March 2025

[winterwx21]

15 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Like the gfs , the euro has cooled down in the long range .

Enough cold air around that it isn't out of the question that we can see some late season snow. I think it's unlikely that we'll see anything significant, but it would be foolish to completely rule it out. March is a crazy unpredictable month. 

[Krs4Lfe]

1 hour ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

With this bad boy of a sun angle any March snow is gone in two days. But hey I’ll take one more 

 

 

I'll take just one in general. Only 13" here this year, the average should be in upper 20" range. Abysmal

[TJW014]

I'm ready for spring. Sun feels fantastic if you block yourself out of the wind. This $25 charcoal grill will be used heavily on these sunny days.

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said:

Correct only 12.6 inches of snow accumulated for Central Park before receiving 11.9 from the superstorm.

Even with the superstorm Central Park was below average for snowfall.

I'm going to tell you right now, that December 1992 was way more exciting than the so-called *superstorm* which was really more of an inland storm.  December 1992 changed the entire shape of the coastline and affected us for 3-5 days and caused far more damage than the so-called *superstorm* could ever even dream of causing.

I consider December 1992 the real superstorm of that season.

[LibertyBell]

2 hours ago, Sundog said:

 Wasn't 92-93 not that good for the coast before the Superstorm?

The real superstorm in 1992-93 happened in December.

The so-called March superstorm was mostly an inland storm and had nowhere near the impact that December 1992 had here.

 

[LibertyBell]

2 hours ago, snowman19 said:

Best of luck and God speed! Prepare to be completely disappointed again like the last 5 months. By 0z tonight, it will be back to showing less than a half inch of snow 

@Heisy The UKMET looks good?? Huh?? It has nothing. You guys are chasing ghosts again. How many times are you willing to do this over the last 5 months and end up failing??

Lucy and Charlie Brown??

 

[forkyfork]

5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I'm going to tell you right now, that December 1992 was way more exciting than the so-called *superstorm* which was really more of an inland storm.  December 1992 changed the entire shape of the coastline and affected us for 3-5 days and caused far more damage than the so-called *superstorm* could ever even dream of causing.

I consider December 1992 the real superstorm of that season.

the seasonal pattern that winter was capable of producing powerful coastal storms which hasn't been the case this season

[LibertyBell]

4 hours ago, Sundog said:

 

At least that came when evapotranspiration is low. If that happens in summer there are going to be wildfires and stressed out trees/vegetation. 

 

The only positive would be that the mosquito population would be lower.

Yep it's very important to get that mosquito population lower.  I'm all for a correction from the last overly wet 2 decades back to the drier climate we had in the 60s, 70s, 80s and 90s.  That's how it's supposed to be here.

[LibertyBell]

4 hours ago, snowman19 said:

This winter was dry as hell. Haven’t seen anything like this since 2001-02
 

2002 had one of our best spring and summer combinations we have ever had. Only exceeded by 2010.

That April heatwave was a thing of beauty with some of the clearest blue skies I've ever seen.

[LibertyBell]

4 hours ago, Sundog said:

 

At least that came when evapotranspiration is low. If that happens in summer there are going to be wildfires and stressed out trees/vegetation. 

 

The only positive would be that the mosquito population would be lower.

Got completely shut out of any measurable rain here last October.  That was our perfect month, truly historic.

 

[LibertyBell]

5 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

the seasonal pattern that winter was capable of producing powerful coastal storms which hasn't been the case this season

I know, I don't expect anything to happen either.

If you look at the 90s, they were a highly exciting period, very hot summers (1991, 1993, 1995, 1999) and powerful coastal winters (whether they were snow or not doesn't really matter.)

October 1991

December 1992

March 1993

January 1996

April 1997

December 1992 was our most powerful most impactful coastal storm until Hurricane Sandy came along.

There was also a storm in December 1994 I think it was which some think should have been classified as a tropical storm or hurricane that made landfall near JFK while moving westward.  Does anyone remember that storm?

 

[nycwinter]

we had great winters for 20 years now we are on the downside oh well at least tropical season will have action to follow..

[Feen]

GFS again with a big snowstorm for NYC and north!

[WestBabylonWeather]

11 minutes ago, Feen said:

GFS again with a big snowstorm for NYC and north!

Draggin me back in 

[Feen]

1 minute ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Draggin me back in 

same, it's an outlier at this point. But the question is what is the GFS seeing that all the other models aren't? or vice versa!

[RU848789]

I'm just happy there's the potential for a winter storm, but we'll obviously need to see other models to come on board before believing the outlier GFS is correct.  And if somehow it were correct, look at that snowfall gradient from over a foot along 95 to just a few inches 20-30 miles SE of 95, due to sleet and some rain (it's not all rain - Pivotal maps don't count sleet).  This also isn't 10 days out anymore - precip starts in about 5.5 days.  

[BobbyHolikWillFindYou]

Holy snow Batman!

[ag3]

4 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Like the gfs , the euro has cooled down in the long range .

Nice. Instead of 60s, it will be 50s. It’s late March.

[Brian5671]

3 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

I know, I don't expect anything to happen either.

If you look at the 90s, they were a highly exciting period, very hot summers (1991, 1993, 1995, 1999) and powerful coastal winters (whether they were snow or not doesn't really matter.)

October 1991

December 1992

March 1993

January 1996

April 1997

December 1992 was our most powerful most impactful coastal storm until Hurricane Sandy came along.

There was also a storm in December 1994 I think it was which some think should have been classified as a tropical storm or hurricane that made landfall near JFK while moving westward.  Does anyone remember that storm?

 

yeah it was right around xmas-high winds and lots of rain-no cold air unfortunately

[Allsnow]

Don’t do it 

[MJO812]

5 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Don’t do it 

Not yet

[Stormlover74]

8 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Don’t do it 

It's been done

[LibertyBell]

19 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

I'm just happy there's the potential for a winter storm, but we'll obviously need to see other models to come on board before believing the outlier GFS is correct.  And if somehow it were correct, look at that snowfall gradient from over a foot along 95 to just a few inches 20-30 miles SE of 95, due to sleet and some rain (it's not all rain - Pivotal maps don't count sleet).  This also isn't 10 days out anymore - precip starts in about 5.5 days.  

Not that this will ever happen, but this mix line isn't SE of 95, it's for anyone on the Jersey shore on southward, all of Long Island is fine on this map.

 

[Allsnow]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Not yet

 

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

It's been done

My guess is it’s seeing what the AI and Euro had days ago with the souther stream. Now both those models have trended flatter and holding more energy back 

[EastonSN+]

3 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

I'm going to tell you right now, that December 1992 was way more exciting than the so-called *superstorm* which was really more of an inland storm.  December 1992 changed the entire shape of the coastline and affected us for 3-5 days and caused far more damage than the so-called *superstorm* could ever even dream of causing.

I consider December 1992 the real superstorm of that season.

Up here the coastline was affected and at the end of the storm we ended up with 6 inches of heavy wet snow. Massive storm.

[wdrag]

Two successive runs, 12z-18z/3, of enough members of the GEFS to phase and run us a nor'easter snowstorm the 9th.  No other ensembling is close to the GEFS so, it could be - easy come easy go - if no phasing with the the southern Rockies remains of a closed low. The only thing I can say is that this fits days of ensembling that least some snow would occur I84 corridor with the GEFS tending to be most certain in the cyclic variations.  Check back tomorrow to see if its gone or other modeling  supports.