winterwx21 Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 6:31 PM, MJO812 said: Like the gfs , the euro has cooled down in the long range . Expand Enough cold air around that it isn't out of the question that we can see some late season snow. I think it's unlikely that we'll see anything significant, but it would be foolish to completely rule it out. March is a crazy unpredictable month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 5:32 PM, WestBabylonWeather said: With this bad boy of a sun angle any March snow is gone in two days. But hey I’ll take one more Expand I'll take just one in general. Only 13" here this year, the average should be in upper 20" range. Abysmal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 I'm ready for spring. Sun feels fantastic if you block yourself out of the wind. This $25 charcoal grill will be used heavily on these sunny days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 6:07 PM, EastonSN+ said: Correct only 12.6 inches of snow accumulated for Central Park before receiving 11.9 from the superstorm. Even with the superstorm Central Park was below average for snowfall. Expand I'm going to tell you right now, that December 1992 was way more exciting than the so-called *superstorm* which was really more of an inland storm. December 1992 changed the entire shape of the coastline and affected us for 3-5 days and caused far more damage than the so-called *superstorm* could ever even dream of causing. I consider December 1992 the real superstorm of that season. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 5:24 PM, Sundog said: Wasn't 92-93 not that good for the coast before the Superstorm? Expand The real superstorm in 1992-93 happened in December. The so-called March superstorm was mostly an inland storm and had nowhere near the impact that December 1992 had here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 4:52 PM, snowman19 said: Best of luck and God speed! Prepare to be completely disappointed again like the last 5 months. By 0z tonight, it will be back to showing less than a half inch of snow @Heisy The UKMET looks good?? Huh?? It has nothing. You guys are chasing ghosts again. How many times are you willing to do this over the last 5 months and end up failing?? Expand Lucy and Charlie Brown?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 7:36 PM, LibertyBell said: I'm going to tell you right now, that December 1992 was way more exciting than the so-called *superstorm* which was really more of an inland storm. December 1992 changed the entire shape of the coastline and affected us for 3-5 days and caused far more damage than the so-called *superstorm* could ever even dream of causing. I consider December 1992 the real superstorm of that season. Expand the seasonal pattern that winter was capable of producing powerful coastal storms which hasn't been the case this season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 3:08 PM, Sundog said: At least that came when evapotranspiration is low. If that happens in summer there are going to be wildfires and stressed out trees/vegetation. The only positive would be that the mosquito population would be lower. Expand Yep it's very important to get that mosquito population lower. I'm all for a correction from the last overly wet 2 decades back to the drier climate we had in the 60s, 70s, 80s and 90s. That's how it's supposed to be here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 2:59 PM, snowman19 said: This winter was dry as hell. Haven’t seen anything like this since 2001-02 Expand 2002 had one of our best spring and summer combinations we have ever had. Only exceeded by 2010. That April heatwave was a thing of beauty with some of the clearest blue skies I've ever seen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 3:08 PM, Sundog said: At least that came when evapotranspiration is low. If that happens in summer there are going to be wildfires and stressed out trees/vegetation. The only positive would be that the mosquito population would be lower. Expand Got completely shut out of any measurable rain here last October. That was our perfect month, truly historic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 7:42 PM, forkyfork said: the seasonal pattern that winter was capable of producing powerful coastal storms which hasn't been the case this season Expand I know, I don't expect anything to happen either. If you look at the 90s, they were a highly exciting period, very hot summers (1991, 1993, 1995, 1999) and powerful coastal winters (whether they were snow or not doesn't really matter.) October 1991 December 1992 March 1993 January 1996 April 1997 December 1992 was our most powerful most impactful coastal storm until Hurricane Sandy came along. There was also a storm in December 1994 I think it was which some think should have been classified as a tropical storm or hurricane that made landfall near JFK while moving westward. Does anyone remember that storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 we had great winters for 20 years now we are on the downside oh well at least tropical season will have action to follow.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feen Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 GFS again with a big snowstorm for NYC and north! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 10:17 PM, Feen said: GFS again with a big snowstorm for NYC and north! Expand Draggin me back in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feen Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 10:29 PM, WestBabylonWeather said: Draggin me back in Expand same, it's an outlier at this point. But the question is what is the GFS seeing that all the other models aren't? or vice versa! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 I'm just happy there's the potential for a winter storm, but we'll obviously need to see other models to come on board before believing the outlier GFS is correct. And if somehow it were correct, look at that snowfall gradient from over a foot along 95 to just a few inches 20-30 miles SE of 95, due to sleet and some rain (it's not all rain - Pivotal maps don't count sleet). This also isn't 10 days out anymore - precip starts in about 5.5 days. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BobbyHolikWillFindYou Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 Holy snow Batman! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 6:31 PM, MJO812 said: Like the gfs , the euro has cooled down in the long range . Expand Nice. Instead of 60s, it will be 50s. It’s late March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 7:47 PM, LibertyBell said: I know, I don't expect anything to happen either. If you look at the 90s, they were a highly exciting period, very hot summers (1991, 1993, 1995, 1999) and powerful coastal winters (whether they were snow or not doesn't really matter.) October 1991 December 1992 March 1993 January 1996 April 1997 December 1992 was our most powerful most impactful coastal storm until Hurricane Sandy came along. There was also a storm in December 1994 I think it was which some think should have been classified as a tropical storm or hurricane that made landfall near JFK while moving westward. Does anyone remember that storm? Expand yeah it was right around xmas-high winds and lots of rain-no cold air unfortunately 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 Don’t do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 10:59 PM, Allsnow said: Don’t do it Expand Not yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 10:59 PM, Allsnow said: Don’t do it Expand It's been done 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 10:50 PM, RU848789 said: I'm just happy there's the potential for a winter storm, but we'll obviously need to see other models to come on board before believing the outlier GFS is correct. And if somehow it were correct, look at that snowfall gradient from over a foot along 95 to just a few inches 20-30 miles SE of 95, due to sleet and some rain (it's not all rain - Pivotal maps don't count sleet). This also isn't 10 days out anymore - precip starts in about 5.5 days. Expand Not that this will ever happen, but this mix line isn't SE of 95, it's for anyone on the Jersey shore on southward, all of Long Island is fine on this map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 11:05 PM, MJO812 said: Not yet Expand On 3/3/2025 at 11:07 PM, Stormlover74 said: It's been done Expand My guess is it’s seeing what the AI and Euro had days ago with the souther stream. Now both those models have trended flatter and holding more energy back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 7:36 PM, LibertyBell said: I'm going to tell you right now, that December 1992 was way more exciting than the so-called *superstorm* which was really more of an inland storm. December 1992 changed the entire shape of the coastline and affected us for 3-5 days and caused far more damage than the so-called *superstorm* could ever even dream of causing. I consider December 1992 the real superstorm of that season. Expand Up here the coastline was affected and at the end of the storm we ended up with 6 inches of heavy wet snow. Massive storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 Two successive runs, 12z-18z/3, of enough members of the GEFS to phase and run us a nor'easter snowstorm the 9th. No other ensembling is close to the GEFS so, it could be - easy come easy go - if no phasing with the the southern Rockies remains of a closed low. The only thing I can say is that this fits days of ensembling that least some snow would occur I84 corridor with the GEFS tending to be most certain in the cyclic variations. Check back tomorrow to see if its gone or other modeling supports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 10:54 PM, ag3 said: Nice. Instead of 60s, it will be 50s. It’s late March. Expand Let's save the 60s for April, plenty of time for that. 50s with Sun in March feels amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 10:56 PM, Brian5671 said: yeah it was right around xmas-high winds and lots of rain-no cold air unfortunately Expand Yea it was a total dud on the coast snow wise, but the storm was incredibly powerful and had massive coastal flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 On 3/3/2025 at 10:59 PM, Allsnow said: Don’t do it Expand Take off from work? He already put in the request 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 Only to 39 today and runnin around -10 to -15 for daily departures in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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