IrishRob17 Posted Monday at 06:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:08 PM From this afternoons SPC update: ...Mid-Atlantic to the Northeast... Model guidance indicates weak buoyancy across the Mid-Atlantic states into the Northeast ahead of the cold front. Appreciable heating has occurred through midday with temperatures rising through the upper 70s deg F. Despite some mixing of boundary-layer moisture, SBCAPE 500-1000 J/kg will support scattered storms developing this afternoon. Steepened 0-2 km lapse rates and moderate low to mid-level flow will probably yield scattered damaging gusts later this afternoon into the evening (55-65 mph). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted Monday at 06:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:32 PM Very foggy this AM in Riverdale with temps in the 40's. Once that fog lifted, temps shot up, and are now in the low 70s. Maybe we squeeze out a few more degrees, before early evening t-storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Monday at 06:37 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:37 PM off to the races here-68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Monday at 06:45 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:45 PM Clouds moving in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted Monday at 06:47 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:47 PM Stuck in the muck here, 62 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted Monday at 06:49 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:49 PM 76/61 under sunny skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Monday at 06:52 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:52 PM 79 ahead of the clouds, mybe one more break'll get 80. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Monday at 07:05 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:05 PM Had some brief sun earlier but it's overcast again. Thankfully there's a cool breeze. The ac in my truck officially crapped out and thus breeze us only thing keeping me cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Monday at 07:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:42 PM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Monday at 08:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:01 PM 3knam has 3 to 4" amounts over western nj 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feen Posted Monday at 08:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:02 PM any chances of freezing for central park or snow in the coming weeks or the growing season is on? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted Monday at 08:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:12 PM Strong southerly winds here are keeping temps at bay, mid 60s so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Monday at 08:13 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:13 PM 10 minutes ago, Feen said: any chances of freezing for central park or snow in the coming weeks or the growing season is on? 4/7 - 4/10 could see some 30s (lows) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted Monday at 08:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:15 PM 32 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Rain popped up over here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Monday at 08:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:23 PM 7 minutes ago, FPizz said: Rain popped up over here now Looks like it may train over the same area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted Monday at 08:24 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:24 PM Got up to 70.9 degrees here. Gorgeous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted Monday at 08:25 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:25 PM 13 minutes ago, Sundog said: Strong southerly winds here are keeping temps at bay, mid 60s so far. My station hit 70.9 and it’s currently 67.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted Monday at 08:29 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:29 PM 1 minute ago, ag3 said: My station hit 70.9 and it’s currently 67.5 Yea I peaked like 67 or 68 before dropping to 65 or 66. Nothing like the near 80 in most of NJ though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted Monday at 08:37 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:37 PM 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: 76/61 under sunny skies. 78 for the high up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted Monday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:42 PM Later storms will probably drop 0.40" to 0.70" on average, local 1.0-1.5 possible if two cells pass a location. ... marginal severe wx, gusts to 50-60, small hail. One weak tornado in n/c NJ would not surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted Monday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:42 PM 18 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Looks like it may train over the same area Yup looks that way. I'm on the outskirts so getting showers, but probable 5 minutes NW of me is getting a decent soaking already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted Monday at 08:46 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:46 PM The Euro was correct on coverage by 21z. I am not sure it'll be correct about how quickly this presses east though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted Monday at 08:50 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:50 PM Had enough sun finally to warm things up a bit to near 70. Onshore flow is pretty strong now and temps dropping. That will prevent severe storms from making it to the island, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see some thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Monday at 09:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:17 PM New York City is finishing March with a mean temperature of 46.9° (4.1° above normal). That makes March 2025 the 12th warmest March on record. A cold front will move slowly across the region tonight into tomorrow. It could be accompanied by strong thunderstorms, damaging winds, and heavy rainfall. A general 0.50"-1.50" rainfall with locally higher amounts is possible. In its wake, it will turn much cooler for tomorrow and Wednesday. It will again become unseasonably warm on Thursday. A cooler period will likely develop during the weekend. An AI random forest model currently suggests that April could wind up near or even somewhat below normal in New York City. A random forest model is a machine learning algorithm that combines the output of multiple decision trees to handle non-linear relationships to reach a single result. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.00°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into at least late spring. The SOI was +0.19 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.174 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Monday at 09:18 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:18 PM Absolutely sticky as hell out. Getting darker and darker to my west southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted Monday at 09:44 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:44 PM a few lightning strikes did show up 10-15 minutes ago near Teterboro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Monday at 09:49 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:49 PM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Monday at 09:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:59 PM What a torch March turned out to be. Zero snow for just about everyone here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted Monday at 10:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:08 PM 9 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: What a torch March turned out to be. Zero snow for just about everyone here Had flurries on the 1st and show shower on the 27th. Just a trace for the month. Fitting end to the season. 29.4" for the season barring any surprises in April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poker2015 Posted Monday at 11:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:14 PM 2 hours ago, FPizz said: Yup looks that way. I'm on the outskirts so getting showers, but probable 5 minutes NW of me is getting a decent soaking already. This line is more north than the last one. I picked up .34" but probably 5-10 mins northwest of me got more 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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