LibertyBell Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 2 hours ago, EastonSN+ said: I THINK NYC is at 10.6 inches this year. If so, this decade (15.38) is 4.36 inches behind the 80s average (19.74). However this deficit can be erased with a 22.5 inch season next year. I still find it incredible that the 1990s had the highest average snowfall of the three low snowfall decades despite only having 2 above average snowfall seasons. Of course those two seasons were 75.6 and 53.4. 12.9 so actually a bit higher. I have good memories of the 90s because of 93-94 and 95-96. 93-94 was the equal of 2 winters and 95-96 was the equal of 3 winters! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 13 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: agreed, though the trend for more -NAO probably does limit the extent of the warmth One can get a clock to the -NAO showing up in late March-April 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 11 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: 12.9 so actually a bit higher. I have good memories of the 90s because of 93-94 and 95-96. 93-94 was the equal of 2 winters and 95-96 was the equal of 3 winters! Thanks, so Central Park is 3.9 inches behind the 80s average. 20 inches next season would put Central Park in alignment with the 80s average. I honestly thought my town was going to challenge 95/96 in 13/14. I was sitting at 58 inches and the models had a 16 inch event within 4 days and two more systems in line afterwards. Of course that's when DC stole the snow and we went cold and dry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Thanks, so Central Park is 3.9 inches behind the 80s average. 20 inches next season would put Central Park in alignment with the 80s average. I honestly thought my town was going to challenge 95/96 in 13/14. I was sitting at 58 inches and the models had a 16 inch event within 4 days and two more systems in line afterwards. Of course that's when DC stole the snow and we went cold and dry. That sucked-I remember the NAM running that morning and shoved it all south-was over 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: Thanks, so Central Park is 3.9 inches behind the 80s average. 20 inches next season would put Central Park in alignment with the 80s average. I honestly thought my town was going to challenge 95/96 in 13/14. I was sitting at 58 inches and the models had a 16 inch event within 4 days and two more systems in line afterwards. Of course that's when DC stole the snow and we went cold and dry. Yes March 2014 was a disappointment, we were cold and had some snow, but just a covering to an inch or two when it could have been a lot more. Wasn't that one of the worst short term forecast busts? I remember someone saying the models showed we would get a foot of snow the night before the storm? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 5 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: One can get a clock to the -NAO showing up in late March-April and even worse, in MAY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted 6 hours ago Author Share Posted 6 hours ago This winter was dry as hell. Haven’t seen anything like this since 2001-02 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, snowman19 said: This winter was dry as hell. Haven’t seen anything like this since 2001-02 12 inches of rain from 9/1 to 3/1 in NYC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 5 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 12 inches of rain from 9/1 to 3/1 in NYC At least that came when evapotranspiration is low. If that happens in summer there are going to be wildfires and stressed out trees/vegetation. The only positive would be that the mosquito population would be lower. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago There is some cold air up in Northern Central Canada, but also a very cold pool of air along the St. Lawrence Valley. The cold pool of air along the St. Lawrence valley appears cutoff since the air gets "warmer" the farther you approach the Hudson Bay area. Just hoping there is some source of cold air to tap into (just in case). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 15 this morning. welcome back @Sundoghope all is well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Got down down to 13 here this morning! Likely our last morning in the teens until next winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 15 here this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Gfs!!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Gfs!!!! Haha. Well I've been saying for awhile that next Sunday is a longshot but worth tracking. That still appears to be the case. I doubt we're going to see a snowstorm, but at least there's still a slim chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Haha. Well I've been saying for awhile that next Sunday is a longshot but worth tracking. That still appears to be the case. I doubt we're going to see a snowstorm, but at least there's still a slim chance. Likely over amped at this range like it has been all winter but fun to look at. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago 5 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Haha. Well I've been saying for awhile that next Sunday is a longshot but worth tracking. That still appears to be the case. I doubt we're going to see a snowstorm, but at least there's still a slim chance. No other model is even remotely close to the op GFS and I’m willing to bet my paycheck that the 12z GEFS looks nothing like that either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 minutes ago, snowman19 said: No other model is even remotely close to the op GFS and I’m willing to bet my paycheck that the 12z GEFS looks nothing like that either 6z gefs was in the right direction 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Likely over amped at this range like it has been all winter but fun to look at. I like how "overamped" in this context means a big hit for coast Such is winter 24-25 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feen Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago wow GFS printed a blizzard for Sunday. Is it possible we get one big snowstorm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 14 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Likely over amped at this range like it has been all winter but fun to look at. On the CMC it's suppressed way to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 6 minutes ago, Feen said: wow GFS printed a blizzard for Sunday. Is it possible we get one big snowstorm It is not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Gefs looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feen Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: It is not it's not impossible? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: It is not Look what happened with the 20th storm. How can we trust the models ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago No other model is even remotely close to the op GFS and I’m willing to bet my paycheck that the 12z GEFS looks nothing like that eitherGEFs actually looks really good. Once in a great while gfs clues on on events like this. Gotta see one other model show something similar though before I buy though like I said. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 23 minutes ago, snowman19 said: No other model is even remotely close to the op GFS and I’m willing to bet my paycheck that the 12z GEFS looks nothing like that either Gefs is amped 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Look what happened with the 20th storm. How can we trust the models ? Because they always trend to flatter. Even this week looks like .5 to .75" now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Nice 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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