March 2025

[steve392]

54 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

I'm just happy there's the potential for a winter storm, but we'll obviously need to see other models to come on board before believing the outlier GFS is correct.  And if somehow it were correct, look at that snowfall gradient from over a foot along 95 to just a few inches 20-30 miles SE of 95, due to sleet and some rain (it's not all rain - Pivotal maps don't count sleet).  This also isn't 10 days out anymore - precip starts in about 5.5 days.  

 

[Allsnow]

5 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Only to 39 today and runnin around -10 to -15 for daily departures in the area.

 

5 minutes ago, Sundog said:

 

Take off from work? He already put in the request 

Save the days for the beautiful weather we have 8 months out of the year @MJO812

[Sundog]

For metfan:

 

 

[MJO812]

9 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

 

Save the days for the beautiful weather we have 8 months out of the year @MJO812

Gfs is an outlier 

[gravitylover]

Uggh

[North and West]

For metfan:

 
 

I’ll take the under here. Not happening.


.

[Brian5671]

13 minutes ago, Sundog said:

For metfan:

 

 

no good-he sleets while the rest of us snow....

[Feen]

2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

no good-he sleets while the rest of us snow....

Anthony took the day off Sunday?

[Sundog]

7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

no good-he sleets while the rest of us snow....

 

He's got like 10 inches before it flips

[MJO812]

6 minutes ago, Feen said:

Anthony took the day off Sunday?

Not this time 

[MJO812]

Gfs will lose it at 0z

[donsutherland1]

Temperatures will rebound quickly starting tomorrow. A storm will bring 0.50"-1.50" of rain from Philadelphia to Boston on Wednesday into Thursday.

Two GFS runs notwithstanding, the risk of a moderate (4" or more) or larger snowfall in the New York City area remains low through at least the first 10 days of March. The March 10-17 period could feature a bout of much above normal temperatures.

The strong PNA ridge that predominated for most of the second half of February is continuing to fade. However, the peak magnitude of that ridge suggests that the New York City area likely won't experience any major snowfalls for the remainder of the 2024-2025 snow season. The historic experience hints that the rising warmth of spring becomes too great to overcome by the time an otherwise favorable pattern for such snowfalls develops.  

The PNA reached +1.500 on February 19th and remained at or above +1.500 through February 23rd and at or above +1.000 through February 28th. In all 12 years that saw the PNA reach +1.500 or above on February 15 or later since 1950, the remainder of winter saw no 10" or greater snowstorms. If historic experience holds true yet again, that would make the 2024-2025 snow season the fourth consecutive snow season without a 10" or above snowstorm in New York City. The last time that happened was during 2016-2017 through 2019-2020. Most of the 12 cases cited above went on to see some additional measurable snowfall with a few seeing a 6"+ storm.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around February 26. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.35°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.52°C. La Niña conditions will likely give way to neutral ENSO conditions during early spring.

The SOI was +3.92 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.342 today.

 

[WestBabylonWeather]

The season of GFS fantasies. May we have a better 2025-2026

 

maybe we will be blessed with a Pensacola type storm. 

[ag3]

It’s definitely curious that the GFS is being this stubborn.

It at least keeps it interesting for tonight’s 0z suite.

[Stormlover74]

5 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

The season of GFS fantasies. May we have a better 2025-2026

 

maybe we will be blessed with a Pensacola type storm. 

I should have at least 12 feet of snow if the gfs was correct even half the time

[NJwx85]

On 2/25/2025 at 10:02 AM, Allsnow said:

Congratulations 

3? I have two and I’m tapping out lol

 

and yes, the warm weather makes it so much easier 

Thanks everyone. Yup, 3rd one wasn’t planned but ….. happens.

[MorristownWx]

Saw this, came here to see what was up, all checks out lol

 

[MJO812]

57 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

I should have at least 12 feet of snow if the gfs was correct even half the time

Same with Euro. It's also bad. 

[Tatamy]

6 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

The real superstorm in 1992-93 happened in December.

The so-called March superstorm was mostly an inland storm and had nowhere near the impact that December 1992 had here.

 

I was on LI and the March ‘93 was definitely a Superstorm where I was.  After getting 10” of snow I received about 2 hours of the nastiest sleet I ever heard.  It was extremely loud with the very strong winds that accompanied it.  

[Rjay]

18 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

I was on LI and the March ‘93 was definitely a Superstorm where I was.  After getting 10” of snow I received about 2 hours of the nastiest sleet I ever heard.  It was extremely loud with the very strong winds that accompanied it.  

Yea. I had 10" then pounding sleet and lost power. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

I had drifts off of my house of 3' of sleet from the '93 storm.  It was originally projected to be 24-36" of snow, then changed 1 day before to a foot and lots of sleet. 

[WestBabylonWeather]

6 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Yea. I had 10" then pounding sleet and lost power. 

I was living in mineola in my childhood home before Merrick. I remember the 93 snow and I was only 6

[Stormlover74]

Both storms were superstorms imo. The Dec storm lasted over 48 hours and crushed the interior but the coast was blasted with beach erosion rain and 60 mph winds. March had snow from Alabama to Maine with severe weather in Florida and crushed the northeast. 100 miles further east and we get 2 feet 

[jm1220]

18 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

I was living in mineola in my childhood home before Merrick. I remember the 93 snow and I was only 6

In Long Beach where I was living at the time there were floating snow/ice chunks once the high tide came in. The 25" of snow they had NW of the city would've been better but that and the Dec 1992 monster which flooded Long Beach the worst until Sandy are the first two weather events I really remember in detail. 

[MJO812]

Yep gfs caving

Goodnight