bluewave Posted Saturday at 11:04 AM Share Posted Saturday at 11:04 AM 9 hours ago, LibertyBell said: But there was also a longwave pattern that sustained the westerly flow from the strong Pac Jet that resulted from the sustained marine heatwave in the West Pac. The warm up for next weekend will have more of an onshore flow again with the 70s away from the immediate shore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted Saturday at 11:29 AM Share Posted Saturday at 11:29 AM 27 this morning. 5 lower than forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted Saturday at 11:42 AM Share Posted Saturday at 11:42 AM 8 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Yeah, I was only three for Gloria, but it is my first weather memory. We evacuated south wantagh to my grandmothers in queens. Gloria had allot of similarities to 38 and 44 both in regards to strength and pressure while it was south east of North Carolina. So I understand the hype at the time. The difference between that hurricane and the formers is that it didn’t phase with the trough as cleanly and thus suffered from slower movement and land interaction which caused dry air entrainment destroying the southern side of the storm. The satellite pic in my profile shows that very well. It also hit at low tide. As far as the future, it will always take the perfect setup to get a major up here regardless of rising water temps. Too many land interaction issues based on our geography. Warmer waters enhance the risk but aren’t the end all when you are a 90 degree angle coast. Where did your grandmother live in Queens if you don't mind me asking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted Saturday at 11:44 AM Share Posted Saturday at 11:44 AM 15 minutes ago, FPizz said: 27 this morning. 5 lower than forecast Only spot that beat you are the Pine Barrens on LI 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted Saturday at 11:45 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 11:45 AM 38 minutes ago, bluewave said: The warm up for next weekend will have more of an onshore flow again with the 70s away from the immediate shore. I think we will have the 1st legit shot at 80+ in the area come the 1st week of April. The SE ridge is starting to show up on the long range ensembles 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Saturday at 12:01 PM Share Posted Saturday at 12:01 PM 55 minutes ago, bluewave said: The warm up for next weekend will have more of an onshore flow again with the 70s away from the immediate shore. This is normal for early spring though, still no 70 for NYC or points east, only locations well inland will have that. Looks like we're in a colder pattern until the middle of April where the warmth will be capped off in the 60s and some mornings will be in the 30s (but still above freezing.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Saturday at 12:02 PM Share Posted Saturday at 12:02 PM 15 minutes ago, snowman19 said: I think we will have the 1st legit shot at 80+ in the area come the 1st week of April. The SE ridge is starting to show up on the long range ensembles What about all these forecasts with a cool first half of april because of the SSW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Saturday at 12:12 PM Share Posted Saturday at 12:12 PM 39 / 25 partly cloudy. In / out of the clouds near 60. Cooler Sunday near 50. Light rain Monday and then again Wed PM. Trough in the east till the 28th. Warmer next weekend to close the month as trough lifts out. Longer range has ridge builing into the east perhaps very warm by the 6th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Saturday at 12:16 PM Share Posted Saturday at 12:16 PM Records: Highs: EWR: 80 (1938) NYC: 78 (2012) LGA: 76 (2012) JFK: 68 (1979) Lows: EWR: 17 (1934) NYC: 12 (1885) LGA: 19 (1988) JFK: 19 (1988) Historical: 1888: Chicago's morning low dips to one degree below zero, the latest sub-zero Fahrenheit reading in the city's history. This record still stands today. 1893: The first tornado was recorded in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, on this date. It destroyed 14 buildings and injured four people as it passed through the center of town. There was minor damage to the Weather Bureau office, which was located at Grand and Robinson in south Oklahoma City. 1920 - A spectactular display of the Northern Lights was visible as far south as Bradenton FL, El Paso TX, and Fresno CA. At Detroit MI, the display was described so brilliant as to blot out all stars below first magnitude. (22nd-23rd) (The Weather Channel) 1936 - A great flood crested on rivers from Ohio to Maine. The flood claimed 107 lives and caused 270 million dollars property damage. (David Ludlum) 1954 - Six to ten inch rains caused the Chicago River to overflow its banks. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - An intense storm produced heavy snow in the southern and central Rockies, and high winds from southern California to West Texas. Wolf Creek Pass CO received 24 inches of snow, and winds gusted to 69 mph at Ruidoso NM. Blizzard conditions were reported in eastern Colorado. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Rain and high winds battered the Northern Pacific Coast Region, with wind gusts to 78 mph at Ocean Shores WA. The high winds uprooted trees and down power lines. Ten cities in the northeastern U.S. reported new record low temperatures for the date. Eight cities in the central U.S. reported record highs. Southerly winds gusting to 60 mph helped push the mercury at Ottumwa IA to a record warm reading of 83 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Six cities in the Great Lakes Region, and three in southern Texas, reported new record low temperatures for the date, including Alpena MI with a reading of 9 above zero, and Brownsville TX with a reading of 38 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - A surge of arctic air kept temperatures in the teens and 20s during the day in the north central U.S., and heavy snow fell over parts of Montana. Record warmth was reported in the western U.S.,and in Alaska. Phoenix AZ reported a record high of 94 degrees, and the town of Barrow, located along the arctic coast of Alaska, reported a record high of 20 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Saturday at 12:17 PM Share Posted Saturday at 12:17 PM March 22, 1998 NYC: 5 inches of snow (previous winter total was 0.5 inches and would have made 97/98 the least snowy season until this storm) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Saturday at 12:56 PM Share Posted Saturday at 12:56 PM 37 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Records: Highs: EWR: 80 (1938) NYC: 78 (2012) LGA: 76 (2012) JFK: 68 (1979) Lows: EWR: 17 (1934) NYC: 12 (1885) LGA: 19 (1988) JFK: 19 (1988) Historical: 1888: Chicago's morning low dips to one degree below zero, the latest sub-zero Fahrenheit reading in the city's history. This record still stands today. 1893: The first tornado was recorded in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, on this date. It destroyed 14 buildings and injured four people as it passed through the center of town. There was minor damage to the Weather Bureau office, which was located at Grand and Robinson in south Oklahoma City. 1920 - A spectactular display of the Northern Lights was visible as far south as Bradenton FL, El Paso TX, and Fresno CA. At Detroit MI, the display was described so brilliant as to blot out all stars below first magnitude. (22nd-23rd) (The Weather Channel) 1936 - A great flood crested on rivers from Ohio to Maine. The flood claimed 107 lives and caused 270 million dollars property damage. (David Ludlum) 1954 - Six to ten inch rains caused the Chicago River to overflow its banks. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - An intense storm produced heavy snow in the southern and central Rockies, and high winds from southern California to West Texas. Wolf Creek Pass CO received 24 inches of snow, and winds gusted to 69 mph at Ruidoso NM. Blizzard conditions were reported in eastern Colorado. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Rain and high winds battered the Northern Pacific Coast Region, with wind gusts to 78 mph at Ocean Shores WA. The high winds uprooted trees and down power lines. Ten cities in the northeastern U.S. reported new record low temperatures for the date. Eight cities in the central U.S. reported record highs. Southerly winds gusting to 60 mph helped push the mercury at Ottumwa IA to a record warm reading of 83 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Six cities in the Great Lakes Region, and three in southern Texas, reported new record low temperatures for the date, including Alpena MI with a reading of 9 above zero, and Brownsville TX with a reading of 38 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - A surge of arctic air kept temperatures in the teens and 20s during the day in the north central U.S., and heavy snow fell over parts of Montana. Record warmth was reported in the western U.S.,and in Alaska. Phoenix AZ reported a record high of 94 degrees, and the town of Barrow, located along the arctic coast of Alaska, reported a record high of 20 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1920 - A spectactular display of the Northern Lights was visible as far south as Bradenton FL, El Paso TX, and Fresno CA. At Detroit MI, the display was described so brilliant as to blot out all stars below first magnitude. (22nd-23rd) (The Weather Channel) omg -- this must have been absolutely amazing even better than last October here !! 1888: Chicago's morning low dips to one degree below zero, the latest sub-zero Fahrenheit reading in the city's history. This record still stands today. 1888 holds many of our March records ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted Saturday at 01:28 PM Share Posted Saturday at 01:28 PM Should get into the 60s today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Saturday at 01:34 PM Share Posted Saturday at 01:34 PM 4 minutes ago, ag3 said: Should get into the 60s today. it's sunny today so it might go higher than forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Saturday at 02:12 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:12 PM Gorgeous out already. Lawn is already starting to explode in green in the last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted Saturday at 02:13 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:13 PM 39 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: it's sunny today so it might go higher than forecast deep mixed layer so more annoying wind 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Saturday at 02:29 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:29 PM I finally put away my shovel. I still check the models to see if they show any snow . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted Saturday at 02:58 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:58 PM Already up to 56.2 degrees here under bright sunshine. Perhaps I can get to 65. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted Saturday at 03:00 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:00 PM Models look nice and warm in the long range. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted Saturday at 03:04 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:04 PM 5 minutes ago, ag3 said: Already up to 56.2 degrees here under bright sunshine. Perhaps I can get to 65. I don't know if you'll get there. We already have developing southerly winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted Saturday at 03:08 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:08 PM 3 hours ago, Sundog said: Where did your grandmother live in Queens if you don't mind me asking? Forrest Hills in a big prewar apartment building. I went there a few days after Sandy as well as they never lost power. I think there are surprises in store with the coming season just like last year. The new normal is expect the unexpected. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Saturday at 03:16 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:16 PM Some models are back to a general half inch to an inch monday after backing off yesterday. Euro less enthused Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Saturday at 03:27 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:27 PM Congrats guys 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Saturday at 03:33 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:33 PM 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: deep mixed layer so more annoying wind I hate that. So not only do we have to worry about rising temperatures and rising sea levels, but we also have to worry about higher winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted Saturday at 03:34 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 03:34 PM 3 hours ago, LibertyBell said: What about all these forecasts with a cool first half of april because of the SSW? The only ones who think we are going back into winter are Joe Bastardi and Mark Margavage. The long range into April looks warm 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Saturday at 03:34 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:34 PM 30 minutes ago, Sundog said: I don't know if you'll get there. We already have developing southerly winds. and it's now cloudy here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Saturday at 03:36 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:36 PM Just now, snowman19 said: The only ones who think we are going back into winter are Joe Bastardi and Mark Margavage. The long range into April looks warm Thank goodness for that, I got a little worried after seeing Analog's forecast for no 70 until after April 15th. I can buy no 70 for March (for the city and points east), but it would be highly unusual not to get it in the first week or two of April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Saturday at 03:46 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:46 PM 3 hours ago, LibertyBell said: What about all these forecasts with a cool first half of april because of the SSW? Warm pattern for early April as the Southeast Ridge links up again with the Greenland Block. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted Saturday at 03:54 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:54 PM 5 minutes ago, bluewave said: Warm pattern for early April as the Southeast Ridge links up again with the Greenland Block. I’ll wait until inside 96hrs before getting hyped for warmth along coast here on LI. Hope the warmth doesn’t end up further W for Plains into Ohio Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted Saturday at 03:56 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:56 PM 1 minute ago, uofmiami said: I’ll wait until inside 96hrs before getting hyped for warmth along coast here on LI. Hope the warmth doesn’t end up further W for Plains into Ohio Valley. 22 days into the month and islip currently stands at +5.1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted Saturday at 04:25 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:25 PM 27 minutes ago, forkyfork said: 22 days into the month and islip currently stands at +5.1 Yea but it's not from a wave of way above normal temps like 70s or 80s or something, it's more of a steady few degrees above normal over many days with a few +10s and a couple -10s mixed in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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