steve392 Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 I am really sick of this god dam wind Every day off its just howling out. Can't work outside with getting cold and havi g stuff blow all over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 50 minutes ago, Wannabehippie said: I wouldn't hold my breath on this if I were you. What makes you think I am? I think I've made it clear that this is a very low probability event for 95, at least, but it's not a zero probability event, as snow is obviously possible in late March. Would need to see support from other models to start to be truly interested in this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 The area picked up a general 0.50"-1.50" of rain. In the wake of the rainstorm, the mild weather will continue through the middle of the week. It could turn briefly cooler late next week. Aside from some rain late in the week, the week ahead should be mainly dry once today's rainstorm departs. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.3°C for the week centered around March 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.00°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into at least late spring. The SOI was +9.96 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.998 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 93% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 46.5° (3.7° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 18z euroAI looks interesting on the Tidbits maps. Anyone have the better maps? Thanks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 20 minutes ago, ag3 said: 18z euroAI looks interesting on the Tidbits maps. Anyone have the better maps? Thanks. This is the best I can find that's free: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Please no 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 18 Author Share Posted March 18 10 hours ago, RU848789 said: What makes you think I am? I think I've made it clear that this is a very low probability event for 95, at least, but it's not a zero probability event, as snow is obviously possible in late March. Would need to see support from other models to start to be truly interested in this. And there is no support from any other models. Zero, zilch, nada, zippo, nothing. Literally not one other model (EURO, CMC, EURO-AI, ICON, UKMET, NAM, RGEM, NBM) looks anything at all like the GFS. It’s in a universe all to its own again and it’s going to be wrong again. People can track GFS digital snow ghosts all they want, that’s their right. They’ve been doing it since November, so why stop now? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Low possibility but not uncommon. We have seen snow in March many times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 So much for the last freeze being last week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 1 minute ago, BxEngine said: So much for the last freeze being last week You mean this morning? I think whoever said that probably meant the city anyway. I got down to 34, currently still there. Even rural northern Nassau is 33. Too much wind for full cooldown in the farmland down here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 29 here; looks like next week has a few more chances. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 9 minutes ago, Sundog said: You mean this morning? I think whoever said that probably meant the city anyway. I got down to 34, currently still there. Even rural northern Nassau is 33. Too much wind for full cooldown in the farmland down here. Metro != city. Ill keep fighting it, dont care. Lol 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Low of 26, 27 currently here on the northern side of Uptons forecast area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 35 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Top 10 warmest start to March across the region. Most spots are running +4 to +7. It’s just goes to show when we get a few months a little colder than average that the rebound warmer has been more impressive during recent years. SMQ…+5.4° FWN..+6.7° EWR…+5.8° NYC….+4.1° LGA…..+3.8° JFK……+6.1° HPN…..+4.4° BDR……+4.2° ISP…….+4.8° POU…..+5.1° BGM…+6.9° PHL…+5.8° 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 3 minutes ago, bluewave said: Top 10 warmest start to March across the region. Most spots are running +4 to +7. It’s just goes to show when we get a few months a little colder than average that the rebound warmer has been more impressive during recent years. SMQ…+5.4° FWN..+6.7° EWR…+5.8° NYC….+4.1° LGA…..+3.8° JFK……+6.1° HPN…..+4.4° BDR……+4.2° ISP…….+4.8° POU…..+5.1° BGM…+6.9° PHL…+5.8° Definitely does not feel like a warm March on Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 2 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: Definitely does not feel like a warm March on Long Island. We're getting used to North Carolina averages. I didn't think it was that warm either until I saw bluewave's numbers and I was shocked. And that's up against the fake new normals that constantly go up every 10 years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 10 minutes ago, bluewave said: Top 10 warmest start to March across the region. Most spots are running +4 to +7. It’s just goes to show when we get a few months a little colder than average that the rebound warmer has been more impressive during recent years. SMQ…+5.4° FWN..+6.7° EWR…+5.8° NYC….+4.1° LGA…..+3.8° JFK……+6.1° HPN…..+4.4° BDR……+4.2° ISP…….+4.8° POU…..+5.1° BGM…+6.9° PHL…+5.8° Thats insane. We’re so f*cked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 41 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: 29 here; looks like next week has a few more chances. The dry weather will help us radiate well at night. Definitely more freezes next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feen Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 does anyone have Euro AI snowmap for Friday morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 7 minutes ago, Feen said: does anyone have Euro AI snowmap for Friday morning? Barely anything 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 12 hours ago, steve392 said: I am really sick of this god dam wind Every day off its just howling out. Can't work outside with getting cold and havi g stuff blow all over. No one wants this crap useless cold weather now. When will climate change finally become strong enough so we don't get this crap cold windy weather anymore after March 10th and April. That's what I'm waiting for! After the time change it should never be below 40 until next fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 15 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: The dry weather will help us radiate well at night. Definitely more freezes next week. Useless fraudulent cold that disappears as soon as the sun comes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 26 minutes ago, Sundog said: We're getting used to North Carolina averages. I didn't think it was that warm either until I saw bluewave's numbers and I was shocked. And that's up against the fake new normals that constantly go up every 10 years. The wind has been relentless as well. A few sunny 75 degree days with out wind would feel great 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 1 hour ago, BxEngine said: Metro != city. Ill keep fighting it, dont care. Lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Bottomed out at 30F here overnite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 1 hour ago, Sundog said: You mean this morning? I think whoever said that probably meant the city anyway. I got down to 34, currently still there. Even rural northern Nassau is 33. Too much wind for full cooldown in the farmland down here. Froze here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 39 / 22 off a low of 30 here. Warmer the next two days with sun, low to mid 60s. Next shot at rain on later Thursday (05) then some clouds may stick around Fri / Sat. Rain on monday may bring the an additional 0.5 inches of rain. Overall near normal into the final 10 days of the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 36 minutes ago, forkyfork said: Nice, I'm on the southeast part of that pink circle lol. I think Hempstead should be included within it because it's a densely populated urban area too. So should White Plains. Anyone within the orange coloring (density of 10,000 people per square mile.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 9 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 39 / 22 off a low of 30 here. Warmer the next two days with sun, low to mid 60s. Next shot at rain on later Thursday (05) then some clouds may stick around Fri / Sat. Rain on monday may bring the an additional 0.5 inches of rain. Overall near normal into the final 10 days of the month. Saturday/Sunday should be fine (a nice weekend.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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