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March 2025


snowman19
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1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Don’t worry, the cold pool will send us the back door. 
Even if it doesn’t anywhere near the south shore will be significantly colder with water temps still around 40.

Barrier islands probably won’t even get over 60. S winds will cool it down immediately and probably stiff 25 mph wind. Still too early to write off the backdoor front, they can rally back quickly. Takes a heck of a lot to keep the cold water impacts away this time of year. Hopefully the N shore and most of the city can have a few nice hours of warmth before the sea breeze front. 

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11 hours ago, Sundog said:

The GFS and ICON have near 80 degrees in southern NY and mid 20s with snow in the Adirondacks. 

That can't be a common sight to see. 

 

It was over 10 years ago now, but I distinctly remember it being April and Mr. G on WCBS had a video of it snowing and in the 30’s up in Plattsburgh, NY while it was 80 degrees in NYC

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The drought feedback is giving this early season warmth a boost. So it’s possible we can see our first 80° warmth of the season on Saturday. Going forward it looks like the warm front will stall out to our north into early April with continued below normal rainfall. If the rains don’t eventually come next few months, then this kind of warmth could be our summer preview.
 

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15 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The drought feedback is giving this early season warmth a boost. So it’s possible we can see our first 80° warmth of the season on Saturday. Going forward it looks like the warm front will stall out to our north into early April with continued below normal rainfall. If the rains don’t eventually come next few months, then this kind of warmth could be our summer preview.
 

IMG_3316.thumb.png.e624ec79d61aee0715b6d5110d0a2c1f.png

IMG_3318.thumb.png.1aaabd0be318267f588660681812e5e7.png


 

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Looks like more of a westerly flow with this warmup which I’ll believe when I see, but this time of year is when warmth often beats forecasts if winds stay offshore. So many of us could hit 80+. Also have to see how cloudy it is. 

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3 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Looks like more of a westerly flow with this warmup which I’ll believe when I see, but this time of year is when warmth often beats forecasts if winds stay offshore. So many of us could hit 80+. Also have to see how cloudy it is. 

Westerly downsloping flow, no clouds and a late March/April sun angle always overperforms with warmth

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13 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Looks like more of a westerly flow with this warmup which I’ll believe when I see, but this time of year is when warmth often beats forecasts if winds stay offshore. So many of us could hit 80+. Also have to see how cloudy it is. 

Yeah, we haven’t had much westerly flow with our warm ups in recent years so this will be something to watch for as we head into the warm season.

 

IMG_3320.thumb.png.cee413dcb66a069838c81b515d344de0.png

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44 / 25 clouds and some light drizzle.  This back and forth pattern and a bit of uncertainty the next week.  

Cooler today , warmup Fri - Sat (70s and first 80s in the warm spots).  Cooler Sunday as front and next shot at rain 50s.  Warmer monday perhaps back into the 70s pending on clouds and back down much cooler Tue/Wed.  More unsettled into the end of next week and weekend.

 

GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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Highs:

EWR: 81 (2021)
NYC:  82 (2021)
LGA:  82  (2021)
JFK: 81 (2021)



Lows:

EWR: 19 (1960)
NYC: 20 (1960)
LGA: 20  (1960)
JFK: 24 (1960)


 

Historical:

1913 - The Ohio River Basin flood reached a peak. Ten inch rains over a wide area of the Ohio River Basin inundated cities in Ohio, drowning 467 persons, and causing 147 million dollars damage. The Miami River at Dayton reached a level eight feet higher than ever before. The flood, caused by warm weather and heavy rains, was the second mostly deadly of record for the nation. (David Ludlum)

 

1948: Good Friday tornadoes moved from Terre Haute to Redkey, Indiana killing 20 people. About 80% of the town of Coatesville was destroyed, and 16 people were killed. The Coatesville Carnegie Library was a total loss. The path was a half mile wide.

1954 - The temperature at Allaket, AK, plunged to 69 degrees below zero. (The Weather Channel)

1971 - Parts of northern and central Georgia experienced their worst snow and ice storm since 1935. Two day power outages ruined two million eggs at poultry hatches. Two persons were killed when a tree landed on their car. (25th-26th) (The Weather Channel)

1987 - A cold front crossing the Plateau Region produced high winds in Utah causing some property damage. Winds gusted to 51 mph at Salt Lake City. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Twenty cities in the southwestern U.S. reported new record high temperatures for the date. Afternoon highs of 73 degrees at Flagstaff AZ, 90 degrees at Sacramento CA, 95 degrees at Santa Maria CA, 95 degrees at Los Angeles CA, 99 degrees at Tucson AZ, and 100 degrees at Phoenix AZ set records for March. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - The Easter Bunny brought record warm temperatures to the central U.S. while such records were still welcome. A dozen cities reported record warm readings, including Dodge City KS with an afternoon high of 88 degrees. Strong southerly winds gusted to 51 mph at Dodge City, and reached 55 mph at Salina KS. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1990 - Fair weather prevailed across the nation for the second day in a row. Freezing temperatures were reported in the Middle Atlantic Coast Region in the wake of an early spring snowstorm. Afternoon highs were again in the 70s and 80s in the southeastern U.S., and for the ninth day in a row, temperatures in the southwestern U.S. reached the 90s. (The National Weather Summary)

2009: The proof is in the pudding - A NOAA Weather Radio can save your life. Near Belk, AL, a family was alerted to a tornado by their weather radio; they went to their storm cellar. They heard the "jet roar" of the EF1 tornado as it damaged their home; they were unhurt.

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On 3/20/2025 at 12:15 PM, LibertyBell said:

I like this because our heat comes from the west.

Another hot summer like this happened in 1983, look how wet that year was and yet it was our hottest summer on record before 1991 and 1993. For JFK it held the record until 2010!  Look at September 1983 we had 6 days of 90+ including a 96 as late as 9/11.

 

 

I know it's the Farmer's Almanac, but this looks promising as well.

[Source: Farmers’ Almanac Releases Summer 2025 Weather Forecast, Warns Temperatures To Continue Breaking Record Highs - Farmers' Almanac - Plan Your Day. Grow Your Life.]

farmers-almanac-summer-2025-map.webp

Heat will be in full force by July, with much of the nation sweltering with above- to high-above average temperatures. More long-time high temperature records may be broken this year.

Excessive Heat Warning

The Farmers’ Almanac forecasts warmer-than-average summer weather for most of the nation, warning that “The Heat is On!” This is not great news, especially since recent summers have ranked as the hottest summers in recent history. Editor Sandi Duncan says, “Our extended forecast suggests a very long, hot summer with the heat feeling unrelenting. July may be the month when records are broken nationwide.”

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The April 2002 backdoor was probably the most impressive with 90s to 50s in 1 hour for places like Boston.

M 93 °F 49 °F 22 % W 17 mph 26 mph 29.82 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy
5:54 PM 91 °F 49 °F 23 % W 14 mph 0 mph 29.82 in 0.0 in Mostly Cloudy
6:32 PM 66 °F 50 °F 56 % NNE 26 mph 33 mph 29.87 in 0.0 in Mostly Cloudy / Windy
6:54 PM 59 °F 50 °F 72 % NNE 25 mph 35 mph 29.91 in 0.0 in Cloudy / Windy
7:54 PM 55 °F 49 °F 80 % ENE 7 mph 0 mph 29.95 in 0.0 in Mostly Cloudy
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15 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The April 2002 backdoor was probably the most impressive with 90s to 50s in 1 hour for places like Boston.

 

M 93 °F 49 °F 22 % W 17 mph 26 mph 29.82 in 0.0 in Partly Cloudy
5:54 PM 91 °F 49 °F 23 % W 14 mph 0 mph 29.82 in 0.0 in Mostly Cloudy
6:32 PM 66 °F 50 °F 56 % NNE 26 mph 33 mph 29.87 in 0.0 in Mostly Cloudy / Windy
6:54 PM 59 °F 50 °F 72 % NNE 25 mph 35 mph 29.91 in 0.0 in Cloudy / Windy
7:54 PM 55 °F 49 °F 80 % ENE 7 mph 0 mph 29.95 in 0.0 in Mostly Cloudy

Anybody at a track or field practice or meet were probably relieved by that change, although the wind would have created some headaches.

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