nycwinter Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 when i went out this morning it was 52 and it felt cold. i had to go back inside and get my gloves... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 34 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I remember my stuck doors and not being able to get out for two days lol. How long did this storm last? I don't remember this as being a 24 hour storm.... It lasted a while, I remember waking up with snow/sleet and it was still falling that night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Now 69 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Nasty squal line in Pa. Might make it the western suburbs but will probably weaken rapidly when it hits the marine layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 51 minutes ago, nycwinter said: when i went out this morning it was 52 and it felt cold. i had to go back inside and get my gloves... What 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 What One last ride? Could be a good setup for interior if it’s true…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Up to 71 here. Nice torch today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 64 in Mahwah, gross out. How long till next winter? lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 60 here-feels humid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Dreary misty and cool… Typical south shore early spring weather. I remember as a kid before I really understood the reasoning, being pissed seeing a forecast of 75 and sunny on the news and the reality was 55 and fog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Up to 72 - too bad there werent more or any longer breaks of sun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 3 hours ago, MANDA said: Thanks. Yet according to some nothing to see here. It has been dry and we need to start turning this around or we will be running into assorted dryness issues within 2 months. Going into the Spring and Summer 9+" down is not a good thing. Not an issue right now but it will be if this does not start reversing. Yeah, hopefully we can shrink those rainfall deficits heading into the summer. Since that’s when they can have a larger effect. NJ had a -9.00” deficit from February 2022 into August 2022 at peak seasonal heating and drying which resulted in 5-6 days reaching 100 in NJ that summer which was close to the record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Warm but very windy. Lots of strong gusts here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 10 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Warm but very windy. Lots of strong gusts here. Still no wind here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 18 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, hopefully we can shrink those rainfall deficits heading into the summer. Since that’s when they can have a larger effect. NJ had a -9.00” deficit from February 2022 into August 2022 at peak seasonal heating and drying which resulted in 5-6 days reaching 100 in NJ that summer which was close to the record. Hey 100 degrees in the summer are fun and which make it memorable. Unfortunately 2022 was not a hot summer here we didn't get to 100 even once and didn't even have a high number of 90 degree days. For me for a summer to be hot it has to have at least 25 90 degree days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 22 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, hopefully we can shrink those rainfall deficits heading into the summer. Since that’s when they can have a larger effect. NJ had a -9.00” deficit from February 2022 into August 2022 at peak seasonal heating and drying which resulted in 5-6 days reaching 100 in NJ that summer which was close to the record. The record has to be from 1993, which was a historically hot summer, record number of 90 degree days and record number of 100 degree days, 3 in a row at Central Park, 2 at JFK and a mind boggling 9 at Newark including 5 in a row! Back in the 90s we had hot summers much more consistently than we do now. Check out that super heat wave of 7 straight days of 90+ in early July 1993, you simply don't see this kind of thing anymore. I think the only other two times since then we had such lengthy heatwaves was in 1999 and 2002 -- also very memorable summers ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 28 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Dreary misty and cool… Typical south shore early spring weather. I remember as a kid before I really understood the reasoning, being pissed seeing a forecast of 75 and sunny on the news and the reality was 55 and fog. The sun came out for a bit here around 10-11. It looked better than it did yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Hey 100 degrees in the summer are fun and which make it memorable. Unfortunately 2022 was not a hot summer here we didn't get to 100 even once and didn't even have a high number of 90 degree days. For me for a summer to be hot it has to have at least 25 90 degree days. 2022 was our first drought summer with onshore flow. All the previous 4+ 100° day summers in NJ also had the 100° heat extending further east with westerly flow. So it shows that onshore flow can keep areas east of NYC cooler even during drought conditions if the winds stay onshore. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through DecClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1993 9 0 2 1949 8 0 3 2022 6 0 - 1953 6 0 5 1988 5 0 - 1966 5 0 7 2011 4 0 - 2010 4 0 - 1955 4 0 - 1944 4 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 12Z Euro, GFS, GDPS and AIFS all show interior snowfall in NEPA/NWNJ/SENY and New England on 3/25-26 - and not too far from the 95 corridor. It's at least worth watching, since we know that most late March events never look like much until a day or two before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 10 minutes ago, bluewave said: 2022 was our first drought summer with onshore flow. All the previous 4+ 100° day summers in NJ also had the 100° heat extending further east with westerly flow. So it shows that onshore flow can keep areas east of NYC cooler even during drought conditions if the winds stay onshore. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through DecClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1993 9 0 2 1949 8 0 3 2022 6 0 - 1953 6 0 5 1988 5 0 - 1966 5 0 7 2011 4 0 - 2010 4 0 - 1955 4 0 - 1944 4 0 wow 2022 is very high up on this list and even ahead of 2010! Funny thing about 2010 is JFK had almost as many 100 degree days (3) as Newark did (4). How does the number of 90 degree days compare Chris? 1993 is tops for both 100 and 90 degree day at Newark and Central Park, but not at JFK (although those two 100 degree days in the middle of that 7 day heatwave at JFK was enough for me lol.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 3 minutes ago, RU848789 said: 12Z Euro, GFS, GDPS and AIFS all show interior snowfall in NEPA/NWNJ/SENY and New England on 3/25-26 - and not too far from the 95 corridor. It's at least worth watching, since we know that most late March events never look like much until a day or two before. So definitely snow in the Poconos, at around 2000 ft elevation and south of I-80 too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Wide temp spreads in region only 60 in westchester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 1 minute ago, the_other_guy said: Wide temp spreads in region only 60 in westchester south winds-so we are capped given the water temps-60 here as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: south winds-so we are capped given the water temps-60 here as well Can add my two stations to 60 for the high as well. Winds on S Shore with temp around 54 & no sun made it feel like the 40s this afternoon in Massapequa for my daughter’s flag football game. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Rain will develop this evening. A thunderstorm is possible. The rain will end early tomorrow. A general 0.50"-1.50" rainfall is likely in and around New York City. In the wake of the rainstorm, the mild weather will continue through the middle of the week. It could turn briefly cooler late next week. Aside from some showers on Thursday, the week ahead should be mainly dry once today's rainstorm departs. The long-range guidance has turned warmer for much of the remainder of March. As a result, there is an increasing prospect that New York City has seen its last measurable snowfall of the 2024-2025 season. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 5. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.68°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.37°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have developed. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into at least late spring. The SOI was +9.96 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.586 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 94% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 46.7° (3.9° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 Temps down to 57 now in Mahwah. Still gross just cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 On 3/15/2025 at 12:12 PM, forkyfork said: i'm inclined to lean west with this ridging but convection offshore could rob us congrats li and ct 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: So definitely snow in the Poconos, at around 2000 ft elevation and south of I-80 too? Way too early to speculate on anything other then a potential low pressure. If anything, higher elevations are much favored in early and late season events with less emphasis on latitude 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 16 Share Posted March 16 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: wow 2022 is very high up on this list and even ahead of 2010! Funny thing about 2010 is JFK had almost as many 100 degree days (3) as Newark did (4). How does the number of 90 degree days compare Chris? 1993 is tops for both 100 and 90 degree day at Newark and Central Park, but not at JFK (although those two 100 degree days in the middle of that 7 day heatwave at JFK was enough for me lol.) Central Park is notorious for recording a statistically anomalous number of 89 degree days lol so they were like 10 to 15 90 degree days lower than surrounding stations in 2010 (and pretty much every year since the early 2000s.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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