March 2025

[MJO812]

From 67 today to 43 now.

 

Beautiful outside

[donsutherland1]

Ahead of a strong cold front, temperatures surged into the 50s and 60s across the region. High temperatures included:

Atlantic City: 68°
Baltimore: 66°
Bridgeport: 57°
Islip: 52°
New York City-Central Park: 64°
New York City-JFK Airport: 67° (old record: 61°, 2017)
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 65°
Newark: 65°
Philadelphia: 66°
Washington, DC: 69°

Much colder air is now pouring into the region on a stiff wind following today's springlike warmth. The brief but sharp shot of cold will be in place tomorrow and Monday. Tomorrow and Monday will see temperatures top out in the lower and middle 30s in New York City. Low temperatures will reach the lower 20s in New York City and teens outside the City.

There is a chance that New York City could see its high temperature reach no higher than freezing tomorrow. The last time New York City had a high of 32° in March was March 7, 2019. The last time New York City had a high below 32° in March was March 6, 2019 when the temperature topped out at 26°.

Temperatures will rebound quickly starting Tuesday. A moderate to possibly significant rainfall is possible Wednesday into Thursday.

No meaningful threats for a moderate or larger snowfall in the New York City area are likely through at least the first week of March.

The strong PNA ridge that predominated for most of the second half of February is finally fading. But magnitude of that ridge suggests that the New York City area likely won't experience any major snowfalls during Winter 2024-2025. The historic experience hints that the rising warmth of spring becomes too great to overcome by the time an otherwise favorable pattern for such snowfalls develops.  

The PNA reached +1.500 on February 19th and remained at or above +1.500 through February 23rd and at or above +1.000 through February 28th. In all 12 years that saw the PNA reach +1.500 or above on February 15 or later since 1950, the remainder of winter saw no 10" or greater snowstorms. If historic experience holds true yet again, that would make the Winter 2024-2025 the fourth consecutive winter without a 10" or above snowstorm in New York City. The last time that happened was during Winter 2016-2017 through Winter 2019-2020. Most of the 12 winters cited above went on to see some additional measurable snowfall with a few seeing a 6"+ storm.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around February 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.03°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.65°C. La Niña conditions have peaked and are beginning to fade. La Niña conditions will likely persist into the start of spring.

The SOI was +2.54 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.096 today.

[IrishRob17]

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

From 67 today to 43 now.

 

Beautiful outside

Still short sleeves? 

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Still short sleeves? 

Yes unfortunately.  I didn't bring a jacket. 

[IrishRob17]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Yes unfortunately.  I didn't bring a jacket. 

But you love chilly weather, embrace it!

[MJO812]

7 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

But you love chilly weather, embrace it!

I am

[LoboLeader1]

37 here, temp has dropped 26 degrees from the balmy high of 63 earlier this afternoon.

[gravitylover]

34 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

But you love chilly weather, embrace it!

 

27 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I am

He's hugging himself to stay warm

[Roger Smith]

First and second of March 1972 were very warm, and set records, but second half was cold, as was most of April. Wonder if that's how 2025 will also turn out? (Agnes around June 21-23 1972 also record cold and wet, May 1972 was warm, July hot and Aug-Sep near average, Oct cold).

[nycwinter]

i am going to enjoy sunday and monday i  will wear a hoodie under my thick winter coat wear hat gloves and facemask.

[MJO812]

Down to 36

[MJO812]

[BlizzLuv]

We were down in Philly today and it was gorgeous in the early afternoon. I am guessing around 60F and sunny. By the time we got back to CNJ this evening, around 5:30, it was 48F and blustery. Now, 37F.

[RU848789]

Just noticed that Pivotal finally has snowfall maps for the AIFS, so I don't have to piece together temp/precip maps as a guess anymore.

[RU848789]

1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said:

But you love chilly weather, embrace it!

I love cold weather, but I have a disc golf tournament tomorrow at 10 am at Allaire State Park in Monmouth County.  I don't actually mind the cold and even snow for disc golf, but it's going to be windy and I hate the wind.  

[LoboLeader1]

30F here & windy.

[lee59]

Hit 61 here today, first 60 since December 11th. Now down to 32.3

[qg_omega]

55 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Usually that would result in well above normal snow here with a ridge dominating the west

[gravitylover]

53 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I saw that post earlier and one of the comments was a snowfall chart for something like the last 100 years. There were plenty well over 100" but there were more Zeros. I lived there one year and it was about 90 in town and near 300 at the ski area but two years earlier was nothing, they're really inconsistent.

[Roger Smith]

DAILY RECORDS for NYC 

 

(March)

DATE ___ TEMPERATURES ___________________________________________ PRECIP ________________________________ notes

_________ High max ___ high min _____ Low max ___ Low min ________ Max prec ___ Max snow ___ Max 2d snow _ 

 

Mar 01 __ 73 1972 ___ 54 2017 _______ 16 1886 _____ 4 1869 _______ 2.95 1914RS_13.5 1914 ____13.5 1914*

Mar 02 __ 72 1972 ___ 50 1972, 91 ______ 21 1884 _____ 9 1891 _______ 2.41 2007R__10.0 1896 ____14.5 1914 (8.3" 2009 1.8+6.5)

Mar 03 __ 68 2024^___49 2020 ______ 26 1943,50,2009 _11 2003^____ 2.25 1906R___12.5 1960 ____12.5 1960*

Mar 04 __ 70 1974 ___ 51 1880 _______ 20 1873 _____ 6 1872 _______ 1.65 1977R___6.0 1893,1917__14.5 1960

Mar 05 __ 72 1880 ___ 50 1979 _______ 10 1872 _____ 3 1872 _______ 1.81 1920RS__8.6 1981 ____ 8.6 1981*

Mar 06 __ 68 1935, 2022 _50 2011 ____ 17 1901 _____ 5 1872 _______ 2.63 1979R___7.6 1916 ____ 8.6 1981**

Mar 07 __ 74 1946, 2022 _51 2009 ___ 20 1913 _____ 7 1890 _______ 1.87 1967R___6.0 1870 ____ 7.7 1915 (6.9+0.8)

Mar 08 __ 76 1987 ___ 54 1987 _______ 23 1883 _____ 8 1883 _______ 1.78 1941S__ 15.7 1941 ____ 18.1 1941

Mar 09 __ 77 2016 ___ 48 2000 ______ 24 1996 _____11 1996 _______ 1.82 1998R___5.3 1928 ____15.7 1941**

Mar 10 __ 79 2016 ___ 63 2016 _______ 28 1987 _____12 1929 ________1.62 1994R___ 6.0 1907 ____ 6.0 1907*

 

Mar 11 __ 73 1977 ___ 50 1967, 77 _____ 28 1885 _____14 1960 _________2.94 1901R___3.8 1896 ____ 6.0 1907**

Mar 12 __71 1890, 2012_ 52 2021 /_______ 26 1900 _____ 8 1888 ________2.33 1962R__16.5 1888 ____16.5 1888*

Mar 13 __ 85 1990 ___ 54 2012 _______ 12 1888 _____ 6 1888 _________3.86 2010R__10.2 1993 ____19.5 1888

Mar 14 __ 75 1946 ___ 51 1953 _______ 28 1892 _____12 1888 _________1.97 2017RS__7.6 2017 ____10.6 1993

Mar 15 __ 77 1990 ___ 51 2024^ ______ 24 1900 _____14 1993 (33) ___ 1.81 1912R___6.0 1906 ____ 7.6 2017**

Mar 16 __ 82 1990 ___ 55 1990 _______ 20 1911 _____13 1911 _________ 2.03 2007RS__8.4 1896 ____12.0 1896_ 2007 prec incl 5.5" snow

Mar 17 __ 75 1945 ___ 53 1990 _______ 25 1885,1900 __ 9 1916 ________ 1.42 1968R___3.5 1877 ____ 8.4 1896**

Mar 18 __ 77 1989, 2011 _51 2011 _______20 1967 _____7 1916 (24) _____ 3.10 1983R___7.1 1892 ____ 8.0 1892

Mar 19 __ 76 1918 ___ 55 2012 _______ 22 1877 _____ 8 1967 _________ 2.19 1881R___7.8 1956 ____11.6 1956

Mar 20 __ 83 1945 ___ 57 1948 ______ 21 1885 _____11 1885 _________ 1.93 1913R___4.7 1958 ____ 7.8 1956**

 

Mar 21 __ 84 1921 ___ 57 2012 _______ 21 1885 _____10 1885 _________ 2.21 1980R___8.2 2018 ____11.8 1958

Mar 22 __ 78 2012^___57 1948 _______ 22 1885 _____12 1885 _________3.44 1977R___9.0 1967 ____ 9.8 1967

Mar 23 __ 76 1923,2012_ 58 2012 ______ 20 1888 _____13 1875, 1934___3.66 2024R^__4.3 1896 ____ 9.0 1967**

Mar 24 __ 76 1988 ___ 52 1903 _______ 26 1888 _____12 1888 ________ 2.05 1989R___1.2 1956 ____ 4.5 1896

Mar 25 __ 79 1963^___61 1913 _______ 30 1873,78 __13 1878 _________ 4.25 1876R___0.5 1876,99__ 1.2 1956**^

Mar 26 __ 82 2021/ __ 52 1986, 2021_35 1872,1937,47_20 1960 (35,36 25th,26th)_1.42 1913R__1.2 1924 ___ 1.2 1924*

Mar 27 __ 83 1998 ___ 61 1949 _______ 30 1894 _____ 20 1894 _______ 1.79 1919R___1.0 1886 ____ 1.2 1924**

Mar 28 __ 84 1945^___ 63 1998 _______33 2022*_____13 1923 _______ 2.98 2005R___1.5 1984 ____ 1.5 1984* (1.4" snow 1919)

Mar 29 __ 86 1945^___ 62 1998^______ 29 1887 _____10 1923 (32) ___ 2.03 1984RS__4.0 1970 ____ 4.1 1996 (0.3+3.8) 1984 1.8" snow

Mar 30 __ 82 1998^___ 59 1998 _______31 1884 _____ 16 1887 (33) ___ 2.45 2010R___4.5 1883 ____ 4.5 1883*

 

Mar 31 __ 86 1998 ____ 66 1998 _______34 1923 _____ 14 1923 _______ 2.20 1934R___2.8 1890 ____ 4.5 1883**

-- - - - - - - - - - - - --

2d records are for date and previous date.

* for 2d record = all fell on date, none previous date

** for 2d record = all fell on previous date, none on table date

^ notes above for March (not incl above general notes)

 3rd _ previous record 65F 1991. 2024, min 48F fell one below 2020 record. 

 3rd _ Low min 11 also 1925,38,43,50,62 (and 2003)

12th _ / replaces 50F 1898

15th _ 2024 record high min 51F replaced 49F 1913, 2019

22nd _ max 77F 1938

23rd _ new rainfall record 2024 replaces 1.60" 1929R

25th _ max 75F 1910

25th _ cold rain 1912 could have incl sleet, 1-5" snow, missing snow data

26th / _ new record max 2021 replaces 76 1922.

28th _ max 79 1946, 29th max 78 1946, 29th min 60 1945, 57 1946

28th _ low max 33F 2022 replaced 34F 1893. 

30th _ max 78F 1910

[LoboLeader1]

18F here this morning.

[ForestHillWx]

14 here at the moment; last teens for lows until next winter? 

[Allsnow]

 

[bluewave]

19 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

 

The 42° drop at Newark over 18 hrs was the 3 greatest on record for March.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=169&network=NJ_ASOS&zstation=EWR&v=tmpf&hours=18&month=mar&dir=cool&how=exact&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png

 

 

[snowman19]

35 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:

14 here at the moment; last teens for lows until next winter? 

15F here. This is likely the last time we see mid-teens until December….

[LibertyBell]

12 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Ahead of a strong cold front, temperatures surged into the 50s and 60s across the region. High temperatures included:

Atlantic City: 68°
Baltimore: 66°
Bridgeport: 57°
Islip: 52°
New York City-Central Park: 64°
New York City-JFK Airport: 67° (old record: 61°, 2017)
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 65°
Newark: 65°
Philadelphia: 66°
Washington, DC: 69°

Much colder air is now pouring into the region on a stiff wind following today's springlike warmth. The brief but sharp shot of cold will be in place tomorrow and Monday. Tomorrow and Monday will see temperatures top out in the lower and middle 30s in New York City. Low temperatures will reach the lower 20s in New York City and teens outside the City.

There is a chance that New York City could see its high temperature reach no higher than freezing tomorrow. The last time New York City had a high of 32° in March was March 7, 2019. The last time New York City had a high below 32° in March was March 6, 2019 when the temperature topped out at 26°.

Temperatures will rebound quickly starting Tuesday. A moderate to possibly significant rainfall is possible Wednesday into Thursday.

No meaningful threats for a moderate or larger snowfall in the New York City area are likely through at least the first week of March.

The strong PNA ridge that predominated for most of the second half of February is finally fading. But magnitude of that ridge suggests that the New York City area likely won't experience any major snowfalls during Winter 2024-2025. The historic experience hints that the rising warmth of spring becomes too great to overcome by the time an otherwise favorable pattern for such snowfalls develops.  

The PNA reached +1.500 on February 19th and remained at or above +1.500 through February 23rd and at or above +1.000 through February 28th. In all 12 years that saw the PNA reach +1.500 or above on February 15 or later since 1950, the remainder of winter saw no 10" or greater snowstorms. If historic experience holds true yet again, that would make the Winter 2024-2025 the fourth consecutive winter without a 10" or above snowstorm in New York City. The last time that happened was during Winter 2016-2017 through Winter 2019-2020. Most of the 12 winters cited above went on to see some additional measurable snowfall with a few seeing a 6"+ storm.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around February 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.03°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.65°C. La Niña conditions have peaked and are beginning to fade. La Niña conditions will likely persist into the start of spring.

The SOI was +2.54 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.096 today.

Yes, we cleared the old record of 61 from 2017 by 6 full degrees, Don!

Now that it's hit 67 on March 1st here, I don't think we should have any problem reaching the 70s in the second half of March, rarely if ever do you see the warmest day of March on the 1st!  I like the idea of westerly winds for a larger than normal part of the spring and summer so JFK should have plenty of 90 degree days this summer and perhaps even hit 100+ a time or two or three......

 

[LibertyBell]

6 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

15F here. This is likely the last time we see mid-teens until December….

and our high of 67 on the 1st almost certainly won't be the warmest temperature we see this month!

 

[LibertyBell]

8 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The 42° drop at Newark over 18 hrs was the 3 greatest on record for March.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=169&network=NJ_ASOS&zstation=EWR&v=tmpf&hours=18&month=mar&dir=cool&how=exact&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png

 

 

Did JFK see a similar drop, Chris??

[LibertyBell]

5 hours ago, Roger Smith said:

DAILY RECORDS for NYC 

 

(March)

DATE ___ TEMPERATURES ___________________________________________ PRECIP ________________________________ notes

_________ High max ___ high min _____ Low max ___ Low min ________ Max prec ___ Max snow ___ Max 2d snow _ 

 

Mar 01 __ 73 1972 ___ 54 2017 _______ 16 1886 _____ 4 1869 _______ 2.95 1914RS_13.5 1914 ____13.5 1914*

Mar 02 __ 72 1972 ___ 50 1972, 91 ______ 21 1884 _____ 9 1891 _______ 2.41 2007R__10.0 1896 ____14.5 1914 (8.3" 2009 1.8+6.5)

Mar 03 __ 68 2024^___49 2020 ______ 26 1943,50,2009 _11 2003^____ 2.25 1906R___12.5 1960 ____12.5 1960*

Mar 04 __ 70 1974 ___ 51 1880 _______ 20 1873 _____ 6 1872 _______ 1.65 1977R___6.0 1893,1917__14.5 1960

Mar 05 __ 72 1880 ___ 50 1979 _______ 10 1872 _____ 3 1872 _______ 1.81 1920RS__8.6 1981 ____ 8.6 1981*

Mar 06 __ 68 1935, 2022 _50 2011 ____ 17 1901 _____ 5 1872 _______ 2.63 1979R___7.6 1916 ____ 8.6 1981**

Mar 07 __ 74 1946, 2022 _51 2009 ___ 20 1913 _____ 7 1890 _______ 1.87 1967R___6.0 1870 ____ 7.7 1915 (6.9+0.8)

Mar 08 __ 76 1987 ___ 54 1987 _______ 23 1883 _____ 8 1883 _______ 1.78 1941S__ 15.7 1941 ____ 18.1 1941

Mar 09 __ 77 2016 ___ 48 2000 ______ 24 1996 _____11 1996 _______ 1.82 1998R___5.3 1928 ____15.7 1941**

Mar 10 __ 79 2016 ___ 63 2016 _______ 28 1987 _____12 1929 ________1.62 1994R___ 6.0 1907 ____ 6.0 1907*

 

Mar 11 __ 73 1977 ___ 50 1967, 77 _____ 28 1885 _____14 1960 _________2.94 1901R___3.8 1896 ____ 6.0 1907**

Mar 12 __71 1890, 2012_ 52 2021 /_______ 26 1900 _____ 8 1888 ________2.33 1962R__16.5 1888 ____16.5 1888*

Mar 13 __ 85 1990 ___ 54 2012 _______ 12 1888 _____ 6 1888 _________3.86 2010R__10.2 1993 ____19.5 1888

Mar 14 __ 75 1946 ___ 51 1953 _______ 28 1892 _____12 1888 _________1.97 2017RS__7.6 2017 ____10.6 1993

Mar 15 __ 77 1990 ___ 51 2024^ ______ 24 1900 _____14 1993 (33) ___ 1.81 1912R___6.0 1906 ____ 7.6 2017**

Mar 16 __ 82 1990 ___ 55 1990 _______ 20 1911 _____13 1911 _________ 2.03 2007RS__8.4 1896 ____12.0 1896_ 2007 prec incl 5.5" snow

Mar 17 __ 75 1945 ___ 53 1990 _______ 25 1885,1900 __ 9 1916 ________ 1.42 1968R___3.5 1877 ____ 8.4 1896**

Mar 18 __ 77 1989, 2011 _51 2011 _______20 1967 _____7 1916 (24) _____ 3.10 1983R___7.1 1892 ____ 8.0 1892

Mar 19 __ 76 1918 ___ 55 2012 _______ 22 1877 _____ 8 1967 _________ 2.19 1881R___7.8 1956 ____11.6 1956

Mar 20 __ 83 1945 ___ 57 1948 ______ 21 1885 _____11 1885 _________ 1.93 1913R___4.7 1958 ____ 7.8 1956**

 

Mar 21 __ 84 1921 ___ 57 2012 _______ 21 1885 _____10 1885 _________ 2.21 1980R___8.2 2018 ____11.8 1958

Mar 22 __ 78 2012^___57 1948 _______ 22 1885 _____12 1885 _________3.44 1977R___9.0 1967 ____ 9.8 1967

Mar 23 __ 76 1923,2012_ 58 2012 ______ 20 1888 _____13 1875, 1934___3.66 2024R^__4.3 1896 ____ 9.0 1967**

Mar 24 __ 76 1988 ___ 52 1903 _______ 26 1888 _____12 1888 ________ 2.05 1989R___1.2 1956 ____ 4.5 1896

Mar 25 __ 79 1963^___61 1913 _______ 30 1873,78 __13 1878 _________ 4.25 1876R___0.5 1876,99__ 1.2 1956**^

Mar 26 __ 82 2021/ __ 52 1986, 2021_35 1872,1937,47_20 1960 (35,36 25th,26th)_1.42 1913R__1.2 1924 ___ 1.2 1924*

Mar 27 __ 83 1998 ___ 61 1949 _______ 30 1894 _____ 20 1894 _______ 1.79 1919R___1.0 1886 ____ 1.2 1924**

Mar 28 __ 84 1945^___ 63 1998 _______33 2022*_____13 1923 _______ 2.98 2005R___1.5 1984 ____ 1.5 1984* (1.4" snow 1919)

Mar 29 __ 86 1945^___ 62 1998^______ 29 1887 _____10 1923 (32) ___ 2.03 1984RS__4.0 1970 ____ 4.1 1996 (0.3+3.8) 1984 1.8" snow

Mar 30 __ 82 1998^___ 59 1998 _______31 1884 _____ 16 1887 (33) ___ 2.45 2010R___4.5 1883 ____ 4.5 1883*

 

Mar 31 __ 86 1998 ____ 66 1998 _______34 1923 _____ 14 1923 _______ 2.20 1934R___2.8 1890 ____ 4.5 1883**

-- - - - - - - - - - - - --

2d records are for date and previous date.

* for 2d record = all fell on date, none previous date

** for 2d record = all fell on previous date, none on table date

^ notes above for March (not incl above general notes)

 3rd _ previous record 65F 1991. 2024, min 48F fell one below 2020 record. 

 3rd _ Low min 11 also 1925,38,43,50,62 (and 2003)

12th _ / replaces 50F 1898

15th _ 2024 record high min 51F replaced 49F 1913, 2019

22nd _ max 77F 1938

23rd _ new rainfall record 2024 replaces 1.60" 1929R

25th _ max 75F 1910

25th _ cold rain 1912 could have incl sleet, 1-5" snow, missing snow data

26th / _ new record max 2021 replaces 76 1922.

28th _ max 79 1946, 29th max 78 1946, 29th min 60 1945, 57 1946

28th _ low max 33F 2022 replaced 34F 1893. 

30th _ max 78F 1910

The 80s heat streak in March 1990 was more extreme than the one in March 1998 which occurred at the tail end of the month.

[steve392]

15 degrees in mahwah.  Feels amazing.  Shorts season for me.  Wish it would last.