steve392 Posted Monday at 11:47 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:47 PM 54 minutes ago, RU848789 said: I'm just happy there's the potential for a winter storm, but we'll obviously need to see other models to come on board before believing the outlier GFS is correct. And if somehow it were correct, look at that snowfall gradient from over a foot along 95 to just a few inches 20-30 miles SE of 95, due to sleet and some rain (it's not all rain - Pivotal maps don't count sleet). This also isn't 10 days out anymore - precip starts in about 5.5 days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Monday at 11:51 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:51 PM 5 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Only to 39 today and runnin around -10 to -15 for daily departures in the area. 5 minutes ago, Sundog said: Take off from work? He already put in the request Save the days for the beautiful weather we have 8 months out of the year @MJO812 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted Monday at 11:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:56 PM For metfan: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 12:01 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:01 AM 9 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Save the days for the beautiful weather we have 8 months out of the year @MJO812 Gfs is an outlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted yesterday at 12:01 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:01 AM Uggh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted yesterday at 12:10 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:10 AM For metfan: I’ll take the under here. Not happening. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted yesterday at 12:10 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:10 AM 13 minutes ago, Sundog said: For metfan: no good-he sleets while the rest of us snow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feen Posted yesterday at 12:13 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:13 AM 2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: no good-he sleets while the rest of us snow.... Anthony took the day off Sunday? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted yesterday at 12:18 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:18 AM 7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: no good-he sleets while the rest of us snow.... He's got like 10 inches before it flips 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 12:20 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:20 AM 6 minutes ago, Feen said: Anthony took the day off Sunday? Not this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 12:20 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:20 AM Gfs will lose it at 0z 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted yesterday at 12:23 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:23 AM Temperatures will rebound quickly starting tomorrow. A storm will bring 0.50"-1.50" of rain from Philadelphia to Boston on Wednesday into Thursday. Two GFS runs notwithstanding, the risk of a moderate (4" or more) or larger snowfall in the New York City area remains low through at least the first 10 days of March. The March 10-17 period could feature a bout of much above normal temperatures. The strong PNA ridge that predominated for most of the second half of February is continuing to fade. However, the peak magnitude of that ridge suggests that the New York City area likely won't experience any major snowfalls for the remainder of the 2024-2025 snow season. The historic experience hints that the rising warmth of spring becomes too great to overcome by the time an otherwise favorable pattern for such snowfalls develops. The PNA reached +1.500 on February 19th and remained at or above +1.500 through February 23rd and at or above +1.000 through February 28th. In all 12 years that saw the PNA reach +1.500 or above on February 15 or later since 1950, the remainder of winter saw no 10" or greater snowstorms. If historic experience holds true yet again, that would make the 2024-2025 snow season the fourth consecutive snow season without a 10" or above snowstorm in New York City. The last time that happened was during 2016-2017 through 2019-2020. Most of the 12 cases cited above went on to see some additional measurable snowfall with a few seeing a 6"+ storm. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around February 26. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.35°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.52°C. La Niña conditions will likely give way to neutral ENSO conditions during early spring. The SOI was +3.92 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.342 today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted yesterday at 12:26 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:26 AM The season of GFS fantasies. May we have a better 2025-2026 maybe we will be blessed with a Pensacola type storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted yesterday at 12:28 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:28 AM It’s definitely curious that the GFS is being this stubborn. It at least keeps it interesting for tonight’s 0z suite. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted yesterday at 12:32 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:32 AM 5 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: The season of GFS fantasies. May we have a better 2025-2026 maybe we will be blessed with a Pensacola type storm. I should have at least 12 feet of snow if the gfs was correct even half the time 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted yesterday at 12:36 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:36 AM On 2/25/2025 at 10:02 AM, Allsnow said: Congratulations 3? I have two and I’m tapping out lol and yes, the warm weather makes it so much easier Thanks everyone. Yup, 3rd one wasn’t planned but ….. happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MorristownWx Posted yesterday at 01:25 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:25 AM Saw this, came here to see what was up, all checks out lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 01:30 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:30 AM 57 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I should have at least 12 feet of snow if the gfs was correct even half the time Same with Euro. It's also bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted yesterday at 02:00 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:00 AM 6 hours ago, LibertyBell said: The real superstorm in 1992-93 happened in December. The so-called March superstorm was mostly an inland storm and had nowhere near the impact that December 1992 had here. I was on LI and the March ‘93 was definitely a Superstorm where I was. After getting 10” of snow I received about 2 hours of the nastiest sleet I ever heard. It was extremely loud with the very strong winds that accompanied it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted yesterday at 02:19 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:19 AM 18 minutes ago, Tatamy said: I was on LI and the March ‘93 was definitely a Superstorm where I was. After getting 10” of snow I received about 2 hours of the nastiest sleet I ever heard. It was extremely loud with the very strong winds that accompanied it. Yea. I had 10" then pounding sleet and lost power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted yesterday at 02:26 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:26 AM I had drifts off of my house of 3' of sleet from the '93 storm. It was originally projected to be 24-36" of snow, then changed 1 day before to a foot and lots of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted yesterday at 02:26 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:26 AM 6 minutes ago, Rjay said: Yea. I had 10" then pounding sleet and lost power. I was living in mineola in my childhood home before Merrick. I remember the 93 snow and I was only 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted yesterday at 02:33 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:33 AM Both storms were superstorms imo. The Dec storm lasted over 48 hours and crushed the interior but the coast was blasted with beach erosion rain and 60 mph winds. March had snow from Alabama to Maine with severe weather in Florida and crushed the northeast. 100 miles further east and we get 2 feet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted yesterday at 02:47 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:47 AM 18 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: I was living in mineola in my childhood home before Merrick. I remember the 93 snow and I was only 6 In Long Beach where I was living at the time there were floating snow/ice chunks once the high tide came in. The 25" of snow they had NW of the city would've been better but that and the Dec 1992 monster which flooded Long Beach the worst until Sandy are the first two weather events I really remember in detail. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Yep gfs caving Goodnight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 6 hours ago, Tatamy said: I was on LI and the March ‘93 was definitely a Superstorm where I was. After getting 10” of snow I received about 2 hours of the nastiest sleet I ever heard. It was extremely loud with the very strong winds that accompanied it. I don't know man, I think it dwarfs in comparison to December 1992. March 1993 to me was just a winter storm with some heavy snow and high winds, nothing we haven't had before. And not even 20"+ to make it a HECS. December 1992 on the other hand, took over the entire news cycle for one week. People drowned in the wide spread storm surge, the entire coastline was changed from the Jersey Shore to Brooklyn to Long Island, there were round the clock rescues being conducted to save people from drowning. It basically lasted a week and caused more damage here than any hurricane I have ever experienced-- until Sandy came along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 5 hours ago, Rjay said: Yea. I had 10" then pounding sleet and lost power. That just makes it a notable winter storm. December 1992 changed the shape of the entire coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 5 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Both storms were superstorms imo. The Dec storm lasted over 48 hours and crushed the interior but the coast was blasted with beach erosion rain and 60 mph winds. March had snow from Alabama to Maine with severe weather in Florida and crushed the northeast. 100 miles further east and we get 2 feet I remember December 1992 as getting an entire week of news cycles. I've not seen winds that strong in my entire life until Sandy came along, but December 1992 lasted much longer than Sandy did. Just ranking coastal storms by overall impact not amount of snow or wintry precip in general it should rank number 1 or number 2 for noreasters (the only storm I could see exceeding it was the 1962 Ash Wednesday noreaster, which I wasn't alive to experience-- but that was focused more on the Jersey Shore from what I read?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 8 hours ago, EastonSN+ said: Up here the coastline was affected and at the end of the storm we ended up with 6 inches of heavy wet snow. Massive storm. We had about a foot of snow here followed by sleet and then rain that packed it down to around 6 inches in March 1993 and then the cold snap that followed froze everything solid. As far as snowstorms are concerned, February 1983 had more of an impact here (of course-- that was 2 feet of snow lol.) December 1992 was one in which I thought my house was going to blow down because our fences came down on all sides and the wind was howling for the better part of a week and the entire shape of the coastline was changed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago The little wave on Saturday ruins the big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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