March 2025

[uofmiami]

11 minutes ago, bluewave said:

One in Brooklyn also. Hopefully, we can start getting a wetter pattern before the summer. As this drought and stronger winds isn’t a good combination. 

 

 

[Rjay]

1 hour ago, Cfa said:

From Medford heading east. I saw it all the way from ISP, over 20 miles away.

I saw it from Brentwood driving east on the LIE

[Sundog]

It's crazy that we just had 2 inches of rain and there are wildfires igniting. Humidity levels are super important. 

[STORMANLI]

40 minutes ago, bluewave said:

FOK missed out on the recent rains as it has been the driest start to the year on record out there. 
 

Time Series Summary for WESTHAMPTON GABRESKI AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2025-03-08	3.08	9
2	1968-03-08	4.59	1
3	2014-03-08	4.63	9
4	2012-03-08	4.66	1
5	2000-03-08	4.70	0

Strong offshore winds and low humidity helping to dry everything out.

[Roger Smith]

3 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

It will take time to research all of the storms. But yes, it can be done.

I posted info about 2d 6.0" snowfalls in those intervals, the 1949-56 interval ends in Jan 1954 for 2d snow (9th-10th), and the 1917-1921 interval ends in Feb 1920, the other intervals all appear to survive intact (no interior 2d 6.0" totals), albeit some very close to 6.0" values. The post on this was back around midnite.  

[Snowlover11]

even though we will bitch about it but we need multiple days of rain/drizzle all these wildfires lately are pretty crazy around here.

[WestBabylonWeather]

The pine barrens. Noooooo

 

[MJO812]

44 here but colder with the wind

[TheClimateChanger]

 

[donsutherland1]

It will turn noticeably milder early next week. Parts of the region could experience their warmest temperatures so far this spring during the warm spell. The unseasonably mild weather could then continue through the remainder of next week. The weekend and week ahead will also be mainly dry.

The risk of a moderate (4" or more) or larger snowfall in the New York City area remains low through at least the first half of March. The March 10-17 period could feature a bout of much above normal temperatures.

The strong PNA ridge that predominated for most of the second half of February dissipated during the first week of March. However, the peak magnitude of that previous PNA ridge suggests that the New York City area likely won't experience any major snowfalls for the remainder of the 2024-2025 snow season. The historic experience hints that the rising warmth of spring becomes too great to overcome by the time an otherwise favorable pattern for such snowfalls develops.  

The PNA reached +1.500 on February 19th and remained at or above +1.500 through February 23rd and at or above +1.000 through February 28th. In all 12 years that saw the PNA reach +1.500 or above on February 15 or later since 1950, the remainder of winter saw no 10" or greater snowstorms. If historic experience holds true yet again, that would make the 2024-2025 snow season the fourth consecutive snow season without a 10" or above snowstorm in New York City. The last time that happened was during 2016-2017 through 2019-2020. Most of the 12 cases cited above went on to see some additional measurable snowfall with a few seeing a 6"+ storm.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around February 26. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.35°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.52°C. La Niña conditions will likely give way to neutral ENSO conditions during early spring.

The SOI was +10.96 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.909 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 80% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 46.1° (3.3° above normal).

 

[qg_omega]

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

One in Brooklyn also. Hopefully, we can start getting a wetter pattern before the summer. As this drought and stronger winds isn’t a good combination. 

 

We had 2.5 inches of rain a few days ago, it’s the time of year

[L.I.Pete]

From Medford heading east. I saw it all the way from ISP, over 20 miles away.

I saw it from Melville. Crazy.


.

[SnoSki14]

14 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

We had 2.5 inches of rain a few days ago, it’s the time of year

Drought conditions remain. 1 rainy day does not negate months of very dry weather. 

[bluewave]

28 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

We had 2.5 inches of rain a few days ago, it’s the time of year

 

The winds have been much stronger than average this year and the pattern has been pretty dry since last summer. So these low humidity windy days that we typically get this time of year have dried things out even more than usual. That area missed out in the heaviest rains the other day. Shirley only has 5.03” of precip on the year so far which is 5th driest since they started keeping records in 2000.
 

 

Time Series Summary for SHIRLEY BROOKHAVEN AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2017-03-08	3.76	0
2	2009-03-08	4.59	0
3	2012-03-08	4.64	1
4	2002-03-08	4.80	0
5	2025-03-08	5.03

[psv88]

State of emergency declared for Suffolk. Two buildings burned, firefighter in hospital. Crazy 

[Rwes1]

A few pictures of helicopters loading water at Wildwood Lake in Northampton to aid in the fire fighting effort. This has been going on since 1:00 pm and still going at 6:00pm. I believe three helicopters total. 
 

Edit: 6:30pm helicopter operations seem to have been called off as I no longer hear them incoming/departing. 

[SACRUS]

 

Up to 49 today with the last 48 hours of winds and dry low humidity dried up Wednesdays 1.50 - 2.00 inches of rain quickly.

[Rjay]

@MJO812

 

[Sundog]

5 minutes ago, Rjay said:

@MJO812

 

 

Lock it in

[Stormlover74]

Wednesday looks like mid 50s now. Quite a change from a couple days ago

[uofmiami]

 

[psv88]

Warmth is very fickle in early spring in the NE. Cold air always lurking just north. Never a guarantee 

[TheClimateChanger]

 

[jm1220]

1 hour ago, psv88 said:

Warmth is very fickle in early spring in the NE. Cold air always lurking just north. Never a guarantee 

We get any kind of breeze from the NE or E and warmth go bye bye. 

[TriPol]

Its going to get below freezing tonight. I truly am sick of this cold weather!!

[weatherpruf]

1 hour ago, TheClimateChanger said:

 

Cincinnati with near 30, and I question that 20 inc average, it's just not real snowy there. I don't see my mom's hometown of Evansville, IN listed, wonder if they had more as well; there were times in the past when these cities were indeed buried, but it is far from the norm.

[MJO812]

3 hours ago, Rjay said:

@MJO812

 

Check out the snowmap

[L.I.Pete]

[mention=186]MJO812[/mention]
 

Buckle up.


.

[[email protected]]

24 minutes ago, L.I.Pete said:

Buckle up.


.

Buckle up,big boy!

 

[bluewave]

Finally a warmer week coming up. Local warm spots in NJ can beat guidance Tuesday and get close to 70°. Then the typical spring backdoor before making another run on 70° next weekend.