March 2025

[weathermedic]

Area has desert southwest-like RH levels:

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Central Park   SUNNY     51   2  13 W12G22    30.20R
World Trd Ctr  NOT AVBL
Bronx Lehman C   N/A     50  10  20 W8G20       N/A
LaGuardia Arpt MOSUNNY   52   7  16 NW16      30.17S
Queens College   N/A     52   7  16 W15         N/A
Kennedy Intl   MOSUNNY   53  10  18 W17       30.19R
Breezy Point     N/A    N/A N/A N/A W9G15       N/A
Brooklyn Coll    N/A     52   9  17 W14         N/A
Staten Island    N/A     52  12  20 W12         N/A
Newark/Liberty MOSUNNY   53   8  16 W16G26    30.18R
Teterboro      SUNNY     51  11  20 NW13G23   30.17S

[Feen]

beautiful day, early in the morning it was chilly but not too bad. Right now driving home it's 49 and partly sunny. Looking forward to the warmer temps tomorrow and Saturday. Enjoy guys! 
 

This winter sucked!

[Sundog]

I'm not looking forward to Saturday at all. 

Me second floor already gets toasty on a sunny day this time of year, provided that it's not 50s or cooler of course. 

Low to mid 80s is July temps, no thanks. 

[TWCCraig]

GEM-LAM

[jm1220]

14 minutes ago, TWCCraig said:

GEM-LAM

We pray. Might actually be nice on the shore too if we keep westerly winds, but that’ll be tough obviously. 

[Sundog]

24 minutes ago, TWCCraig said:

GEM-LAM

 

I only gave this a like because I like the graphics lol not because of the content of the image 

[Sundog]

8 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

We pray. Might actually be nice on the shore too if we keep westerly winds, but that’ll be tough obviously. 

You're going to torch in Huntington, at least for a few hours. 

[MANDA]

2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

With a preliminary low temperature of 34° in Central Park, it increasingly appears that the last freeze of the 2024-2025 season will have occurred on March 23rd.

Milder air will return tomorrow and remain largely in place for the remainder of March. Saturday could see the warmest readings so far this spring in and around the New York City area. Highs could rise well into the 70s in the New York City area. Parts of New Jersey could see the mercury reach or exceed 80°. Sunday will be cooler with highs in the upper 50s, but Monday could be another unseasonably warm day with highs in the middle and upper 60s.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.00°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into at least late spring.

The SOI was +9.72 yesterday.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.478 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 47.0° (4.2° above normal). That would rank as the 11th warmest March on record.

 

Hi Don-

How close are we to #10?

Thanks in advance.

[donsutherland1]

47 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Hi Don-

How close are we to #10?

Thanks in advance.

Number 10 is 47.2°.

[Feen]

8 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Number 10 is 47.2°.

Don are we done with snow?

[bluewave]

This may be the first time we have temperatures reaching the 80s in late March with an ice storm to our north. 
 

 

[donsutherland1]

15 minutes ago, Feen said:

Don are we done with snow?

Almost certainly, we are.

[jm1220]

26 minutes ago, bluewave said:

This may be the first time we have temperatures reaching the 80s in late March with an ice storm to our north. 
 

 

I would think there’s a heavy area of precip north of the front with this warm air overrunning the cold surface air. But if temps are around 30-31 with the heavy precip a lot would just run off. It’s really when temps are 25-26 that heavy rain rates would become a big problem. 

[wishcast_hater]

GEM-LAM

They've recalibrated the temperature scale bands to bring in 'red' at 20 degrees C. (20+ degrees isn't hot)
You used to only see red scale start at 40...
Can’t stand how misleading these images are.


.

[Stormlover74]

11 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said:

They've recalibrated the temperature scale bands to bring in 'red' at 20 degrees C. (20+ degrees isn't hot)
You used to only see red scale start at 40...
Can’t stand how misleading these images are.


.

Kinda like this (mid 70s looks like 90s)

[IrishRob17]

6 hours ago, wishcast_hater said:

They've recalibrated the temperature scale bands to bring in 'red' at 20 degrees C. (20+ degrees isn't hot)
You used to only see red scale start at 40...
Can’t stand how misleading these images are.


.

Yeah, highs are only going to be 25-30 degrees above average up here. 

[bluewave]

9 hours ago, jm1220 said:

I would think there’s a heavy area of precip north of the front with this warm air overrunning the cold surface air. But if temps are around 30-31 with the heavy precip a lot would just run off. It’s really when temps are 25-26 that heavy rain rates would become a big problem. 

It’s very unusual to get a 1030mb Bermuda high and a 1030mb Canadian high at the same time in late March. So this is allowing a shallow cold airmass to our north with WAA above the surface. We don’t typically get rain this time of year in those areas with surface temperatures below freezing while we are in the 80s. 
 

 

[MJO812]

12 hours ago, Sundog said:

I'm not looking forward to Saturday at all. 

Me second floor already gets toasty on a sunny day this time of year, provided that it's not 50s or cooler of course. 

Low to mid 80s is July temps, no thanks. 

Agree

Too early for this crap

[Dark Star]

12 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Agree

Too early for this crap

Sometimes these early warm temperature outbreaks don't feel as oppressive this time of year.  Ground and attics are still relatively cool, so indoors may not be so bad?

[Sundog]

BDCF back on on the models

GFS is slowest and therefore produces the warmest nighttime lows.

Most other models have a good cool push around 8PM 

[SACRUS]

46 / 32.   Warming today but looks mainly cloudy.  First 80s since November 6th and record highs for many in the region but not likely touching the 1945 highs, on Saturday.  Roller coaster cools us off by 30 degrees Sunday before warming back near 70 on Monday.  First week of next month warm / wet.

 

[SACRUS]

 

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 87(1945)
NYC: 84 (1945)
LGA: 83 (1945)
JFK: 76 (1991)


Lows:

EWR: 19 (1982)
NYC: 13 (1923)
LGA: 23 (1982)
JFK: 22 (1982)

Historical:

 

1917 - Thane Creek, AK, reported a snow cover of 190 inches. (The Weather Channel)

1920 - The worst tornado disaster of record occurred in Chicago IL as a tornado killed 28 persons and caused three million dollars damage. (David Ludlum)

1984 - A violent outbreak of tornadoes hit the Carolinas. Thunderstorms spawned 22 tornadoes during the late afternoon and evening hours which killed 57 persons and injured 1248 others. Nearly half the deaths occurred in mobile homes. A tornado from near Tatum SC to southern Cumberland County NC was 2.5 miles in width at times. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - A blizzard raged from southern Nebraska to central Iowa. Snowfall totals ranged up to 17 inches at Blue Hill NE. Winds gusted to 68 mph at Carroll IA. High winds produced snow drifts twenty feet high in western Iowa, and produced wind chill readings as cold as 30 degrees below zero in Nebraska. The snowfall total of 9.4 inches at Omaha NE was a record for the date. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Severe thunderstorms in central Oklahoma produced hail up to four inches in diameter causing 35 million dollars in southern Oklahoma County. Baseball size hail and seven inches of rain caused another eighteen million dollars damage in Stephens County. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Unseasonably warm weather prevailed from the Southern and Central Plains to the Atlantic coast. Eighteen cities reported new record high temperatures for the date. The afternoon high of 81 degrees at Beckley WV was a record for March, and the high of 90 degrees in downtown Baltimore MD tied their March record. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - A storm system brought heavy snow to the west central and southern mountains of Wyoming, and high winds to the Wasatch Mountains of northern Utah. Snowfall totals in Wyoming ranged up to ten inches at the Snowy Ski Range Area, and the storm pushed the snowfall total for the month at Cheyenne above 37 inches, surpassing their previous record for March of 35 inches. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

[Sundog]

3K NAM tomorrow at 9PM:

 

That's a hell of a gradient.

[SACRUS]

 

The next 1 - 2 inches (most falling between April 2 - 5th wet period), it'll likely continue wetter next week and into / the following week 6th -10th.

 

[psv88]

30 this morning. 
 

anyone else notice the point and click maps are different? Less detail and cannot zoom in?

[Brian5671]

32 minutes ago, psv88 said:

30 this morning. 
 

anyone else notice the point and click maps are different? Less detail and cannot zoom in?

yeah I see it too.

[JonClaw]

I don't remember, but does 15% on D4 usually translate to enhanced? If so, we've got a possible severe event to look out for next week.

[ag3]

Multiple 70s the next 10 days. 80+ possible tomorrow.

 

Torch is on.

[Stormlover74]

3 minutes ago, JonClaw said:

I don't remember, but does 15% on D4 usually translate to enhanced? If so, we've got a possible severe event to look out for next week.

That's a pretty broad area so too early to say

[SRRTA22]

9 minutes ago, JonClaw said:

I don't remember, but does 15% on D4 usually translate to enhanced? If so, we've got a possible severe event to look out for next week.

Enhanced most likely confined to the southeast 

For us up here , could see a low topped squall