Feen Posted Wednesday at 10:17 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:17 PM moderate rain in the city feels warm 50 degrees right now! The heavier line is still just to our west. I wonder if there's any severe weather with that line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted Wednesday at 10:19 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:19 PM Just now, Feen said: moderate rain in the city feels warm 50 degrees right now! The heavier line is still just to our west. I wonder if there's any severe weather with that line Just went through it in Northwestern Essex County, 0 t storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Wednesday at 10:22 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:22 PM Why the concern about this busting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feen Posted Wednesday at 10:25 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:25 PM 5 minutes ago, mikeysed said: Just went through it in Northwestern Essex County, 0 t storms maybe south Jersey has a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted Wednesday at 10:32 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:32 PM 9 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Why the concern about this busting? NAM and GFS kept showing a weak area in the precip shield for central Jersey south. Needless to say they will be dead wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted Wednesday at 10:42 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:42 PM JFK just switched to the dreaded ILS 13L due to winds. that happens less than five times a year. Always a nice brutal day for delays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted Wednesday at 11:02 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:02 PM 19 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: JFK just switched to the dreaded ILS 13L due to winds. that happens less than five times a year. Always a nice brutal day for delays Works for me, no planes around 2K feet on approach to 22L over my house. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted Wednesday at 11:05 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:05 PM 3 hours ago, snowman19 said: So are we are going to see benchmark storms with 50 degrees and rain? Impossible! Benchmark storms are extinct! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Wednesday at 11:20 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:20 PM Been non-stop downpour for an hour at my house. Really wish I ad a working rain gauge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted Wednesday at 11:28 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:28 PM nice drink, finally wash the damn salt wway. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted Wednesday at 11:42 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:42 PM Heavy rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Wednesday at 11:57 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:57 PM 1.3 in the bucket so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted Thursday at 12:01 AM Share Posted Thursday at 12:01 AM 1 hour ago, the_other_guy said: JFK just switched to the dreaded ILS 13L due to winds. that happens less than five times a year. Always a nice brutal day for delays For anyone else who knows as little about air traffic control as I do about weather and air traffic control, but was interested in this, I just did some quick googling: "When the combination of minimums and winds require using the ILS to 13L, it creates major airspace issues, particularly with TEB and LGA. Hence, they only use that approach when all other options have been exhausted." I guess that answers my question on why using it translates to delays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted Thursday at 12:16 AM Share Posted Thursday at 12:16 AM .86” so far in the rain gauge with another slug of rain heading in from SNJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Thursday at 12:24 AM Share Posted Thursday at 12:24 AM First 1" day since November 21st at ewr and only the 2nd since August Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Thursday at 12:31 AM Share Posted Thursday at 12:31 AM 1 hour ago, Snowlover11 said: nice drink, finally wash the damn salt wway. and hopefully most of these filthy piles of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Thursday at 01:01 AM Share Posted Thursday at 01:01 AM Just now, Allsnow said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Thursday at 01:03 AM Share Posted Thursday at 01:03 AM One last heavy batch to move through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted Thursday at 01:09 AM Share Posted Thursday at 01:09 AM Much, much, much needed rain down here. Up to 1.22" so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Thursday at 01:31 AM Share Posted Thursday at 01:31 AM Rain will continue into early tomorrow. By the time the storm departs, a general 0.50"-1.50" of rain is likely from Philadelphia to Boston. The highest amounts could occur on parts of Long Island. Tomorrow will be another mild day with temperatures topping out in the middle 50s. Following the storm, it will turn somewhat colder, but not exceptionally cold for the weekend. Some additional precipitation is possible during the weekend, but the weekend should be mainly dry. The risk of a moderate (4" or more) or larger snowfall in the New York City area remains low through at least the first 10 days of March. The March 10-17 period could feature a bout of much above normal temperatures. The strong PNA ridge that predominated for most of the second half of February has all but broken down. However, the peak magnitude of that ridge suggests that the New York City area likely won't experience any major snowfalls for the remainder of the 2024-2025 snow season. The historic experience hints that the rising warmth of spring becomes too great to overcome by the time an otherwise favorable pattern for such snowfalls develops. The PNA reached +1.500 on February 19th and remained at or above +1.500 through February 23rd and at or above +1.000 through February 28th. In all 12 years that saw the PNA reach +1.500 or above on February 15 or later since 1950, the remainder of winter saw no 10" or greater snowstorms. If historic experience holds true yet again, that would make the 2024-2025 snow season the fourth consecutive snow season without a 10" or above snowstorm in New York City. The last time that happened was during 2016-2017 through 2019-2020. Most of the 12 cases cited above went on to see some additional measurable snowfall with a few seeing a 6"+ storm. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around February 26. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.35°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.52°C. La Niña conditions will likely give way to neutral ENSO conditions during early spring. The SOI was +4.55 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.022 today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted Thursday at 01:46 AM Share Posted Thursday at 01:46 AM 13 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Rain will continue into early tomorrow. By the time the storm departs, a general 0.50"-1.50" of rain is likely from Philadelphia to Boston. The highest amounts could occur on parts of Long Island. Tomorrow will be another mild day with temperatures topping out in the middle 50s. Following the storm, it will turn somewhat colder, but not exceptionally cold for the weekend. Some additional precipitation is possible during the weekend, but the weekend should be mainly dry. The risk of a moderate (4" or more) or larger snowfall in the New York City area remains low through at least the first 10 days of March. The March 10-17 period could feature a bout of much above normal temperatures. The strong PNA ridge that predominated for most of the second half of February has all but broken down. However, the peak magnitude of that ridge suggests that the New York City area likely won't experience any major snowfalls for the remainder of the 2024-2025 snow season. The historic experience hints that the rising warmth of spring becomes too great to overcome by the time an otherwise favorable pattern for such snowfalls develops. The PNA reached +1.500 on February 19th and remained at or above +1.500 through February 23rd and at or above +1.000 through February 28th. In all 12 years that saw the PNA reach +1.500 or above on February 15 or later since 1950, the remainder of winter saw no 10" or greater snowstorms. If historic experience holds true yet again, that would make the 2024-2025 snow season the fourth consecutive snow season without a 10" or above snowstorm in New York City. The last time that happened was during 2016-2017 through 2019-2020. Most of the 12 cases cited above went on to see some additional measurable snowfall with a few seeing a 6"+ storm. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around February 26. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.35°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.52°C. La Niña conditions will likely give way to neutral ENSO conditions during early spring. The SOI was +4.55 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.022 today. Hope next week is still looking mild in NYC as I am planning a trip there. Guess we won’t get that March snow Don. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted Thursday at 02:08 AM Share Posted Thursday at 02:08 AM 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: One last heavy batch to move through 1.64" here. I'm glad we got a much needed soaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Thursday at 02:11 AM Share Posted Thursday at 02:11 AM 2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: 1.64" here. I'm glad we got a much needed soaking. Yep met or exceeded models for once 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted Thursday at 02:14 AM Share Posted Thursday at 02:14 AM Looks like yet another round is coming up to impact the tristate area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted Thursday at 02:30 AM Share Posted Thursday at 02:30 AM Unrelenting monsoon out here… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted Thursday at 02:31 AM Share Posted Thursday at 02:31 AM Fire hose continues. 1.92" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Thursday at 02:47 AM Share Posted Thursday at 02:47 AM 1 hour ago, Jersey Andrew said: Hope next week is still looking mild in NYC as I am planning a trip there. Guess we won’t get that March snow Don. Probably little or no snow this month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted Thursday at 02:51 AM Share Posted Thursday at 02:51 AM Firehouse keeps developing, someone will exceed 2” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Thursday at 02:55 AM Share Posted Thursday at 02:55 AM 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: Firehouse keeps developing, someone will exceed 2” Good, let’s bank what we can now. A lot will be running off though since the ground is partly frozen still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted Thursday at 03:00 AM Share Posted Thursday at 03:00 AM Absolutely pouring here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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