MJO812 Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 Gefs has a signal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feen Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gefs has a signal show us the snowmap? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 9 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The only possible way this works out for anyone anywhere near the coast is the total thread-the-needle, perfect scenario I described this morning. This is still an elevated, far interior event IMO. If this was Dec-Jan-Feb…..even the end of November….different story. If we had arctic air in place and high latitude blocking (i.e. March, 2018), totally different story yeah most coastal march snowstorms are preceded by an outbreak of arctic air 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 Euro flatter then last night but still in the ballpark. I would like to see the Ai jump back on this soon if it has merit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 12z ICON, CMC, GFS, UK, and ECM all have a distinct (trackable!) wintry threat for Sat 3/8. Nice to see a sudden move towards model consensus. Too bad it's still 7+ days out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 AI still has nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowguy66 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 The euro AI was the model showing the storm first. I think it was last weekend. and had a big storm for at least a few model runs before losing it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Give me the gfs. 1 to 2" of rain over the next 10 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 When are the 70s coming...gimme a date Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 1 hour ago, winterwarlock said: When are the 70s coming...gimme a date Hopefully we can finally do away with the suppressive PV and put us into some good westerlies. The crushing PV will mean lousy back door front days especially if it sets up over Newfoundland. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 5 hours ago, winterwarlock said: When are the 70s coming...gimme a date No one cares. That can wait. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MorristownWx Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Happy meteorological spring - so glad to be done with the ice piles that survived all winter. Bring on the 60’s and 70’s! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 37 minutes ago, bluewave said: I will guess for Central and Southern NJ between March 10th and 17th. But there may be a gradient setting up somewhere between Philly and Newark. Since the new runs have more blocking and clouds for areas closer to 1-78 and I-80 and north. So spots near or north of NYC may get limited to the 60s. But it’s tough to guess the exact frontal location 2 weeks out. New runs more blocking mid-March Old run The 60s aren't bad at all. Even the 50s seem pretty warm right now. As long as it's sunny the temperature doesn't matter all that much (as long as it's in the 40s or higher.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 12 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: The 60s aren't bad at all. Even the 50s seem pretty warm right now. As long as it's sunny the temperature doesn't matter all that much (as long as it's in the 40s or higher.) We could do 60° today with the warm downslope flow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 16 minutes ago, bluewave said: We could do 60° today with the warm downslope flow. Is this likely to be the last cold snap of the season coming up Sunday-Monday (cold snap = highs in the 30s or lower)? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 9 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Is this likely to be the last cold snap of the season coming up Sunday-Monday (cold snap = highs in the 30s or lower)? This weekend will probably be the last chance for NYC to have a low in the low 20s and a high in the low 30s. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Shocking models backing off on the warmth 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Next weekend bares watching, there is a possibility of seeing a rain/wind event, as per NY radio met this AM. NWS predicted high here today in HPN is 58, tomorrow no higher than 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 1 Author Share Posted March 1 The mid-March warm spell is still there on the overnight ensembles (GEFS, EPS, GEPS): 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Hit 59.9 degrees twice this week. Today should make it above 60. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 33 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Shocking models backing off on the warmth I still see milder weather on the models despite a brief cold shot . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 23 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The mid-March warm spell is still there on the overnight ensembles (GEFS, EPS, GEPS): Unfortunately it is. Too early for this crap. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 Just now, MJO812 said: I still see milder weather on the models despite a brief cold shot . Yeah, it's going to be in the 50s on the majority of the days like it has been for a week. We saw the switch of the seasons in the last week of February and it's not going to go back to continuous cold like it was in DJF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Unfortunately it is. Too early for this crap. 50s is fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 48 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The mid-March warm spell is still there on the overnight ensembles (GEFS, EPS, GEPS): Can’t believe people are calling for 70’s and March 2012 on Twitter… going to fail miserably 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 31 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: 50s is fine. Meh it's still winter. 50s can wait until April. 8 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Can’t believe people are calling for 70’s and March 2012 on Twitter… going to fail miserably Who ? 50s and 60s are possible 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 21 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Can’t believe people are calling for 70’s and March 2012 on Twitter… going to fail miserably Ensembles are really warm though. 70s definitely possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Shocking models backing off on the warmth I think the big question for this month is whether or not we and up above or below average temps wise. Would be interesting to get all four months below average although this month is in serious Jeopardy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 52 / 31 clouds / cold front into WPA. Upper 50s to near / low 60s ahead of the 48 hour chill. Meaningful rain later Tuesday into Wednesday with up to or > 1.00 inch. Beyond there near to above normal through the 11th. Then either much warmer or warm / wet into mid mid moth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: The mid-March warm spell is still there on the overnight ensembles (GEFS, EPS, GEPS): Yeah, the models haven't backed off on the warmth at all. If anything, they've trended warmer. The people even questioning if this month will finish above average have lost the plot IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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