Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,764
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    samarham26
    Newest Member
    samarham26
    Joined

March DISCO/OBS: Please End It


40/70 Benchmark
 Share

Recommended Posts

4 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

Boy I have seen this happen numerous times on seasonal roads turned sled trails.  Always amusing - usually a hefty groomer had to go in there and make the recovery. I always laughed at these dumbass rookies everytime….

…until it was me.  Tug Hill - all backroads are snow covered all the time in good winters so hard to discern in many cases whats a seasonal road turned trail and whats plowed - you have to just know.  I had me and my kid and a buddy along on the trip, one sled on a single place trailer.  The truck was a 2000s vintage explorer.  We were on our way to a remote bar/motel/sled rental to grab a rental sled.  Made a left turn according to GPS and shit here we go!  Instantly knew I had just made a galacticly stupid mistake apparently sitting on my brain at the time.  I just kept my foot in it and squirreled around the trail in 4x4 and jesus h christ we made it the 1/2 mile to the bar to this day I have no idea how.  Moderate ruts on the trail.  Sleds saw us on the trail just shaking heads but no one saw us pull in to the parking lot (easily accessible from another direction). We sheepishly and quickly unloaded, grabbed the rental and split on the sleds, abandoning the truck.  We were staying at another hotel about 50 miles away which I was glad for.  Came back to the truck a few days later and hightailed it outa there feeling dumb as shit - more than normal anyway.  Red face went away a week or so later.  
 

sidebar - in the middle of nowhere sometime later, my buddy lost the key to his rental sled.  We were properly fucked.  I lost it.  Exploded to 11 blind with rage.  Melted right down.  Then I opened the cowl, looked at the ignition, unplugged the key connection (like a 5 prong plug), rotated it 180 degrees leaving one prong outside of the ignition plug, prayed, then it started right up.  Jubilation.  Polaris 600 from the 2000s.  Key was useless, and thank the almighty for his interventions looking over our dumb asses that day. No other explanation.

Tip is that you? 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I still wonder which is more of a rare one.  97 or the Rocktober storm

I'd toss April 1982 into the mix - a classic January storm transplanted into a spring month.  While NYC has had 2 slightly greater April snows, in 1875 and 1915, they've had no other significant April events within 5° as cold, since 1869.
That 1997 event was strange where we then lived, 9 miles south from AUG.  It was a decent (7.5") snowfall that came about 12 hours before the SNE explosion.  I don't know how (if?) our storm was connected.  Same LP went retro/crazy?  1st of 2 back-to-back? 
Gardiner data:
3/31   37   26   0.82"   6.0"
4/1     39   24   0.17"    1.5"

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

56 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Usually winds under perform but they were quite impressive yesterday with frequent gust in the 50's.

IMG_6357.jpeg

We had exactly one gust that approached that velocity.  There were gusts into the 30s all day but we've had lots of such winds this winter.  The pup and I were outside for her evening stroll at 10:15 when a gust at least 10 mph beyond the day's peak came roaring thru.  Didn't hear anything break, surprisingly, maybe due to the one and done.  (In contrast, almost all of the abundant tree damage in our woodlot on Dec. 18, 2023 commenced after an hour of the 50+ gusts.)

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

26 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Doing first step of spring lawn cleanup this morning cleaning up the disaster of limbs and branches from ice storm and winds . Snow shower rolled thru. Last flakes of the season 

Actually surprised how windy it is; went from fairly calm to gusts almost close to yesterday 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well .. hopefully this is the last of it until sometime after Nov 1, 2025, with these biting windy cold snaps.  To me, they are of very low value - all but unredeemable after Mar 1, when there is nothing other than the cold itself.   

Looks like we're moving from this into a transitory pattern, where the successive cooling episodes are not nearly as nasty as this nor as bad as have been.   Basically ... heading into a pattern that offers nondescript BN/AN oscillations.   

I can deal with that.  Because a seasonal chilly air masses by the middle of March are usually offset by a climbing sun at least.  

Next Saturday,   first 70s ? 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Well .. hopefully this is the last of it until sometime after Nov 1, 2025, with these biting windy cold snaps.  To me, they are of very low value - all but unredeemable after Mar 1, when there is nothing other than the cold itself.   

Looks like we're moving from this into a transitory pattern, where the successive cooling episodes are not nearly as nasty as this nor as bad as have been.   Basically ... heading into a pattern that offers nondescript BN/AN oscillations.   

I can deal with that.  Because a seasonal chilly air masses by the middle of March are usually offset by a climbing sun at least.  

Next Saturday,   first 70s ? 

Did you check out day 13-15 GEFS polar vortex returns.. 

  • Sad 1
  • Weenie 1
  • Disagree 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

24 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Did you check out day 13-15 GEFS polar vortex returns.. 

Yeah..it's fake. 

The GFS technology does this every year between the end of February and some interminable dates in May, where it regresses the extended range .  It takes whatever warmth is in the model, and processes it out like it's an error.  I've noticed this about the GFS model tech years ago, and still does this in springtime.  

I think what's happening is that it's thermodynamic processing is coming up with a cold quotient ... it's very subtle.  Decimals really.   But integrating that over time?   it cumulatively ends up with colder heights, coldest too regularly comparing to the other guidance clusters inside the polar domain of the westerlies. 

It's only 4-6 dm or so by 300 hours, so it's not really obvious.   But, then integrating that over a large area, that effects matters to some non-negligible way.  Deeper vortices and a deeper altogether PV mean.   

You know...it's like it's biased to do this is almost proportional to the advance of spring warming, casting an allusion to resisting seasonal change.

  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Seems like the torch keeps getting pushed back. It was originally gonna torch Tuesday-Thursday and now only Tuesday is gonna be somewhat mild. Wed-Thurs look terrible with the cold front pushing through Tuesday night and looks like maybe a reinforcing BD on Thursday? Weekend looks warm but that's a ways out.

  • Confused 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...