March 2025

[uofmiami]

5 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

good thing it's not a snowstorm

That’s usually 10 days out 

[Sundog]

4 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

i'm willing to put money down that we won't see a 5 day average with a negative departure in the next two weeks

I am not ready to take that bet lol

Gun to head if you ask me blindly what the deparrtures would be for any time period in the future I always go positive. 

[Stormlover74]

Still wildly different for Sunday nights rain. 6z is a little wetter on the gfs

[LibertyBell]

wow  https://x.com/HamptonsDrone/status/1899150346259173421

[Picard]

16 hours ago, jm1220 said:

Before the leaves pop on the trees you can see lots of huge diurnal swings like these. Hope we all enjoyed today and yesterday before the onshore gunk onslaught. 

22/70 out at the Walpack station yesterday, Sussex County.
21/68 the day before.  Walpack can really go nuts this time of year.

[forkyfork]

another above average day. make spring cold fronts cold again

[steve392]

Beautiful chilly day out there! 

[LibertyBell]

2 minutes ago, steve392 said:

Beautiful chilly day out there! 

I wouldn't call 55 and sunny chilly....

it is beautiful though I'm surprised how much sun there is out there today and looking at the next two days, it's been changed to partly cloudy for tomorrow and for Friday too and both days in the low 50s, so the chances of being able to see that total eclipse are getting higher.

[steve392]

8 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I wouldn't call 55 and sunny chilly....

it is beautiful though I'm surprised how much sun there is out there today and looking at the next two days, it's been changed to partly cloudy for tomorrow and for Friday too and both days in the low 50s, so the chances of being able to see that total eclipse are getting higher.

It's chilly for me.  Ever since my surgery last year I get cold often.  

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

3 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

wow  https://x.com/HamptonsDrone/status/1899150346259173421

It’s really not shocking. What’s left of the pine barrens will soon be consumed by the southern pine bark beetle anyway. Eventually the pitch pine will be replaced with dwarf red and white oak. 

[LibertyBell]

Just now, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

It’s really not shocking. What’s left of the pine barrens will soon be consumed by the southern pine bark beetle anyway. Eventually the pitch pine will be replaced with dwarf red and white oak. 

and over here we have those damned spotted lanternflies which were a real pest last summer

any chance that cold winter killed them off?

 

[LibertyBell]

2 minutes ago, steve392 said:

It's chilly for me.  Ever since my surgery last year I get cold often.  

so sorry to hear that, what kind of surgery if you don't mind me asking?

 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

25 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

and over here we have those damned spotted lanternflies which were a real pest last summer

any chance that cold winter killed them off?

 

The pine bark beetles? Probably not, we would need a couple nights below zero. The lantern flies definitely not, they are native to Asia where Siberian air masses can drop temps well below zero at our latitude. It’s really about the combo of lowest temps and duration.

[forkyfork]

4 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Still wildly different for Sunday nights rain. 6z is a little wetter on the gfs

12z euro is west 

[uofmiami]

2 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

12z euro is west 

[jm1220]

1 hour ago, uofmiami said:

Awesome. Wildfires and drought=bad. Get it a little further west to fill the reservoirs. 

[uofmiami]

6 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Awesome. Wildfires and drought=bad. Get it a little further west to fill the reservoirs. 

Let's hope the model doesn't lower QPF as we approach the event.