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March 2025


snowman19
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  On 3/27/2025 at 11:53 AM, SnoSki14 said:

It's weaker. Could be warm 3 days straight 

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Our 2nd top 10 warmest March in a row. Very dramatic March shift to warmer after 2019. Every March in the 2020s has had at least top 20 warmth.


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Mar
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2012 51.3 0
2 1945 50.6 0
3 2016 49.1 0
4 1946 48.8 0
5 1973 48.6 0
6 2024 48.5 0
7 2010 48.2 0
8 2020 47.9 0
9 2000 47.8 0
10 2025 46.8 5
11 1977 46.7 0
12 1979 46.2 0
13 2021 45.6 0
14 1995 45.5 0
15 2022 45.2 0
- 1998 45.2 0
16 1987 45.0 0
17 2023 44.9 0
- 1990 44.9 0
18 1983 44.7 0
19 1985 44.5 0
20 1991 44.4 0
- 1936 44.4 0
21 2002 44.1 0
- 1986 44.1 0

 

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35 / 17 off a low of 30.  50s today .  60s (clouds) Friday before the surge of summer like warmth on Saturday.  First 80s since Nov 6th for parts of the region.  A back and froth progression the next 7 - 10 days.  With chance of clouds/showers next week to mute the warmups to the 60s, Wed/Fri/Sat/

 

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 84 (1998)
NYC: 83 (1998)
LGA: 83 (1998)
JFK: 80 (1998)

Lows:

EWR: 22 (2014)
NYC: 20 (1894)
LGA: 23 (2014)
JFK: 23 (2014)

 

Historical:

 

1890 - An outbreak of tornadoes occurred in the Ohio Valley. One of the tornadoes struck Louisville KY killing 78 persons and causing four million dollars damage. (David Ludlum)

1950 - A three day snowstorm in the High Plains Region finally came to an end. The storm produced 34 inches of snow in 24 hours at Dumont, located in the Black Hills of South Dakota, and a total of 50 inches. (David Ludlum)

1984 - The temperature at Brownsville, TX, soared to 106 degrees, and Cotulla, TX, reached 108 degrees, equalling the March record for the U.S. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - The second blizzard in less than a week hit eastern Colorado and western Kansas. Snowfall totals ranged up to 24 inches at San Isabel CO. Winds gusted to 50 mph at Goodland KS. The high winds piled snow into massive drifts, closing roads for days and killing thousands of cattle. Snow drifts thirty feet high were reported in northwest Kansas. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Temperatures rose quickly, then dropped just as rapidly, in the central U.S. Eight cities reported record high temperatures for the date as readings soared into the 80s. In southeastern Colorado, the temperature at Lamar CO reached 91 degrees. Strong southerly winds gusted to 63 mph at Gage OK. Strong northwesterly winds, gusting to 61 mph at Goodland KS, then proceeded to usher much colder air into the area. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in the south central U.S. Two tornadoes were reported, and there were 77 other reports of large hail and damaging winds. Baseball size hail was reported at Willow OK and Bartlesville OK. Twenty-six cities in the central and eastern U.S. reported new record high temperatures for the date, including Yankton SD with a reading of 84 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1990 - Temperatures dipped into the teens and single numbers in the northeastern U.S. Scranton PA tied their record for the date with a morning low of 18 degrees. Temperatures warmed into the 60s and lower 70s in the Pacific Northwest. The afternoon high of 65 degrees at Astoria OR equalled their record for the date. (The National Weather Summary)

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  On 3/27/2025 at 3:23 PM, Sundog said:

Saturday looks like a westerly wind, I can see widespread low 80s, maybe even a few 84s or 85s

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Yep, downslope and no leaves on the trees. Hopefully it can be more than one day and the backdoor can get hung up north of us. They get more snow up there, let them deal with the gunk. 

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  On 3/27/2025 at 3:59 PM, snowman19 said:

Take the over for Saturday away from the coast

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If the flow is straight west JFK will actually be the warm spot for the area. 
More likely it’s the warm spot till like 1 or 2. It would take one hell of a westerly flow to completely negate low 40s water temps without the sea breeze eventually winning out. 

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With a preliminary low temperature of 34° in Central Park, it increasingly appears that the last freeze of the 2024-2025 season will have occurred on March 23rd.

Milder air will return tomorrow and remain largely in place for the remainder of March. Saturday could see the warmest readings so far this spring in and around the New York City area. Highs could rise well into the 70s in the New York City area. Parts of New Jersey could see the mercury reach or exceed 80°. Sunday will be cooler with highs in the upper 50s, but Monday could be another unseasonably warm day with highs in the middle and upper 60s.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.00°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into at least late spring.

The SOI was +9.72 yesterday.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.478 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 47.0° (4.2° above normal). That would rank as the 11th warmest March on record.

 

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