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March 2025


snowman19
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Tomorrow will be another cool day. Milder air will then return on Friday and remain largely in place for the remainder of March.

Saturday could see the warmest readings so far this spring in and around the New York City area. Highs could rise well into the 70s in the New York City area. Sunday will be cooler with highs in the upper 50s, but Monday could be another unseasonably warm day with highs in the middle and upper 60s.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.00°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into at least late spring.

The SOI was +10.05 yesterday.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.073 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 46.7° (3.9° above normal). That would tie March 1977 for the 12th warmest March on record.

 

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12 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Tomorrow will be another cool day. Milder air will then return on Friday and remain largely in place for the remainder of March.

Saturday could see the warmest readings so far this spring in and around the New York City area. Highs could rise well into the 70s in the New York City area. Sunday will be cooler with highs in the upper 50s, but Monday could be another unseasonably warm day with highs in the middle and upper 60s.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.00°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into at least late spring.

The SOI was +10.05 yesterday.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.073 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 46.7° (3.9° above normal). That would tie March 1977 for the 12th warmest March on record.

 

That March of 1977 followed the bitter cold winter of 1976-77 which abruptly ended during the first week of February.  The summer of 1977 had quite a heat wave in July with I think CP reaching 104 after a high of 102 the day before.  I may be off a bit on those numbers.

Just some trivia and indicative of nothing.  

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47 minutes ago, MANDA said:

That March of 1977 followed the bitter cold winter of 1976-77 which abruptly ended during the first week of February.  The summer of 1977 had quite a heat wave in July with I think CP reaching 104 after a high of 102 the day before.  I may be off a bit on those numbers.

Just some trivia and indicative of nothing.  

May 9, 1977 also saw snow fall in NYC (trace) with accumulating snow in parts of NY and New England.

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