep moving back to Moore? Excellent schools sells houses!

Anyway the 6-10 day and 11-15 day 500 mb charts still look similar. Details are TBD. I just want to figure out Sunday first, ha!

[John1122]

32 this morning and the dense air has pushed the smoke from a controlled burn near my house down to the ground. It's like I'm in a thick thick fog.