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March 2025


snowman19
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4 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

No real arctic air in eastern Canada.  At 11 AM, it's 7 degrees on the western shore of Hudson Bbbbay, and some negative teens in the NW Territories...

Once Canada got torched it was over for any real cold and snow chances here-even the storm in the midwest has very marginal cold to work with....

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20 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Wait, last March was #1 warmest through the first 15 days? How's this possible-- it didn't even hit 80 in March.  The first 15 days of March 1990 must have been quite a bit warmer?

 

We had record cold in early March 1990 which balanced out the record warmth a few days later so the overall average temperature from the 1st through 17th wasn’t that high.


Islip Area, NY
Period of record: 1963-09-05 through 2025-03-18DateLowest minimum temperatures (degrees F)Top Record 2nd Record 3rd Record

 

3/8 8 in 1990 11 in 2007 13 in 1986


Islip Area, NY
Period of record: 1963-09-05 through 2025-03-18DateHighest maximum temperatures (degrees F)Top Record 2nd Record 3rd Record

 

3/13 82 in 1990 70 in 2020 64 in 1995


 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 2024-03-17 47.9 0
2 1973-03-17 46.6 0
3 2016-03-17 45.1 0
4 2020-03-17 44.0 0
- 2012-03-17 44.0 0
- 1977-03-17 44.0 0
5 2000-03-17 43.3 0
6 2010-03-17 43.2 0
7 2025-03-17 42.7 0
8 1974-03-17 42.2 0
9 1983-03-17 41.8 0
10 2002-03-17 41.2 0
11 1990-03-17 40.9 0
- 1985-03-17 40.9 0
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2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Very sad times

Today is the last day of winter

Cheer up Anthony.  Look at it this way.  We are half way to the longest daylight of the year.  In about 90 days we start the crawl back to Winter.

We'll see what Winter 2025-26 brings.  Time marches on.  Better snow times ahead....gotta believe.  :)

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33 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Cheer up Anthony.  Look at it this way.  We are half way to the longest daylight of the year.  In about 90 days we start the crawl back to Winter.

We'll see what Winter 2025-26 brings.  Time marches on.  Better snow times ahead....gotta believe.  :)

Right now summer is more desirable.

 

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64 here right now. Beautiful today. I wish we could get a lot more weather like this, but of course it will be turning cooler as we move into late March.

The NW wind is gonna feel chilly on Friday, and next week we'll likely have some days in which it only makes it to the low 50s.

I'll be starting the garden with the cold tolerant vegatables next week, and it'll be the usual annoying cool weather for the early Spring planting. 

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11 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Omaha cashing in again

BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Additional snow accumulations between 3 and 9 inches. Winds gusting as high as 70 mph.

meanwhile all the models backed off on rain amounts here friday 

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I took Don's list of snowfalls after today's date, and added cases down to 3", to find out how many followed significant early spring (late winter) warmth ... 50-50 as it appears ... 

 

TOP SNOWFALLS after March 20 ___ MAX TEMP BEFORE SNOWFALL EVENT (starting Feb 1, Jan cases noted)

______________________________________ for April events, also listed Max to Mar 31 if lower

 1. 11.8", March 20-21, 1958 __________ 57 Mar 11

 2. 10.2", April 3-4, 1915 _____________ 59 Mar 25

 3. 10.0", April 12-14, 1875 ___________ 66 Apr 11 (60 Mar 30)

 4. 9.6", April 6, 1982 ________________ 65 Apr 1 (60 Mar 30)

 5. 9.0", March 22, 1967 _____________ 72 Mar 11

 6. 8.5", April 1, 1924 _________________66 Mar 30

 7. 8.4", March 21-22, 2018 __________ 78 Feb 21 ___ 11. Apr 2, 2018

 8t. 6.5", April 8-9, 1917 ______________83 Apr 1

 8t. 6.5" April 5, 1944 ________________62 Mar 25 (also Jan 27)

10. 6.4", April 6-7, 1938 ______________77 Mar 22

11. 5.5", Apr 2, 2018 ___ see 7. above

12t. 5.0", April 9, 1905 _______________73 Mar 28, 29

12t. 5.0", Mar 22, 1998 ______________ 58 Feb 26, 27 (65 Jan 8)

14t. 4.5", Mar 30, 1883 ______________ 60 (Mar 2, 18)

14t. 4.5", Mar 23-24, 1896 ___________ 57 Feb 6 ____ also 3.0" Apr 6-7

16. 4.2", April 8, 1956 ________________ 66 Apr 5 (63 Mar 5)

17. 4.1", Mar 28-29, 1996 _____________ 63 Mar 14

18t. 4.0", Mar 29, 1970 _______________ 57 Feb 22

18t. 4.0", Apr 7, 2003 ________________ 69 Mar 17, 29

20. 3.6" Mar 30-Apr 1 1890 __________ 71 Mar 12

21. 3.3", Mar 28-29, 1984 ____________ 63 Feb 24

22. 3.2", Mar 22, 1992 _______________ 64 Feb 23, Mar 9

23t. 3.0", Apr 25, 1875 ___ see 3 above

23t. 3.0", Apr 18, 1887 _______________ 79 Apr 10 (63 Feb 11)

=============================

(25 cases in all, 22 different years, so 1 in 7 freq for 3.0" snowfalls after today's date

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45 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

I took Don's list of snowfalls after today's date, and added cases down to 3", to find out how many followed significant early spring (late winter) warmth ... 50-50 as it appears ... 

 

TOP SNOWFALLS after March 20 ___ MAX TEMP BEFORE SNOWFALL EVENT (starting Feb 1, Jan cases noted)

______________________________________ for April events, also listed Max to Mar 31 if lower

 1. 11.8", March 20-21, 1958 __________ 57 Mar 11

 2. 10.2", April 3-4, 1915 _____________ 59 Mar 25

 3. 10.0", April 12-14, 1875 ___________ 66 Apr 11 (60 Mar 30)

 4. 9.6", April 6, 1982 ________________ 65 Apr 1 (60 Mar 30)

 5. 9.0", March 22, 1967 _____________ 72 Mar 11

 6. 8.5", April 1, 1924 _________________66 Mar 30

 7. 8.4", March 21-22, 2018 __________ 78 Feb 21 ___ 11. Apr 2, 2018

 8t. 6.5", April 8-9, 1917 ______________83 Apr 1

 8t. 6.5" April 5, 1944 ________________62 Mar 25 (also Jan 27)

10. 6.4", April 6-7, 1938 ______________77 Mar 22

11. 5.5", Apr 2, 2018 ___ see 7. above

12t. 5.0", April 9, 1905 _______________73 Mar 28, 29

12t. 5.0", Mar 22, 1998 ______________ 58 Feb 26, 27 (65 Jan 8)

14t. 4.5", Mar 30, 1883 ______________ 60 (Mar 2, 18)

14t. 4.5", Mar 23-24, 1896 ___________ 57 Feb 6 ____ also 3.0" Apr 6-7

16. 4.2", April 8, 1956 ________________ 66 Apr 5 (63 Mar 5)

17. 4.1", Mar 28-29, 1996 _____________ 63 Mar 14

18t. 4.0", Mar 29, 1970 _______________ 57 Feb 22

18t. 4.0", Apr 7, 2003 ________________ 69 Mar 17, 29

20. 3.6" Mar 30-Apr 1 1890 __________ 71 Mar 12

21. 3.3", Mar 28-29, 1984 ____________ 63 Feb 24

22. 3.2", Mar 22, 1992 _______________ 64 Feb 23, Mar 9

23t. 3.0", Apr 25, 1875 ___ see 3 above

23t. 3.0", Apr 18, 1887 _______________ 79 Apr 10 (63 Feb 11)

=============================

(25 cases in all, 22 different years, so 1 in 7 freq for 3.0" snowfalls after today's date

2002-03 was such a classic winter.

I think the frequency is much higher when the prior winter has been very snowy.

 

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1 hour ago, winterwx21 said:

64 here right now. Beautiful today. I wish we could get a lot more weather like this, but of course it will be turning cooler as we move into late March.

The NW wind is gonna feel chilly on Friday, and next week we'll likely have some days in which it only makes it to the low 50s.

I'll be starting the garden with the cold tolerant vegatables next week, and it'll be the usual annoying cool weather for the early Spring planting. 

this weekend will be really good.

 

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50 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

I took Don's list of snowfalls after today's date, and added cases down to 3", to find out how many followed significant early spring (late winter) warmth ... 50-50 as it appears ... 

 

TOP SNOWFALLS after March 20 ___ MAX TEMP BEFORE SNOWFALL EVENT (starting Feb 1, Jan cases noted)

______________________________________ for April events, also listed Max to Mar 31 if lower

 1. 11.8", March 20-21, 1958 __________ 57 Mar 11

 2. 10.2", April 3-4, 1915 _____________ 59 Mar 25

 3. 10.0", April 12-14, 1875 ___________ 66 Apr 11 (60 Mar 30)

 4. 9.6", April 6, 1982 ________________ 65 Apr 1 (60 Mar 30)

 5. 9.0", March 22, 1967 _____________ 72 Mar 11

 6. 8.5", April 1, 1924 _________________66 Mar 30

 7. 8.4", March 21-22, 2018 __________ 78 Feb 21 ___ 11. Apr 2, 2018

 8t. 6.5", April 8-9, 1917 ______________83 Apr 1

 8t. 6.5" April 5, 1944 ________________62 Mar 25 (also Jan 27)

10. 6.4", April 6-7, 1938 ______________77 Mar 22

11. 5.5", Apr 2, 2018 ___ see 7. above

12t. 5.0", April 9, 1905 _______________73 Mar 28, 29

12t. 5.0", Mar 22, 1998 ______________ 58 Feb 26, 27 (65 Jan 8)

14t. 4.5", Mar 30, 1883 ______________ 60 (Mar 2, 18)

14t. 4.5", Mar 23-24, 1896 ___________ 57 Feb 6 ____ also 3.0" Apr 6-7

16. 4.2", April 8, 1956 ________________ 66 Apr 5 (63 Mar 5)

17. 4.1", Mar 28-29, 1996 _____________ 63 Mar 14

18t. 4.0", Mar 29, 1970 _______________ 57 Feb 22

18t. 4.0", Apr 7, 2003 ________________ 69 Mar 17, 29

20. 3.6" Mar 30-Apr 1 1890 __________ 71 Mar 12

21. 3.3", Mar 28-29, 1984 ____________ 63 Feb 24

22. 3.2", Mar 22, 1992 _______________ 64 Feb 23, Mar 9

23t. 3.0", Apr 25, 1875 ___ see 3 above

23t. 3.0", Apr 18, 1887 _______________ 79 Apr 10 (63 Feb 11)

=============================

(25 cases in all, 22 different years, so 1 in 7 freq for 3.0" snowfalls after today's date

 3. 10.0", April 12-14, 1875 ___________ 66 Apr 11 (60 Mar 30)

This is pretty funny, 66 on April 11th and then 10 inches of snow over three days starting the next day?  How did we have a three day snowstorm in April?

2. 10.2", April 3-4, 1915 _____________ 59 Mar 25

This one believe it or not, we got fringed as Philly got 20 inches of snow lol.

 

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53 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

I took Don's list of snowfalls after today's date, and added cases down to 3", to find out how many followed significant early spring (late winter) warmth ... 50-50 as it appears ... 

 

TOP SNOWFALLS after March 20 ___ MAX TEMP BEFORE SNOWFALL EVENT (starting Feb 1, Jan cases noted)

______________________________________ for April events, also listed Max to Mar 31 if lower

 1. 11.8", March 20-21, 1958 __________ 57 Mar 11

 2. 10.2", April 3-4, 1915 _____________ 59 Mar 25

 3. 10.0", April 12-14, 1875 ___________ 66 Apr 11 (60 Mar 30)

 4. 9.6", April 6, 1982 ________________ 65 Apr 1 (60 Mar 30)

 5. 9.0", March 22, 1967 _____________ 72 Mar 11

 6. 8.5", April 1, 1924 _________________66 Mar 30

 7. 8.4", March 21-22, 2018 __________ 78 Feb 21 ___ 11. Apr 2, 2018

 8t. 6.5", April 8-9, 1917 ______________83 Apr 1

 8t. 6.5" April 5, 1944 ________________62 Mar 25 (also Jan 27)

10. 6.4", April 6-7, 1938 ______________77 Mar 22

11. 5.5", Apr 2, 2018 ___ see 7. above

12t. 5.0", April 9, 1905 _______________73 Mar 28, 29

12t. 5.0", Mar 22, 1998 ______________ 58 Feb 26, 27 (65 Jan 8)

14t. 4.5", Mar 30, 1883 ______________ 60 (Mar 2, 18)

14t. 4.5", Mar 23-24, 1896 ___________ 57 Feb 6 ____ also 3.0" Apr 6-7

16. 4.2", April 8, 1956 ________________ 66 Apr 5 (63 Mar 5)

17. 4.1", Mar 28-29, 1996 _____________ 63 Mar 14

18t. 4.0", Mar 29, 1970 _______________ 57 Feb 22

18t. 4.0", Apr 7, 2003 ________________ 69 Mar 17, 29

20. 3.6" Mar 30-Apr 1 1890 __________ 71 Mar 12

21. 3.3", Mar 28-29, 1984 ____________ 63 Feb 24

22. 3.2", Mar 22, 1992 _______________ 64 Feb 23, Mar 9

23t. 3.0", Apr 25, 1875 ___ see 3 above

23t. 3.0", Apr 18, 1887 _______________ 79 Apr 10 (63 Feb 11)

=============================

(25 cases in all, 22 different years, so 1 in 7 freq for 3.0" snowfalls after today's date

you should add April 1996 to this list, JFK had 4 inches of snow, Central Park as usual undermeasured.

 

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Where do these stupid sayings come from? Please tell me a met did not invent this.

 

"When thunder roars go indoors"

1) thunder doesn't *roar*

2) if people need stupid phrases like this to be saved, maybe they're too stupid to be saved and don't bother? Use common sense, people. I'd replace it with *When thunder rumbles take a tumble* That's more accurate as far as what thunder actually sounds like.  Plus, let them tumble.....

 

 

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The mild weather will continue through tomorrow. It could turn briefly cooler on Friday. The arrival of the cooler air will be preceded by a period of rain Thursday night into Friday.

A stronger shot of cold is possible next week. The chill could then linger for much of the remainder of the month.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.3°C for the week centered around March 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.00°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into at least late spring.

The SOI was +12.59 yesterday.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.053 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 87% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 45.7° (2.9° above normal).

 

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