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March DISCO/OBS: Please End It


40/70 Benchmark
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17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

How cold is the GFS? And how warm is the Euro? 

Well here are some comparisons: On St. Patrick's Day the Euro has 4C 850s and the GFS has -5C. On 3/21 the Euro has 6C 850s while the GFS has -9C. Granted, that is partially due to frontal timing differences but still. Then they both agree on a slightly below normal day on the 22nd with 850s of -3 to -5C. Then in clown range (not that it matters) the GFS keeps us seasonably warm with highs in the low to mid 50s but the Euro insists on mid and upper 60s mostly.

EDIT: Oh, and the GFS tries for the late season miracle snowstorm at the end of the run on 3/27 lol.

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26 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

I don't understand this graph...I thought we always ran too warm? Why would the mean error be negative?

Negative error just means the analysis temp is colder than the actual reported. 

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6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Right.  Just like the last 2 that modeled and ripped 50-65mph 

I wasn’t here for those..was up north. Everything else before those failed.  So I’ll take the way under, until I see the whites of its eyes. 

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